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1704 10th Ave N
D Composite 40.7
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.6/15.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

1704 10th Ave N · Grand Forks, ND 58203
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 912 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1956 6,860 sqft lot Est $221k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Ranch style - nice yard w/ xlg single garage - newer siding & shingles & doors on garage. Lg yard shed w/ power + vinyl sided & new shingles w/ concrete block floor. Home has nice cabinets, newer woodwork & doors. New furnace 2016. Newer basement windows. Landscaped. C/A. Have new carpet for living room & hall (not installed).

Key facts

  • Powered storage shed
  • 6,860 sq ft lot
  • Garage

Tags

ABUNDANT KITCHEN CABINETRYPOWERED STORAGE SHEDNICELY MAINTAINED YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached or attached garage with 1 car space
  • Utilities: Public water; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 6,860 sq ft (49 x 140)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central cooling
  • Interior features: Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2 ($19/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $173k (23.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $173k (23.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.2% in Grand Forks — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in ND, #2,645 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+.
  • Grand Forks 1 (urban): math 37% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #27 of 53 in ND (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Nathan Twining Elementary School (math 62% / reading 57%, grade B-, #19 of 236 statewide, top 13%, 227 students, 17% FRL); Valley Middle School (math 22% / reading 40%, grade F, #31 of 35 statewide, top 88%, 513 students, 56% FRL); Central High School (math 29% / reading 56%, grade F, #48 of 144 statewide, top 33%, 1,093 students, 32% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 133 units permitted in Grand Forks County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Grand Forks County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $173,177 (23.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.30%
Cash-on-cash
0.03%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$220,704
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1905 11th Ave N 0.16mi 3/1.0 952 (+4%) 3mo $209,000 $220 82
716 6th Ave N 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 902 (-1%) 1mo $189,999 $211 71
2206 6th Ave N 0.42mi 3/1.5 952 (+4%) 1mo $230,000 $242 70
1201 University Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 899 (-1%) 7mo $225,000 $250 60
2406 9th Ave N 0.50mi 3/2.0 864 (-5%) 8mo $239,900 $278 57
1703 N 6th St 0.47mi 3/2.0 825 (-10%) 1mo $240,000 $291 57
2101 10th Ave N 0.28mi 3/2.5 1,012 (+11%) 6mo $267,500 $264 57
2302 9th Ave N 0.43mi 4/2.0 (+1) 980 (+8%) 6mo $233,900 $239 54
715 N 4th St 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,028 (+13%) 5mo $194,900 $190 54
810 N 5th Street St 0.36mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,035 (+14%) 6mo $134,900 $130 51
1007 2nd Ave N 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 851 (-7%) 6mo $100,000 $118 44
1822 4th St N 0.68mi 4/2.0 (+1) 988 (+8%) 4mo $304,900 $309 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.4%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-31,157
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
-0.9%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-4,295
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58203

Rents YoY
6.0%
Active inventory
56
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,732 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,114/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$364
Net cashflow
$2

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,730
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $129 -5% $65 +0% $2 +5% $-62 +10% $-126
Rent -10% $-135 -5% $-67 +0% $2 +5% $70 +10% $138
Rate -1.0pp $115 -0.5pp $59 base $2 +0.5pp $-57 +1.0pp $-116

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
214 N 4th St Grand Forks, ND 3.0 1.0–2.0 974 $2,345 $2.41 45d 1 0.80mi
3544 11th Ave N Grand Forks, ND 2.0 1.0 640 $925 $1.44 45d 8 1.38mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $225,000 Pending 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $225,000 Active Under Contract 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $225,000 Active Under Contract 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $225,000 Active Under Contract 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $225,000 Active Under Contract 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $225,000 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    listed $225,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,114 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,205 · $184/mo
Expected delta
+$1,091/yr (+$91/mo · 97.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,781
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$1,114
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,662
− Management
−$1,662
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$3,932
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$944
After-tax cash flow
$963/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Grand Forks 1
NCES district ID
3808130
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$44,234
Composite
36.39/100
National rank
#4681
State rank
#27 of 53 in ND

Livability — Grand Forks

Score
78/100
State rank
#8
US rank
#2645

Category grades

Amenities B Commute C+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Grand Forks, ND
County
Grand Forks County · 58,851 people
City population
58,851
Metro
Grand Forks, ND-MN
Population (ZIP)
16,478
Household income
$60,474
Rent vs Own
55.2% rent · 44.8% own
Severe rent burden
1031.0

Population outlook (Grand Forks County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
80,606 people
By 2030
86,489 · +7.3%
By 2040
99,506 · +23.4%
By 2050
115,269 · +43.0%
By 2075
171,303 · +112.5%
By 2100
238,330 · +195.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 6% Two or more races 6% Native American 3% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 23% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Grand Forks

2024 margin
R (+18.2) · D 40.1% · R 58.3% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-23.3pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.2 2020: R+13.3 2016: R+18.5 2012: R+3.5 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -146.25%
Current HPI
183.3667
Rent YoY
▲ 5.95%
Metro
Grand Forks, ND-MN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+50.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $225,000 GFAAR
  • 2018-05-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-05-24 Sold (MLS) GFAAR
  • 2018-04-02 Listed $149,900 GFAAR
  • 1999-08-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,114 · -47.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…