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607 Toledo St
B Composite 70.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

607 Toledo St · Dundee, MI 48131
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,630 sqft · SingleFamily · 8 Days on market
0.39 ac lot Est $253k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor special with tons of potential in Dundee! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features a 2-car attached garage, plus major updates already completed including a new roof and windows in 2024. Damage near the front door was caused by water intrusion prior to the new roof installation. Priced well below market value and ready for your vision, this property offers a great opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build equity. Don't miss your chance to transform this home into something special!

Key facts

  • 0.39 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Listed 8 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the CURTIS subdivision; Directions: US-23 to Tecumseh / Monroe Street, East to Toledo Street, South to the Property

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Above-grade living area listed as 1,630 (square feet)
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 79 x 209 x 85 x 210; Lot size about 0.39 acres

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central air cooling
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Total of 6 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $383 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.1% in Dundee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#155 in MI, #3,834 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
  • Dundee Community Schools (town): math 42% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #99 of 540 in MI (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 264 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $104k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $145,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
9.46%
Cash-on-cash
11.32%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$252,650
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
607 Toledo St 0.00mi 3/1.5 1,630 (0%) 1mo $125,000 $77 99
531 Toledo St 0.05mi 3/2.5 1,817 (+12%) 13mo $282,000 $155 64
635 Riley St 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,665 (+2%) 17mo $269,000 $162 63
219 Washington St 0.27mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,550 (-5%) 21mo $260,000 $168 55
437 Corinth Circle Ln #237 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,592 (-2%) 15mo $388,168 $244 48
971 Strawberry St 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,408 (-14%) 7mo $250,000 $178 45
439 E Monroe St 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,446 (-11%) 3mo $143,000 $99 43
257 Ypsilanti St 0.51mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,500 (-8%) 23mo $237,800 $159 39
131 Kimberly Ln 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-14%) 13mo $76,500 $55 39
455 E Main St 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,441 (-12%) 20mo $175,000 $121 37
545 Main St 0.63mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,708 (+5%) 23mo $248,000 $145 37
573 Main St 0.67mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,855 (+14%) 20mo $199,000 $107 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.6%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$870
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
10.2%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$32,089
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48131

Active inventory
52
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,668 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,369/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$350
Net cashflow
$383

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,183
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 515-char remark
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    Investor special with tons of potential in Dundee! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features a 2-car attached garage, plus major updates already completed including a new roof and windows in 2024. Damage near the front door was caused by water intrusion prior to the new roof installation. Priced well below market value and ready for your vision, this property offers a great opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build equity. Don't miss your chance to transform this home into something special!

  2. 2026-05-15
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    Investor special with tons of potential in Dundee! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features a 2-car attached garage, plus major updates already completed including a new roof and windows in 2024. Damage near the front door was caused by water intrusion prior to the new roof installation. Priced well below market value and ready for your vision, this property offers a great opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build equity. Don't miss your chance to transform this home into something special!

  3. 2026-05-12
    price $145,000 515-char remark
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    Investor special with tons of potential in Dundee! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features a 2-car attached garage, plus major updates already completed including a new roof and windows in 2024. Damage near the front door was caused by water intrusion prior to the new roof installation. Priced well below market value and ready for your vision, this property offers a great opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build equity. Don't miss your chance to transform this home into something special!

  4. 2026-05-11
    status Active 515-char remark
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    Investor special with tons of potential in Dundee! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features a 2-car attached garage, plus major updates already completed including a new roof and windows in 2024. Damage near the front door was caused by water intrusion prior to the new roof installation. Priced well below market value and ready for your vision, this property offers a great opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build equity. Don't miss your chance to transform this home into something special!

  5. 2026-05-11
    price $145,000
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    Investor special with tons of potential in Dundee! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features a 2-car attached garage, plus major updates already completed including a new roof and windows in 2024. Damage near the front door was caused by water intrusion prior to the new roof installation. Priced well below market value and ready for your vision, this property offers a great opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build equity. Don't miss your chance to transform this home into something special!

  6. 2026-05-11
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    Investor special with tons of potential in Dundee! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features a 2-car attached garage, plus major updates already completed including a new roof and windows in 2024. Damage near the front door was caused by water intrusion prior to the new roof installation. Priced well below market value and ready for your vision, this property offers a great opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build equity. Don't miss your chance to transform this home into something special!

  7. 2026-05-01
    status Pending 515-char remark
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    Investor special with tons of potential in Dundee! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features a 2-car attached garage, plus major updates already completed including a new roof and windows in 2024. Damage near the front door was caused by water intrusion prior to the new roof installation. Priced well below market value and ready for your vision, this property offers a great opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build equity. Don't miss your chance to transform this home into something special!

