222 E Union St #4 · Worthington, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
main Level Unit, 3 Bedrooms, 1 Bath. Small Pets (cat, under 15# dog) are welcomed with a $200 non-refundable pet fee. Tenant is responsible for Sewer/Electric/Cable. Water is included in the rent. Owner pays Water & Trash. Security deposit of $875 is due at Lease signing. Laundry is NOT on site, laundromat is only less than a block away. A 1-year lease is required. Application fee of $50 per adult required with background check. No evictions. It is encouraged to have renters' insurance.
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- Built 1960
- Listed 28 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $900.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $618 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($790 rent vs $900).
- Recommended offer: $886 (1.6% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#174 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- White River Valley School District (rural): math 33% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #187 of 301 in IN (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: White River Valley Elementary Sch (math 52% / reading 42%, grade D-, #325 of 994 statewide, top 36%, 326 students, 64% FRL); White River Valley Middle School (math 29% / reading 35%, grade F, #190 of 330 statewide, top 59%, 209 students, 60% FRL); White River Valley High School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #270 of 369 statewide, top 77%, 210 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 42% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20 of equity ($6 loan paydown + $14 appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
- Greene County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $252 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($886) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 87.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 829.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2941.69%
- DSCR
- 131.89
- GRM
- 0.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.51% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 157.34×
- Total profit
- $39,396
- Equity at exit
- $331
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 339.15×
- Total profit
- $85,215
- Equity at exit
- $460
Cash invested: $252 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47471
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 0.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $790 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1 /mo · $14/yr
- Insurance
- −$0
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$166
- Net cashflow
- $618
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $225
- Closing costs
- $27
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrashelectriccablesecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-03-03status Pending
-
2026-02-03$900 Active
-
2023-10-21historical $775
-
2023-10-01price $775
-
2023-09-22$800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,478
- − Mortgage interest
- −$50
- − Property taxes
- −$14
- − Insurance
- −$4
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$758
- − Management
- −$758
- − Depreciation
- −$26
- Taxable income
- $7,867
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,888
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,525/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- White River Valley School District
- NCES district ID
- 1800008
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,074
- Composite
- 30.59/100
- National rank
- #6199
- State rank
- #187 of 301 in IN
Livability — Worthington
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #174
- US rank
- #8138
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Worthington, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,116
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,724 people
- By 2030
- 29,506 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 26,744 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 23,879 · -22.3%
- By 2075
- 18,341 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 13,976 · -54.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Polish 7% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · German/W. Germanic 12% Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.7) · D 22.4% · R 76.1% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.2pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -53.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.7 2020: R+52.2 2016: R+53.4 2012: R+31.4 2008: R+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.51%
- Current HPI
- 200.6511
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…