964 Linohau Way · Diamondhead, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
ENJOY PRIVACY & LUXURY in this almost NEW HOME on TWO LOTS - 3BR; 2 BA; CROWN MOLDING throughout; CERAMIC TILE, RECESSED LIGHTS; HUGE MASTER BA WITH GARDEN TUB, SIT-DOWN SHOWER, SKYLIGHT, & EXTRA LARGE WALK-IN CLOSET WITH BUILT-INS. LARGE WOOD DECK with HOT TUB; OVER 350F FENCING; SPRINKLER SYS.
Key facts
- 0.43 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community association with $32 monthly fee; Association fee includes grounds maintenance; Community amenities: boating, golf, pool, tennis courts
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; 2 carport spaces; Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Utilities (see remarks)
- Home design: Single family residence; Manufactured house; One story
- Construction: Siding exterior; Shingle roof; Chainwall and pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as a fixer
- Exterior features: Deck; Workshop; Fenced lot; Other exterior features (see remarks)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Oven; Other appliances (see remarks)
- Flooring: Carpet; See remarks
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; Sliding doors; Fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.3% vs local median 4.8% in Diamondhead — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#59 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Hancock County School District (rural): math 47% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #23 of 130 in MS (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 246 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 248 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hancock County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 60.59%
- DSCR
- 3.70
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $226,820
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -62.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9624 Kini Pl | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,668 (+3%) | 3mo | $219,000 | $131 | 86 |
| 10737 Linohau Way | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,508 (-7%) | 4mo | $239,500 | $159 | 77 |
| 9536 Poni Pl | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,714 (+6%) | 1mo | $229,900 | $134 | 73 |
| 9838 Ala Moana St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,614 (-0%) | 1mo | $299,900 | $186 | 65 |
| 9817 Pokai Way | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,561 (-4%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $151 | 62 |
| 10763 Lilinoe Way | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,444 (-11%) | 5mo | $175,000 | $121 | 57 |
| 95522 W Diamondhead Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,782 (+10%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $168 | 56 |
| 87112 Highpoint Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,475 (-9%) | 1mo | $319,000 | $216 | 56 |
| 10750 Linohau Way | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,378 (-15%) | 6mo | $142,000 | $103 | 55 |
| 9823 Ala Moana St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,498 (-8%) | 2mo | $229,000 | $153 | 51 |
| 88154 Golf Club Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,775 (+10%) | 1mo | $279,000 | $157 | 50 |
| 9834 Pokai Way | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,848 (+14%) | 0mo | $249,500 | $135 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.64×
- Total profit
- $62,801
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 64.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.44×
- Total profit
- $153,383
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39525
- Home prices YoY
- -19.1%
- Active inventory
- 246
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,265 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $898/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$32
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$476
- Net cashflow
- $1,202
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250 Highpoint Dr Unit 250 Diamondhead, MS | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1367 | $2,500 | $1.83 | 20d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 250 Highpoint Dr Diamondhead, MS | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1367 | $2,500 | $1.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 289 Highpoint Dr Diamondhead, MS | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1340 | $1,700 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.73mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $32 · $384/yr
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-02status Pending
-
2026-05-02historical
-
2026-04-24$95,000 Active
-
2012-06-11historical
-
2012-03-05$116,500
-
2006-05-01soldstatus
-
2006-04-12soldstatus
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
ENJOY PRIVACY & LUXURY in this almost NEW HOME on TWO LOTS - 3BR; 2 BA; CROWN MOLDING throughout; CERAMIC TILE, RECESSED LIGHTS; HUGE MASTER BA WITH GARDEN TUB, SIT-DOWN SHOWER, SKYLIGHT, & EXTRA LARGE WALK-IN CLOSET WITH BUILT-INS. LARGE WOOD DECK with HOT TUB; OVER 350F FENCING; SPRINKLER SYS.
-
2005-11-20$149,000
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
ENJOY PRIVACY & LUXURY in this almost NEW HOME on TWO LOTS - 3BR; 2 BA; CROWN MOLDING throughout; CERAMIC TILE, RECESSED LIGHTS; HUGE MASTER BA WITH GARDEN TUB, SIT-DOWN SHOWER, SKYLIGHT, & EXTRA LARGE WALK-IN CLOSET WITH BUILT-INS. LARGE WOOD DECK with HOT TUB; OVER 350F FENCING; SPRINKLER SYS.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $898 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $898 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,186
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$898
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,175
- − Management
- −$2,175
- − HOA
- −$384
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $13,895
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,335
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,086/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hancock County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801740
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,971
- Composite
- 38.88/100
- National rank
- #4099
- State rank
- #23 of 130 in MS
Livability — Diamondhead
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #59
- US rank
- #9320
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Diamondhead, MS
- County
- Hancock County · 9,338 people
- City population
- 9,338
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,338
- Household income
- $87,407
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Hancock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 52,161 people
- By 2030
- 54,753 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 59,242 · +13.6%
- By 2050
- 62,417 · +19.7%
- By 2075
- 68,168 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 69,212 · +32.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 10% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hancock
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.7) · D 20.1% · R 78.8% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.4pp toward R · 2008: -54.2pp · 2024: -58.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.7 2020: R+55.5 2016: R+59.4 2012: R+52.8 2008: R+54.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.77%
- Current HPI
- 193.4883
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-43.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $85,000 MLSU
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $87,900 MLSU
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $89,900 MLSU
- 2026-05-19 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-05-02 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-05-02 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2026-05-02 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2026-04-24 Listed $95,000 MLSU
- 2012-06-11 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2012-03-05 Listed $116,500 MLSU
- 2006-05-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-04-12 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2005-11-20 Listed $149,000 MLSU
Property tax history
-3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $898 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…