1704 10th Ave N · Grand Forks, ND
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.3/30.0
- ARV discount +6.6/15.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ranch style - nice yard w/ xlg single garage - newer siding & shingles & doors on garage. Lg yard shed w/ power + vinyl sided & new shingles w/ concrete block floor. Home has nice cabinets, newer woodwork & doors. New furnace 2016. Newer basement windows. Landscaped. C/A. Have new carpet for living room & hall (not installed).
Key facts
- Powered storage shed
- 6,860 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached garage with 1 car space
- Utilities: Public water; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 6,860 sq ft (49 x 140)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central cooling
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2 ($19/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $173k (23.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $173k (23.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.2% in Grand Forks — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in ND, #2,645 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+.
- Grand Forks 1 (urban): math 37% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #27 of 53 in ND (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Nathan Twining Elementary School (math 62% / reading 57%, grade B-, #19 of 236 statewide, top 13%, 227 students, 17% FRL); Valley Middle School (math 22% / reading 40%, grade F, #31 of 35 statewide, top 88%, 513 students, 56% FRL); Central High School (math 29% / reading 56%, grade F, #48 of 144 statewide, top 33%, 1,093 students, 32% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 133 units permitted in Grand Forks County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grand Forks County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.03%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $220,704
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1905 11th Ave N | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 952 (+4%) | 3mo | $209,000 | $220 | 82 |
| 716 6th Ave N | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 902 (-1%) | 1mo | $189,999 | $211 | 71 |
| 2206 6th Ave N | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 952 (+4%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $242 | 70 |
| 1201 University Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 899 (-1%) | 7mo | $225,000 | $250 | 60 |
| 2406 9th Ave N | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 864 (-5%) | 8mo | $239,900 | $278 | 57 |
| 1703 N 6th St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 825 (-10%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $291 | 57 |
| 2101 10th Ave N | 0.28mi | 3/2.5 | 1,012 (+11%) | 6mo | $267,500 | $264 | 57 |
| 2302 9th Ave N | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 980 (+8%) | 6mo | $233,900 | $239 | 54 |
| 715 N 4th St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,028 (+13%) | 5mo | $194,900 | $190 | 54 |
| 810 N 5th Street St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,035 (+14%) | 6mo | $134,900 | $130 | 51 |
| 1007 2nd Ave N | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 851 (-7%) | 6mo | $100,000 | $118 | 44 |
| 1822 4th St N | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 988 (+8%) | 4mo | $304,900 | $309 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-31,157
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-4,295
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58203
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,732 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,114/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$364
- Net cashflow
- $2
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $129 | -5% $65 | +0% $2 | +5% $-62 | +10% $-126 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-135 | -5% $-67 | +0% $2 | +5% $70 | +10% $138 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $115 | -0.5pp $59 | base $2 | +0.5pp $-57 | +1.0pp $-116 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 N 4th St Grand Forks, ND | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 974 | $2,345 | $2.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3544 11th Ave N Grand Forks, ND | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $925 | $1.44 | 45d | 8 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-17status $225,000 Pending 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $225,000 Active Under Contract 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $225,000 Active Under Contract 7 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $225,000 Active Under Contract 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $225,000 Active Under Contract 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $225,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09$225,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,114 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,205 · $184/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,091/yr (+$91/mo · 97.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,781
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$1,114
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,662
- − Management
- −$1,662
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$3,932
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$944
- After-tax cash flow
- $963/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grand Forks 1
- NCES district ID
- 3808130
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,234
- Composite
- 36.39/100
- National rank
- #4681
- State rank
- #27 of 53 in ND
Livability — Grand Forks
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #2645
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Grand Forks, ND
- County
- Grand Forks County · 58,851 people
- City population
- 58,851
- Metro
- Grand Forks, ND-MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,478
- Household income
- $60,474
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1031.0
Population outlook (Grand Forks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 80,606 people
- By 2030
- 86,489 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 99,506 · +23.4%
- By 2050
- 115,269 · +43.0%
- By 2075
- 171,303 · +112.5%
- By 2100
- 238,330 · +195.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 6% Two or more races 6% Native American 3% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 23% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Grand Forks
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.2) · D 40.1% · R 58.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.3pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+13.3 2016: R+18.5 2012: R+3.5 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -146.25%
- Current HPI
- 183.3667
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.95%
- Metro
- Grand Forks, ND-MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
+50.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $225,000 GFAAR
- 2018-05-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-05-24 Sold (MLS) — GFAAR
- 2018-04-02 Listed $149,900 GFAAR
- 1999-08-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,114 · -47.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…