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651 Central Ave
B Composite 74.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

651 Central Ave · Matteson, IL 60443
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,269 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1985 Est $230k · 26% under ↓ 28% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Corporate owned. Sold AS IS. No disclosures, no survey, no termite provided by seller. Buyer responsible for any/all inspections, compliances or escrows as needed. Fax all highest and best offers along with prequal letter or proof of funds to listing office. Earnest money must be certified funds only.

Key facts

  • Spacious ranch
  • Close to highway
  • One level living

Tags

ONE LEVEL LIVINGSPACIOUS RANCHIDEAL ACCESSCLOSE TO HIGHWAYCLOSE TO SHOPPING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage accessed via side driveway (1 garage space, 1 total parking space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction; Built approximately 41–50 years ago; Not rebuilt or rehabbed
  • Exterior features: Lot less than 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions: 8700

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (21 x 11)
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: 5 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Separate laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $838 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $170k).
  • Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 6.2% in Matteson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#525 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $105k; list at $170k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
Recommended offer $169,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.67%
Cap rate
12.21%
Cash-on-cash
21.13%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$229,689
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
903 Notre Dame Dr 0.30mi 3/1.5 1,300 (+2%) 0mo $250,000 $192 80
829 Princeton Ave 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,225 (-4%) 1mo $175,000 $143 79
907 Dartmouth Ave 0.31mi 3/1.5 1,225 (-4%) 7mo $202,000 $165 72
913 Dartmouth Ave 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,198 (-6%) 9mo $245,000 $205 65
733 Old Meadow Rd 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,294 (+2%) 8mo $287,000 $222 59
856 Notre Dame Dr 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,445 (+14%) 4mo $255,700 $177 57
6103 Sunflower Dr 0.75mi 3/1.5 1,292 (+2%) 4mo $233,000 $180 57
5808 Allemong Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,212 (-4%) 3mo $219,900 $181 56
5747 Allemong Dr 0.59mi 3/1.5 1,144 (-10%) 1mo $249,900 $218 53
6021 Spring Ln 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,168 (-8%) 2mo $165,000 $141 52
142 Cloverleaf Rd 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,391 (+10%) 8mo $185,000 $133 38
6024 Beechwood Rd 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,097 (-14%) 9mo $223,000 $203 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.7%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$25,995
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
22.5%
Equity multiple
2.94×
Total profit
$92,063
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60443

Home prices YoY
-32.6%
Active inventory
69
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,832 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$438 /mo · $5,258/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$595
Net cashflow
$838

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,772
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
946 Harvard Ln Matteson, IL 4.0 1.5 1247 $2,990 $2.40 24d 1 0.38mi
5817 Allemong Dr Matteson, IL 3.0 1.5 1350 $2,500 $1.85 7d 1 0.61mi
6048 White Birch Ln Matteson, IL 3.0 2.5 1638 $2,741 $1.67 6d 1 0.69mi
6024 Aspen Ln Matteson, IL 3.0 2.0 1294 $2,800 $2.16 1d 1 0.70mi
4962 Bennett St Matteson, IL 2.0–3.0 2.5 1341 $3,120 $2.33 1d 7 1.07mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,900 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on marketlisting id $169,900 Active 1 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-04-09
    historical
  6. 2007-04-10
    soldstatus $105,000
  7. 2007-03-22
    soldstatus $105,000 302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    Corporate owned. Sold AS IS. No disclosures, no survey, no termite provided by seller. Buyer responsible for any/all inspections, compliances or escrows as needed. Fax all highest and best offers along with prequal letter or proof of funds to listing office. Earnest money must be certified funds only.

  8. 2007-02-27
    historical 302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    Corporate owned. Sold AS IS. No disclosures, no survey, no termite provided by seller. Buyer responsible for any/all inspections, compliances or escrows as needed. Fax all highest and best offers along with prequal letter or proof of funds to listing office. Earnest money must be certified funds only.

  9. 2006-08-22
    listed $118,525 302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    Corporate owned. Sold AS IS. No disclosures, no survey, no termite provided by seller. Buyer responsible for any/all inspections, compliances or escrows as needed. Fax all highest and best offers along with prequal letter or proof of funds to listing office. Earnest money must be certified funds only.

  10. 2004-10-28
    soldstatus $145,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,258 · $438/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,258 · $438/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,987
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$5,258
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,719
− Management
−$2,719
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable income
$7,982
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,916
After-tax cash flow
$8,135/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rich Twp Hsd 227
NCES district ID
1733420
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$56,056
Composite
8.93/100
National rank
#9885
State rank
#577 of 620 in IL

Livability — Matteson

Score
67/100
State rank
#525
US rank
#10883

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Matteson, IL
City population
20,606
Population (ZIP)
20,606

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 72% White 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -89.68%
Current HPI
185.4404
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-27.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
  • 2007-03-22 Sold (MLS) $105,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-02-27 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-08-22 Listed $118,525 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2023): $5,258 · +33.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…