237 High Pass Way · Emerald Lakes, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$230,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Perched at the top of the Village at Camelback on the mountainside, this end-unit townhome offers panoramic views and easy ski-down access for the ultimate mountain retreat. The wraparound deck provides the perfect spot to relax and take in the scenery year-round. Inside, the main level features a spacious living room with a free-standing wood-burning stove, soaring ceilings open to the second story, and sliding glass doors leading to the deck. The kitchen and convenient powder room complete the main floor. Upstairs, the loft-style space can serve as a primary bedroom and includes an en-suite bath. The lower level offers two additional bedrooms, a full bath, and a laundry area, providing pl
Key facts
- Ski down access
- Sliding glass doors
- Soaring ceilings
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Village At Camelback subdivision; directions: take Sullivan Trail to Camelback Road, left into gated community (stop at gate house)
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee of $499 (about $41.58/month); HOA covers water, sewer, trash, snow removal, security, ground and structure maintenance; Community amenities include clubhouse, indoor pool, spa/hot tub, fitness center, tennis courts, basketball court, and ski access
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned open parking; 2 open parking spaces
- Security: 24-hour security; Gated community
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Attached townhouse; 1 common wall; Residential property
- Construction: Raised foundation; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Wrap-around porch; Deck; Cleared lot; Private paved road access (private road with road maintenance agreement); Security gate
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Trash compactor
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating (electric); Ceiling fans; Wall cooling units
- Interior features: High ceilings; Open floorplan; Living room wood-burning free-standing fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-12 ($-142/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $228k (0.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $217k (5.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $217k (5.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.0% in Emerald Lakes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#974 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-40 appreciation (-0.0% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.22%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.02% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-7,550
- Equity at exit
- $66,587
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $22,889
- Equity at exit
- $79,883
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18372
- Home prices YoY
- -0.0%
- Active inventory
- 93
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,166 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$379 /mo · $4,550/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$42
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$455
- Net cashflow
- $-12
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $42 · $504/yr
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-22$230,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,550 · $379/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,550 · $379/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,996
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$4,550
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,080
- − Management
- −$2,080
- − HOA
- −$504
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable loss
- −$3,942
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$946
- After-tax cash flow
- $805/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocono Mountain SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219500
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,317
- Composite
- 39.91/100
- National rank
- #3856
- State rank
- #245 of 539 in PA
Livability — Emerald Lakes
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #974
- US rank
- #10662
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,397
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Russian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Other Indo-European 12% Chinese 7% Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▬ -0.02%
- Current HPI
- 147.7957
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $230,000 PMAR
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2026): $4,550 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…