1911 Pin Oak Dr #4 · Spry, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.3/30.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Take advantage of this two-story townhouse located in the Dallastown School District! Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, this home offers great potential for the right buyer. With a functional layout, generous room sizes, and plenty of natural light, there’s an opportunity to truly make this space your own. Whether you're looking to invest, downsize, or purchase your first home, this property offers both value and versatility in a convenient location close to local amenities, shopping, and major routes. A brand new deck just weeks old seals the deal. Please note, this property is part of a condominium association that was properly established with recorded documentation; however,
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1989
- Listed 6 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached front-entry garage (1 car); Driveway with 2 spaces; Total of 3 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Condominium; Semi-detached; Average condition
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Deck(s); Not in a federal flood zone
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not listed)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on upper level, one on lower level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Partially finished basement; Living room
- Laundry & utility: Hot water: Electric
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $180k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $361 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#173 in PA, #1,445 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Dallastown Area SD (suburban): math 47% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #102 of 539 in PA (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Dallastown Area Ms (math 30% / reading 55%, grade D-, #216 of 512 statewide, top 43%, 1,027 students, 34% FRL); Dallastown Area Shs (math 71% / reading 24%, grade D, #164 of 437 statewide, top 38%, 2,014 students, 33% FRL).
- Market conditions: 177 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.62%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $177,534
- List price
- $179,500
- Delta
- 1.11%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1911 Pin Oak Dr #4 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (0%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $174 | 99 |
| 1899 Powder Mill Rd Unit B | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-11%) | 8mo | $170,000 | $170 | 67 |
| 1902 Pin Oak Dr | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,280 (+14%) | 6mo | $167,000 | $130 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-6,054
- Equity at exit
- $26,764
- IRR
- 6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $24,472
- Equity at exit
- $15,520
Cash invested: $50,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17402
- Home prices YoY
- -27.5%
- Active inventory
- 177
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,027 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$941
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$224 /mo · $2,692/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$426
- Net cashflow
- $361
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,875
- Closing costs
- $5,385
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225 Cherry St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,695 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 7202 Wynfield Blvd York, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $2,099 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 42 Oak Ridge Dr York, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1221 | $4,101 | $3.36 | 13d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 6101 Wynfield Blvd York, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $1,899 | $1.68 | 20d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5301 Wynfield Blvd York, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $1,899 | $1.68 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1 Wynfield Blvd York, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $2,007 | $2.01 | 13d | 15 | 0.89mi |
| 232 Oak Manor Dr York, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,080 | $1.44 | 20d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 41 Homeland Rd York, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1392 | $2,295 | $1.65 | 20d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 981-char remark
-
2026-05-06$179,500 Active 981-char remark
-
2026-04-30historical $179,500 981-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,329
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,055
- − Property taxes
- −$2,692
- − Insurance
- −$898
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,946
- − Management
- −$1,946
- − Depreciation
- −$5,222
- Taxable income
- $1,570
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$377
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,957/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This two-story townhouse in the Dallastown School District requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathrooms, which would significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — outdated and in need of replacement
- Moderate kitchen flooring — dated and in need of replacement
Value-add opportunities
- Resale update kitchen cabinets and flooring — modernizing the kitchen would attract more buyers
- Resale update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathrooms would attract more buyers
- Both paint interior walls — painting the interior walls would improve the home's curb appeal and make it more inviting
- Both replace kitchen flooring — replacing the kitchen flooring would improve the home's curb appeal and make it more inviting
- Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathrooms would improve the home's curb appeal and make it more inviting
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · outdated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| kitchen flooring · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $9,000–45,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale update kitchen cabinets and flooring — modernizing the kitchen would attract more buyers ↑
- Resale update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathrooms would attract more buyers ↑
- Both paint interior walls — painting the interior walls would improve the home's curb appeal and make it more inviting ↑
- Both replace kitchen flooring — replacing the kitchen flooring would improve the home's curb appeal and make it more inviting ↑
- Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathrooms would improve the home's curb appeal and make it more inviting ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dallastown Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4207230
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,805
- Composite
- 48.0/100
- National rank
- #2199
- State rank
- #102 of 539 in PA
Livability — Spry
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #173
- US rank
- #1445
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spry, PA
- County
- York County · 278,806 people
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,466
- Household income
- $81,166
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 965.0
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 454,205 people
- By 2030
- 457,407 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 457,529 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 448,261 · -1.3%
- By 2075
- 427,388 · -5.9%
- By 2100
- 384,218 · -15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.97%
- Current HPI
- 242.5694
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+8.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $195,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-11 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $179,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-30 Coming Soon $179,500 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…