2631 Campground Rd · Lauderdale, MS
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 78.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.1/5.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Solid brick ranch home nestled among mature trees in Lauderdale, MS. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath property features laminate wood floors, ceiling fans throughout, covered carport, and a dedicated laundry room with washer/dryer hookups and water heater on-site. \ n \ nThe bright living room opens to a spacious eat-in kitchen with ample cabinet space and a full appliance suite. Three flexible bedrooms and a central bath round out the layout. Central A/C keeps things comfortable year-round, and the generous shaded lot gives you plenty of outdoor space. \ n \ nA great opportunity to own a solid brick home priced to sell — bring your vision and make it your own.
Key facts
- Laminate wood floors
- Covered carport
- Brick ranch home
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.75 acre
- HOA & community: Community features: Other
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space); Driveway
- Utilities: Community water; Sewer connected; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer: Unknown
- Home design: Single family residence (house); One story; Fixer condition; Living area per public records
- Construction: Brick construction; Metal roof; Slab foundation; Built per public records
- Exterior features: Front porch; Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing electric range
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Free-standing electric range; Vinyl flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/0.5-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 41/100 on livability (#358 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Lauderdale County School District (rural): math 37% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #39 of 130 in MS (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
- Lauderdale County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.05%
- DSCR
- 1.98
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.96% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $23,381
- Equity at exit
- $27,445
- IRR
- 24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.16×
- Total profit
- $61,985
- Equity at exit
- $39,395
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39335
- Home prices YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,011 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $504/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$212
- Net cashflow
- $294
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $70,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $70,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 659-char remark
-
2026-06-12$70,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $504 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $553 · $46/mo
- Expected delta
- +$49/yr (+$4/mo · 9.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,129
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$504
- − Insurance
- −$1,148
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$970
- − Management
- −$970
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $2,579
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$619
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,906/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lauderdale County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802430
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,778
- Composite
- 33.25/100
- National rank
- #5517
- State rank
- #39 of 130 in MS
Livability — Lauderdale
- Score
- 41/100
- State rank
- #358
- US rank
- #27178
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,301
Population outlook (Lauderdale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 75,158 people
- By 2030
- 72,770 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 67,309 · -10.4%
- By 2050
- 61,797 · -17.8%
- By 2075
- 49,790 · -33.8%
- By 2100
- 39,797 · -47.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 6% Serbian 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lauderdale
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.2) · D 39.0% · R 60.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.9pp · 2024: -21.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.2 2020: R+16.0 2016: R+23.0 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.96%
- Current HPI
- 130.2493
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $70,000 MLSU
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $504 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…