1351 W Theo · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 78.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.5/30.0
- ARV discount +8.1/15.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 1351 E. Theo Located between Nogalitos & Zaramora close to IH 35 South / HWY 90. This 2 bedroom 1 bath home conveniently located close to major Highways with easy access to downtown San Antonio. This home has a freshly painted Exterior, New Shingle Roof, has original wood flooring, Freshly Painted Kitchen, Updated Bathroom, and a New Water Heater. Large Back Yard for family gatherings and BBQ Cookouts. Come schedule a showing before it goes. .. ..
Key facts
- New water heater
- New shingle roof
- Updated bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Subdivision: Nogalitos Heights; Community legal name: Palm Heights
Exterior
- Parking: Attached parking
- Utilities: City water/sewer
- Home design: Pre-owned property; Approximate age: 87 years
- Construction: Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Siding exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen approx. 7 x 12
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom is split layout; Master bedroom approx. 11 x 10; Second bedroom approx. 11 x 12
- Flooring: Wood flooring; Vinyl flooring; Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Other heating fuel (see remarks)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Washer and dryer connections; All window coverings remain; One living area
- Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Dryer connection
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $115 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Hillcrest El (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #4,259 of 4,322 statewide, top 99%, 354 students, 93% FRL); Burbank H S (math 9% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,522 of 1,632 statewide, top 94%, 1,319 students, 90% FRL, charter).
- Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.11%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $121,404
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1419 W Malone Ave | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 995 (+10%) | 5mo | $129,999 | $131 | 75 |
| 426 Royston | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 852 (-6%) | 5mo | $124,975 | $147 | 74 |
| 346 Thompson | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (+3%) | 1mo | $77,000 | $82 | 66 |
| 227 Southway Dr | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+6%) | 2mo | $109,900 | $114 | 62 |
| 115 Elmo | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (-10%) | 6mo | $99,550 | $122 | 59 |
| 855 Cavalier | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,035 (+14%) | 6mo | $50,000 | $48 | 52 |
| 106 Wichita Ct | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,002 (+11%) | 0mo | $75,000 | $75 | 51 |
| 231 Carroll | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 852 (-6%) | 10mo | $125,000 | $147 | 50 |
| 347 Carroll St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 792 (-13%) | 8mo | $106,000 | $134 | 48 |
| 113 Ross | 0.42mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 800 (-12%) | 10mo | $155,000 | $194 | 45 |
| 147 Walton | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 800 (-12%) | 4mo | $219,999 | $275 | 39 |
| 122 Hoover | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,034 (+14%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $164 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.81% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $27,082
- Equity at exit
- $59,446
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.39×
- Total profit
- $80,083
- Equity at exit
- $96,171
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78225
- Home prices YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 36
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,370 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$289 /mo · $3,464/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$288
- Net cashflow
- $115
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $183 | -5% $149 | +0% $115 | +5% $81 | +10% $47 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $7 | -5% $61 | +0% $115 | +5% $169 | +10% $223 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $175 | -0.5pp $146 | base $115 | +0.5pp $84 | +1.0pp $52 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 150 Hearne San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,400 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 626 Kirk Pl San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,100 | $1.21 | 20d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3103 Neptune St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,350 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 450 Taft Blvd San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 883 | $1,295 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 350 Barrett Pl San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 616 | $1,225 | $1.99 | 5d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 329 Taft Blvd San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 862 | $2,200 | $2.55 | 2d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 416 Collingsworth Unit 2 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 570 | $1,100 | $1.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1222 Brighton Ave Unit B San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $999 | $1.38 | 18d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 843 Brady Blvd San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $1,650 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 834 Division Ave San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 834 Division Ave Unit 2 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $950 | $1.01 | 5d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 815 Ripford St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,300 | $1.79 | 5d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2003 S Zarzamora St San Antonio, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1028 | $1,257 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1938 S Zarzamora St Unit 710 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 955 | $1,102 | $1.15 | 3d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 319 Noria St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 520 Prado St Unit 1 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $799 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $119,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $119,900 New 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 New 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 New 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 New 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 New 4 DOM
-
2026-05-27$119,900 New
-
2026-01-29soldstatus
-
2011-07-14soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,464 · $289/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,464 · $289/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,443
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$3,464
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,315
- − Management
- −$1,315
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable loss
- −$456
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$109
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,491/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Antonio ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838730
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,952
- Composite
- 13.57/100
- National rank
- #9512
- State rank
- #805 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,104
- Household income
- $46,955
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 381.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 91% Two or more races 41% White 5% Black 4% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 85%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 35% English-only · Spanish 65%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.81%
- Current HPI
- 264.2018
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $119,900 LERA
- 2026-01-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2011-07-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,464 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…