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122 Pine Pl
A- Composite 80.2
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$130,000

122 Pine Pl · Fort Gaines, GA 36310
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,385 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1162 Days on market
Built 1980 0.64 ac lot $94/sqft · 19% below area Est $209k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Home located on a corner lot with 0.64 acres, main level has 2 BR, 1BA, DinRm, Kit, LivRm & is built up above basement with 2 exits to stairwells to the ground area. Basement area not accessible through main home and has a separate entry. The second level has 1 BR, 1BA and a separate room that exits to a balcony area. Home needs lots of work but could be a fabulous place for someone who has a creative eye. This home is located perfectly situated to enjoy the public boat dock and Big Bass Fishing galore. In a gated community for a better safe environment and yet cozy and private. So bring me a offer, keeping repairs in mind! We reduced another $30,000!!! MAKE AN OFFER,

Key facts

  • 0.64 acre lot
  • Built 1980
  • Listed 1161 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; 2 stories
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Deck

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Range (cooking appliance); Fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $418 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.0% in Fort Gaines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#573 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
  • Henry County (rural): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #55 of 129 in AL (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 71 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Henry County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 1162 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask is 4% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 94% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $114,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 1162 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
10.15%
Cash-on-cash
13.78%
DSCR
1.61
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$208,810
List price
$130,000
Delta
-37.74%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
368 Lakeview Dr 0.33mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (-3%) 21mo $130,000 $97 57
264 Holiday Dr S 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,271 (-8%) 17mo $155,000 $122 54
701 Douglas Dr 0.52mi 2/3.0 (-1) 1,534 (+11%) 3mo $249,900 $163 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.4%
Equity multiple
3.67×
Total profit
$97,363
Equity at exit
$117,114
10-year hold
IRR
29.6%
Equity multiple
8.30×
Total profit
$265,670
Equity at exit
$252,561

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 36310

Home prices YoY
19.7%
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$31 /mo · $374/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$418

Break-even live

Break-even rent $971
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $492 -5% $455 +0% $418 +5% $381 +10% $344
Rent -10% $299 -5% $359 +0% $418 +5% $477 +10% $536
Rate -1.0pp $483 -0.5pp $451 base $418 +0.5pp $384 +1.0pp $350

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
308 Bennett Dr Abbeville, AL 2.0 2.0 1400 $1,500 $1.07 45d 1 1.00mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $130,000 Active 1162 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $130,000 Active 1160 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 1159 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 1158 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 1157 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 1156 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $130,000 Active 1154 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $130,000 Active 1153 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 1150 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 1149 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 1148 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 1144 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 1143 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $130,000 Active 1142 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 1141 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $130,000 Active 1140 DOM
  17. 2026-04-11
    price $130,000
  18. 2026-01-23
    price $150,000
  19. 2025-12-19
    price $165,000
  20. 2025-09-03
    status Active
  21. 2025-03-20
    price $172,750
  22. 2024-07-29
    price $222,750
  23. 2024-07-29
    status Active
  24. 2023-09-01
    status Active
  25. 2023-08-24
    historical
  26. 2023-06-20
    status Active
  27. 2023-06-20
    price $165,000
  28. 2022-06-01
    listed $125,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$374 · $31/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,196 · $100/mo
Expected delta
+$822/yr (+$69/mo · 220.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 94% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,000
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$374
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,440
− Management
−$1,440
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$3,032
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$728
After-tax cash flow
$4,288/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Henry County
NCES district ID
0101740
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$41,502
Composite
27.78/100
National rank
#6894
State rank
#55 of 129 in AL

Livability — Fort Gaines

Score
51/100
State rank
#573
US rank
#25161

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
6,224

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,109 people
By 2030
16,928 · -1.1%
By 2040
16,376 · -4.3%
By 2050
15,778 · -7.8%
By 2075
14,491 · -15.3%
By 2100
12,673 · -25.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (60%)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 35% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.8) · D 24.3% · R 75.1%
2008→2024 swing
-21.1pp toward R · 2008: -29.7pp · 2024: -50.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.8 2020: R+43.0 2016: R+41.6 2012: R+29.4 2008: R+29.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 39.85%
Current HPI
241.9035
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $130,000 EBOR
  • 2026-01-23 Price Changed $150,000 EBOR
  • 2025-12-19 Price Changed $165,000 EBOR
  • 2025-09-03 Relisted EBOR
  • 2025-03-20 Price Changed $172,750 EBOR
  • 2024-07-29 Price Changed $222,750 EBOR
  • 2024-07-29 Relisted EBOR
  • 2023-09-01 Relisted EBOR
  • 2023-08-24 Delisted EBOR
  • 2023-06-20 Relisted EBOR
  • 2023-06-20 Price Changed $165,000 EBOR
  • 2022-06-01 Listed $125,000 EBOR

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $374 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…