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1235 Saint Florence Dr
B+ Composite 75.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

1235 Saint Florence Dr · Florissant, MO 63031
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 792 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 47 Days on market
Built 1950 8,398 sqft lot $95/sqft · 41% below area Est $128k · 41% under ↓ 26% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Don't miss this charming ranch style home, offering 2 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, basement with half bath fenced yard, and attached garage. Ideally located near major thoroughfares, this property is brimming with potential and ready for your personal finishing touches. A fantastic opportunity you won't want to pass up!

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Ranch style home
  • 8,398 sq ft lot

Tags

RANCH STYLE HOMEFENCED YARDBASEMENT WITH HALF BATH

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces total; 1-car garage; 1-car carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Lot with other features (approximately 0.19 acre)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on main level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $491 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 6.3% in Florissant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#82 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
  • Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Duchesne Elementary (248 students, 99% FRL); Mccluer North High (math 5% / reading 28%, grade F, #487 of 521 statewide, top 93%, 1,136 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 271 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,750 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.79%
Cap rate
14.15%
Cash-on-cash
28.07%
DSCR
2.25
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$128,117
List price
$75,000
Delta
-41.46%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1185 Saint Matthew Dr 0.08mi 2/1.0 792 (0%) 4mo $128,000 $162 92
210 Derhake Rd 0.14mi 2/1.0 792 (0%) 2mo $109,900 $139 92
1210 Saint Richard Dr 0.15mi 2/1.0 791 (-0%) 2mo $115,000 $145 91
20 Derhake Rd 0.25mi 2/1.0 792 (0%) 1mo $139,900 $177 88
110 Barto Dr 0.56mi 2/1.0 816 (+3%) 5mo $65,000 $80 64
43 Connolly Dr 0.60mi 2/1.0 816 (+3%) 5mo $116,900 $143 63
141 Flora Dr 0.70mi 2/1.0 800 (+1%) 5mo $70,000 $88 62
190 Lynn Meadows Ln 0.41mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (+9%) 0mo $119,900 $139 60
116 Barto Dr 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 836 (+6%) 3mo $115,000 $138 57
16 Montclair Ct 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 864 (+9%) 4mo $100,000 $116 49
630 Saint Christina Ln 0.70mi 2/2.0 864 (+9%) 4mo $174,900 $202 45
159 Flora Dr 0.71mi 2/1.0 910 (+15%) 5mo $37,500 $41 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.27% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.8%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$20,912
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
32.5%
Equity multiple
4.14×
Total profit
$65,991
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63031

Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
271
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,339 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$142 /mo · $1,705/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$491

Break-even live

Break-even rent $717
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1180 S New Florissant Rd Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 925 $1,225 $1.32 24d 1 0.19mi
1465 W Duchesne Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 896 $1,500 $1.67 44d 1 0.23mi
297 Saint Eugene Ln Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 44d 1 0.31mi
1600 Washington St Florissant, MO 3.0 1.5 1095 $1,250 $1.14 20d 1 0.35mi
50 Lynn Meadows Ln Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,450 $1.68 24d 1 0.41mi
765 Bobbins Ln Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1107 $1,450 $1.31 44d 1 0.48mi
24 Barto Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 44d 1 0.58mi
221 Barto Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 958 $1,295 $1.35 20d 1 0.58mi
20 Saint Benedict Ln Florissant, MO 3.0 1.5 1092 $1,525 $1.40 20d 1 0.60mi
36 Connolly Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,149 $1.12 24d 1 0.63mi
220 Du Bourg Ln Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 816 $1,150 $1.41 44d 1 0.65mi
1725 Saint Catherine St Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1107 $1,800 $1.63 15d 1 0.65mi
135 Saint Maurice Ln Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 816 $1,395 $1.71 44d 1 0.67mi
11 Anistasia Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1120 $1,345 $1.20 24d 1 0.73mi
204 Flora Dr Saint Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 760 $850 $1.12 8d 1 0.75mi
241 Flora Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 703 $1,075 $1.53 24d 1 0.75mi
107 Anistasia Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1030 $1,400 $1.36 24d 1 0.80mi
1050 Ozment Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 984 $1,525 $1.55 44d 1 0.86mi
1275 N Florissant Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,275 $1.26 24d 1 0.87mi
8507 Tally Ho Dr Hazelwood, MO 2.0 1.5 1478 $1,300 $0.88 44d 5 0.90mi
305 S Lafayette St Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,409 $1.63 16d 1 0.91mi
46 Bascom Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 932 $1,175 $1.26 44d 1 0.91mi
1095 Ozment Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 984 $1,461 $1.48 24d 1 0.91mi
263 Sadonia Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 888 $1,350 $1.52 44d 1 0.92mi
7025 Richwood Ln Hazelwood, MO 3.0 1.0 936 $1,375 $1.47 18d 1 0.94mi
260 Sadonia Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1088 $1,623 $1.49 20d 1 0.94mi
171 Elbring Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1008 $1,395 $1.38 12d 1 0.94mi
153 Bascom Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1076 $1,195 $1.11 20d 1 0.97mi
1004 N New Florissant Rd Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 719 $1,375 $1.91 24d 1 1.05mi
1045 N New Florissant Rd Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 783 $1,250 $1.60 15d 1 1.08mi
24 Vierling Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 850 $1,290 $1.52 8d 1 1.12mi
1502 Summer Run Dr #108 Florissant, MO 2.0 1.5 922 $1,200 $1.30 24d 1 1.23mi
1670 Arundel Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1012 $1,450 $1.43 24d 1 1.24mi
23 Quick Dr Apt 2 Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 850 $1,100 $1.29 44d 1 1.28mi
8330 Woodhurst Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,000 $0.89 8d 1 1.28mi
7437 Hazelcrest Dr Unit H Hazelwood, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 8d 1 1.29mi
21 Quick Dr Apt 3 Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 850 $995 $1.17 24d 1 1.29mi
21 Quick Dr Apt 1 Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 850 $1,100 $1.29 44d 1 1.29mi
167 Reeb Ln Florissant, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 2d 4 1.31mi
155 Reeb Ln Apt 2 Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 850 $995 $1.17 44d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 46 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 45 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 44 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 41 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 36 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $75,000 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 32 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 31 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 30 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 29 DOM
  15. 2026-05-02
    listed $75,000 Active 319-char remark
  16. 2005-05-16
    soldstatus $102,000
  17. 2005-05-16
    soldstatus $102,000
  18. 2002-08-30
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,705 · $142/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,705 · $142/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,068
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,705
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,285
− Management
−$1,285
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$5,034
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,208
After-tax cash flow
$4,686/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ferguson-Florissant R-II
NCES district ID
2912010
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$44,610
Composite
11.96/100
National rank
#9666
State rank
#311 of 324 in MO

Livability — Florissant

Score
73/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#5406

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Florissant, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
City population
69,104
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
50,196
Household income
$70,811
Rent vs Own
27.7% rent · 72.3% own
Severe rent burden
1279.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Black 41% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Swedish 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -223.57%
Current HPI
202.7192
Rent YoY
▲ 4.27%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-26.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Listed $75,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
  • 2005-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
  • 2002-08-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,705 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…