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5950 Doolittle Blvd
B+ Composite 77.73
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$97,000

5950 Doolittle Blvd · Houston, TX 77033
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 962 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1952 7,370 sqft lot $101/sqft · 26% below area Est $130k · 26% under ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investors!!! 3 bedroom home ready to be rehabbed.

Key facts

  • 7,370 sq ft lot
  • Built 1952
  • Listed 42 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Single-story (built 1952)
  • Construction: Wood siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Subdivision lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Total of 3 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $97k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $358 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $97k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 3.1% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Attucks Middle (math 15% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,478 of 1,662 statewide, top 90%, 439 students, 98% FRL); Sterling H S (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 1,421 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 71% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 338 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,500/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1728% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $671 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $94,090 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
11.55%
Cash-on-cash
18.77%
DSCR
1.84
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$130,215
List price
$97,000
Delta
-25.51%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5934 Longmeadow St 0.29mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,017 (+6%) 3mo $104,900 $103 70
5301 Burma Rd 0.57mi 3/1.0 992 (+3%) 19mo $109,900 $111 52
5330 Pershing St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,002 (+4%) 16mo $133,000 $133 49
5962 Van Fleet St 0.23mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,104 (+15%) 11mo $120,000 $109 49
5421 Bataan Rd 0.68mi 3/1.0 986 (+2%) 21mo $124,900 $127 47
5942 Southridge St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,039 (+8%) 9mo $105,000 $101 45
6038 Glenhurst Dr 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 840 (-13%) 10mo $69,000 $82 42
7338 Mountbatten Rd 0.70mi 4/1.0 (+1) 924 (-4%) 16mo $148,000 $160 42
7710 Sharondale Dr 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,050 (+9%) 10mo $75,000 $71 41
6402 Kassarine Pass Pass 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,081 (+12%) 14mo $177,000 $164 30
5613 Malmedy Rd 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 839 (-13%) 17mo $99,000 $118 26
5617 Malmedy Rd 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 832 (-14%) 19mo $119,000 $143 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.9%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$11,012
Equity at exit
$14,463
10-year hold
IRR
21.3%
Equity multiple
3.05×
Total profit
$55,806
Equity at exit
$8,387

Cash invested: $27,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77033

Home prices YoY
-16.3%
Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
338
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,500 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$509
Tax from tax record
$211 /mo · $2,535/yr
Insurance
$40
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$358

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,047
Max offer price $97,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $413 -5% $386 +0% $358 +5% $331 +10% $303
Rent -10% $240 -5% $299 +0% $358 +5% $418 +10% $477
Rate -1.0pp $407 -0.5pp $383 base $358 +0.5pp $333 +1.0pp $308

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,250
Closing costs
$2,910
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5537 Bataan Rd Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 880 $1,300 $1.48 44d 1 0.63mi
5314 Northridge Dr Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,185 $1.36 44d 1 0.94mi
7918 Jutland Rd Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 996 $1,295 $1.30 44d 1 1.15mi
5610 Royal Palms St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 25d 1 1.42mi
7818 Calhoun Rd Unit 8 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $97,000 Active 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $97,000 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $97,000 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $97,000 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $97,000 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $97,000 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $97,000 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $97,000 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $97,000 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $97,000 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $97,000 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-05-07
    listed $97,000 Active 50-char remark
  13. 2026-04-30
    historical
  14. 2026-04-08
    price $99,000
  15. 2026-01-25
    listed $115,000 Active
  16. 1988-11-03
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,535 · $211/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,535 · $211/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,002
− Mortgage interest
−$5,434
− Property taxes
−$2,535
− Insurance
−$1,282
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,440
− Management
−$1,440
− Depreciation
−$2,822
Taxable income
$3,049
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$732
After-tax cash flow
$3,568/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,154
Household income
$38,071
Rent vs Own
41.0% rent · 59.0% own
Severe rent burden
1728.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (55%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 17% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 35%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
61% English-only · Spanish 39%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -41.49%
Current HPI
212.6472
Rent YoY
▲ 5.45%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-15.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $97,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $99,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-01-25 Listed $115,000 HARMLS
  • 1988-11-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,535 · -4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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