  8. 2026-05-01
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    Investor special with tons of potential in Dundee! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features a 2-car attached garage, plus major updates already completed including a new roof and windows in 2024. Damage near the front door was caused by water intrusion prior to the new roof installation. Priced well below market value and ready for your vision, this property offers a great opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build equity. Don't miss your chance to transform this home into something special!

  9. 2026-04-28
    listed $160,000 Active 515-char remark
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    Investor special with tons of potential in Dundee! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features a 2-car attached garage, plus major updates already completed including a new roof and windows in 2024. Damage near the front door was caused by water intrusion prior to the new roof installation. Priced well below market value and ready for your vision, this property offers a great opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build equity. Don't miss your chance to transform this home into something special!

  10. 2026-04-28
    listed $160,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    Investor special with tons of potential in Dundee! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features a 2-car attached garage, plus major updates already completed including a new roof and windows in 2024. Damage near the front door was caused by water intrusion prior to the new roof installation. Priced well below market value and ready for your vision, this property offers a great opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build equity. Don't miss your chance to transform this home into something special!

  11. 2026-04-21
    historical $160,000 515-char remark
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    Investor special with tons of potential in Dundee! This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features a 2-car attached garage, plus major updates already completed including a new roof and windows in 2024. Damage near the front door was caused by water intrusion prior to the new roof installation. Priced well below market value and ready for your vision, this property offers a great opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build equity. Don't miss your chance to transform this home into something special!

  12. 2012-12-21
    soldstatus $104,000
  13. 2012-12-07
    soldstatus $104,000 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Move in ready! Spotless in Dundee, two updated baths, newer carpet and tons of room both in and out. The home features a two car attached garage with storage and a second garage set up with the handyman in mind. Deck has a Sunsetter retractable remote awning that automatically close when windy. Large laundry room could also double as office/craft room. Very well maintained and close downtown.

  14. 2012-12-07
    soldstatus $104,000
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Move in ready! Spotless in Dundee, two updated baths, newer carpet and tons of room both in and out. The home features a two car attached garage with storage and a second garage set up with the handyman in mind. Deck has a Sunsetter retractable remote awning that automatically close when windy. Large laundry room could also double as office/craft room. Very well maintained and close downtown.

  15. 2012-11-05
    historical 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Move in ready! Spotless in Dundee, two updated baths, newer carpet and tons of room both in and out. The home features a two car attached garage with storage and a second garage set up with the handyman in mind. Deck has a Sunsetter retractable remote awning that automatically close when windy. Large laundry room could also double as office/craft room. Very well maintained and close downtown.

  16. 2012-08-06
    listed $99,000 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Move in ready! Spotless in Dundee, two updated baths, newer carpet and tons of room both in and out. The home features a two car attached garage with storage and a second garage set up with the handyman in mind. Deck has a Sunsetter retractable remote awning that automatically close when windy. Large laundry room could also double as office/craft room. Very well maintained and close downtown.

  17. 2012-08-06
    listed $99,000
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Move in ready! Spotless in Dundee, two updated baths, newer carpet and tons of room both in and out. The home features a two car attached garage with storage and a second garage set up with the handyman in mind. Deck has a Sunsetter retractable remote awning that automatically close when windy. Large laundry room could also double as office/craft room. Very well maintained and close downtown.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,369 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,801 · $150/mo
Expected delta
+$432/yr (+$36/mo · 31.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,016
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$1,369
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,601
− Management
−$1,601
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$2,379
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$571
After-tax cash flow
$4,023/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dundee Community Schools
NCES district ID
2612300
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$55,640
Composite
42.85/100
National rank
#3128
State rank
#99 of 540 in MI

Livability — Dundee

Score
75/100
State rank
#155
US rank
#3834

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dundee, MI
Population (ZIP)
8,306

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
144,439 people
By 2030
140,033 · -3.1%
By 2040
128,408 · -11.1%
By 2050
115,024 · -20.4%
By 2075
87,273 · -39.6%
By 2100
63,110 · -56.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 7% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.1) · D 35.7% · R 62.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-31.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: -27.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.1 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.1 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+4.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -138.90%
Current HPI
187.4214
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+46.5% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $145,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $145,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-11 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-01 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $160,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $160,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-21 Coming Soon $160,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $104,000 Public Records
  • 2012-12-07 Sold (MLS) $104,000 REALCOMP
  • 2012-12-07 Sold (MLS) $104,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-11-05 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-08-06 Listed $99,000 REALCOMP
  • 2012-08-06 Listed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,369 · +9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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