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🏷️ Likely Rental
D+ Composite 49.81
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$900

222 E Union St #4 · Worthington, IN 47471
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 560 sqft · Condo · 28 Days on market
Built 1960

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

main Level Unit, 3 Bedrooms, 1 Bath. Small Pets (cat, under 15# dog) are welcomed with a $200 non-refundable pet fee. Tenant is responsible for Sewer/Electric/Cable. Water is included in the rent. Owner pays Water & Trash. Security deposit of $875 is due at Lease signing. Laundry is NOT on site, laundromat is only less than a block away. A 1-year lease is required. Application fee of $50 per adult required with background check. No evictions. It is encouraged to have renters' insurance.

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • Built 1960
  • Listed 28 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $900.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $618 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($790 rent vs $900).
  • Recommended offer: $886 (1.6% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#174 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • White River Valley School District (rural): math 33% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #187 of 301 in IN (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: White River Valley Elementary Sch (math 52% / reading 42%, grade D-, #325 of 994 statewide, top 36%, 326 students, 64% FRL); White River Valley Middle School (math 29% / reading 35%, grade F, #190 of 330 statewide, top 59%, 209 students, 60% FRL); White River Valley High School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #270 of 369 statewide, top 77%, 210 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 42% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20 of equity ($6 loan paydown + $14 appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
  • Greene County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $252 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($886) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $886 (1.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
87.76%
Cap rate
829.96%
Cash-on-cash
2941.69%
DSCR
131.89
GRM
0.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.51% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
157.34×
Total profit
$39,396
Equity at exit
$331
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
339.15×
Total profit
$85,215
Equity at exit
$460

Cash invested: $252 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47471

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
17
Price-to-rent
0.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$790 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$5
Tax est. 1.5%
$1 /mo · $14/yr
Insurance
$0
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$166
Net cashflow
$618

Break-even live

Break-even rent $8
Max offer price $900
Occupancy floor 17%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$225
Closing costs
$27
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
watersewertrashelectriccablesecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-03-03
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-03
    listed $900 Active
  3. 2023-10-21
    historical $775
  4. 2023-10-01
    price $775
  5. 2023-09-22
    listed $800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,478
− Mortgage interest
−$50
− Property taxes
−$14
− Insurance
−$4
− Repairs & maintenance
−$758
− Management
−$758
− Depreciation
−$26
Taxable income
$7,867
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,888
After-tax cash flow
$5,525/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
White River Valley School District
NCES district ID
1800008
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$44,074
Composite
30.59/100
National rank
#6199
State rank
#187 of 301 in IN

Livability — Worthington

Score
70/100
State rank
#174
US rank
#8138

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Worthington, IN
Population (ZIP)
3,116

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
30,724 people
By 2030
29,506 · -4.0%
By 2040
26,744 · -13.0%
By 2050
23,879 · -22.3%
By 2075
18,341 · -40.3%
By 2100
13,976 · -54.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Polish 7% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · German/W. Germanic 12% Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.7) · D 22.4% · R 76.1% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-39.2pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -53.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.7 2020: R+52.2 2016: R+53.4 2012: R+31.4 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.51%
Current HPI
200.6511
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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