CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1157 Chestnut St
B- Composite 67.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0

$157,900

1157 Chestnut St · Camden, NJ 08103
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,530 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1910 1,599 sqft lot Est $196k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Rare single family home in great condition. This home offers lots of space, nice size rooms, designated laundry room on the main level. Nice size fenced in yard. Great for first time home buyer or investor looking for a turn key income property.

Key facts

  • 1,599 sq ft lot
  • Built 1910
  • Listed 17 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
  • Home design: Detached property; Year built (source: Assessor)
  • Construction: Block construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Above- and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 20 x 0

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper level); One half bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water baseboard heating; Natural gas heating and hot water
  • Interior features: Full basement; Multiple access/egress points (2+ access exits)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $158k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $264 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $158k).
  • Recommended offer: $156k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 7.1% in Camden — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#262 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Camden City School District (urban): math 3% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #472 of 472 in NJ (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,797/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1141% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.4%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($156k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $115k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $155,531 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.80%
Cash-on-cash
8.96%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$195,840
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1128 Everett St 0.41mi 3/1.5 1,575 (+3%) 12mo $175,000 $111 66
1243 Magnolia Ave 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,460 (-5%) 6mo $115,000 $79 66
1114 Langham Ave 0.28mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,688 (+10%) 0mo $305,000 $181 65
1216 Sheridan St 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,524 (-0%) 5mo $252,000 $165 65
1314 Atlantic Ave 0.41mi 3/1.5 1,380 (-10%) 2mo $245,000 $178 63
1240 Chase Street St S 0.59mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,500 (-2%) 2mo $143,000 $95 63
634 Walnut St 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,462 (-4%) 8mo $225,000 $154 62
1553 Wildwood Ave 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-6%) 10mo $128,000 $89 60
1353 Park Blvd 0.21mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,638 (+7%) 15mo $210,000 $128 59
1460 Belleview Ave 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,483 (-3%) 12mo $194,000 $131 58
1306 Thurman St 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,398 (-9%) 4mo $140,000 $100 55
851 Carl Miller Blvd 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,557 (+2%) 12mo $190,000 $122 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-4,448
Equity at exit
$28,099
10-year hold
IRR
6.1%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$21,768
Equity at exit
$21,608

Cash invested: $44,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08103

Home prices YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
64
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,797 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$828
Tax from tax record
$196 /mo · $2,352/yr
Insurance
$66
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$377
Net cashflow
$264

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,464
Max offer price $157,900
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,475
Closing costs
$4,737
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1055 Kenwood Ave Camden, NJ 4.0 1.0 1088 $1,875 $1.72 24d 1 0.22mi
840 Haddon Ave Unit A Camden, NJ 2.0 1.0 2032 $1,725 $0.85 24d 1 0.25mi
1455 Wildwood Ave Camden, NJ 3.0 1.5 1353 $1,900 $1.40 10d 1 0.34mi
1509 Park Blvd Camden, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 1075 $1,650 $1.53 24d 1 0.40mi
1502 S 9th St Camden, NJ 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,475 $1.40 20d 1 0.43mi
537 Newton Ave Camden, NJ 2.0 1.0 1092 $1,500 $1.37 13d 1 0.51mi
537 Newton Ave Camden, NJ 2.0 1.0 1092 $1,500 $1.37 19d 1 0.51mi
708 Royden St Camden, NJ 3.0 1.0 1113 $1,595 $1.43 17d 1 0.51mi
457 Mechanic St Camden, NJ 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,950 $1.62 19d 1 0.69mi
609 Henry St Camden, NJ 3.0 1.0 1290 $1,600 $1.24 24d 1 0.80mi
440 Henry St Camden, NJ 3.0 1.5 1224 $2,200 $1.80 24d 1 0.86mi
264 Boyd St Unit B Camden, NJ 2.0 1.0 1616 $1,700 $1.05 24d 1 1.16mi
209 Cedar Ave Oaklyn, NJ 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,800 $1.29 5d 1 1.21mi
209 Cedar Ave Oaklyn, NJ 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,500 $1.07 17d 1 1.21mi
1 Market St Camden, NJ 3.0 1.0–2.0 1190 $2,456 $2.06 2d 15 1.40mi
324 S 27th St Camden, NJ 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,900 $1.65 24d 1 1.47mi
2752 Mickle St Camden, NJ 3.0 1.0 1450 $1,850 $1.28 17d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-05-03
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-24
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-04-08
    listed $157,900 Active
  4. 2026-04-07
    historical $157,900
  5. 2022-02-03
    soldstatus $115,000
  6. 2021-10-29
    soldstatus $115,000 Closed 245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    Rare single family home in great condition. This home offers lots of space, nice size rooms, designated laundry room on the main level. Nice size fenced in yard. Great for first time home buyer or investor looking for a turn key income property.

