709 N Collins Fwy #130 · Howe, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this HANDICAP MOBILE HOME that's well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the Pradera community in Howe. This home offers a functional layout with a comfortable living area, a dedicated kitchen space, and a separate laundry area for added convenience. Designed with accessibility in mind, the home features widened interior doorways and an accessible layout throughout. One bathroom includes accessibility adaptations to better accommodate a variety of mobility needs. Additional features include a rear entry door and assigned parking. Residents of the community enjoy access to shared amenities, including a swimming pool, park, basketball court, and a clubhouse available for
Key facts
- Rear entry door
- Functional layout
- Assigned parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Accessible full bath and accessible doors
- Financial info: Listing accepts cash and private financing (treat as clear loan type); No second mortgage
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking
- Security: Fire sprinkler system
- Utilities: City water; No municipal utility district
- Home design: Residential mobile home; Not attached to another property
- Construction: Siding exterior; Slab foundation; Built in 2016
- Exterior features: Side porch; Zero lot (mobile home park lot)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level); Primary bedroom on main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Cable TV available; One living area; One dining area; 8 total rooms; One-level layout
- Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $860 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.1% vs local median 4.5% in Howe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#368 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Howe ISD (rural): math 47% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #180 of 826 in TX (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,272 units permitted in Grayson County in 2024 (750 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grayson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.85% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 67.03%
- DSCR
- 3.98
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 66.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.98×
- Total profit
- $45,898
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 70.6%
- Equity multiple
- 8.18×
- Total profit
- $110,611
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75459
- Home prices YoY
- -18.5%
- Active inventory
- 142
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,570 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$69 /mo · $825/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$330
- Net cashflow
- $860
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
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Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
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- Monthly cashflow
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- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
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- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116 N Western Hills Dr Howe, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 852 | $1,570 | $1.84 | 1d | 19 | 0.45mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-04-23$62,800 Active 981-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,840
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$825
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,507
- − Management
- −$1,507
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $10,045
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,411
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,912/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This handicap-friendly mobile home is in good condition with updated kitchen and bathroom. It offers a functional layout and accessibility features. A fresh paint job and HVAC replacement would significantly enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace the HVAC system — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace the HVAC system — Improves comfort and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Howe ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823670
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,164
- Composite
- 42.92/100
- National rank
- #3119
- State rank
- #180 of 826 in TX
Livability — Howe
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #368
- US rank
- #7804
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Howe, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,620
Population outlook (Grayson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 134,540 people
- By 2030
- 138,653 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 145,958 · +8.5%
- By 2050
- 151,218 · +12.4%
- By 2075
- 161,802 · +20.3%
- By 2100
- 159,036 · +18.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 9% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 27%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 17%
Political lean MEDSL · Grayson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.5% · R 76.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -54.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.3 2020: R+49.9 2016: R+53.1 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+37.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
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Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.75%
- Current HPI
- 249.7211
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-12.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $55,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $62,800 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…