  7. 2021-09-24
    status Pending 245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    Rare single family home in great condition. This home offers lots of space, nice size rooms, designated laundry room on the main level. Nice size fenced in yard. Great for first time home buyer or investor looking for a turn key income property.

  8. 2021-08-27
    price $115,320 245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    Rare single family home in great condition. This home offers lots of space, nice size rooms, designated laundry room on the main level. Nice size fenced in yard. Great for first time home buyer or investor looking for a turn key income property.

  9. 2021-08-25
    status Active 245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    Rare single family home in great condition. This home offers lots of space, nice size rooms, designated laundry room on the main level. Nice size fenced in yard. Great for first time home buyer or investor looking for a turn key income property.

  10. 2021-06-15
    historical 245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    Rare single family home in great condition. This home offers lots of space, nice size rooms, designated laundry room on the main level. Nice size fenced in yard. Great for first time home buyer or investor looking for a turn key income property.

  11. 2021-06-08
    price $115,000 245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    Rare single family home in great condition. This home offers lots of space, nice size rooms, designated laundry room on the main level. Nice size fenced in yard. Great for first time home buyer or investor looking for a turn key income property.

  12. 2021-05-02
    listed $145,000 Active 245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    Rare single family home in great condition. This home offers lots of space, nice size rooms, designated laundry room on the main level. Nice size fenced in yard. Great for first time home buyer or investor looking for a turn key income property.

  13. 2013-03-24
    historical
  14. 2012-09-24
    listed $74,900
  15. 2009-02-08
    historical
  16. 2008-08-08
    listed $79,900
  17. 2003-07-26
    historical
  18. 2003-03-26
    listed $39,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,352 · $196/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,142 · $262/mo
Expected delta
+$790/yr (+$66/mo · 33.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,569
− Mortgage interest
−$8,845
− Property taxes
−$2,352
− Insurance
−$1,587
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,725
− Management
−$1,725
− Depreciation
−$4,593
Taxable income
$740
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$178
After-tax cash flow
$2,986/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Camden City School District
NCES district ID
3402640
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$25,845
Composite
6.85/100
National rank
#9981
State rank
#472 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Camden

Score
70/100
State rank
#262
US rank
#7721

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Camden, NJ
County
Camden County · 407,624 people
City population
20,865
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
12,573
Household income
$36,793
Rent vs Own
65.2% rent · 34.8% own
Severe rent burden
1141.0

Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
507,964 people
By 2030
502,182 · -1.1%
By 2040
485,602 · -4.4%
By 2050
465,630 · -8.3%
By 2075
419,986 · -17.3%
By 2100
369,492 · -27.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 54% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 9% White 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 19% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 22% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Camden

2024 margin
Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.36%
Current HPI
162.557
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+295.7% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-24 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $157,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-07 Coming Soon $157,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 2021-10-29 Sold (MLS) $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-09-24 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-08-27 Price Changed $115,320 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-08-25 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-06-15 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-06-08 Price Changed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-05-02 Listed $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-03-24 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-09-24 Listed $74,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-02-08 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-08-08 Listed $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2003-07-26 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2003-03-26 Listed $39,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,352 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…