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1351 W Theo
C Composite 56.12
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.1/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0

$119,900

1351 W Theo · San Antonio, TX 78225
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 906 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1939 6,882 sqft lot Est $121k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 1351 E. Theo Located between Nogalitos & Zaramora close to IH 35 South / HWY 90. This 2 bedroom 1 bath home conveniently located close to major Highways with easy access to downtown San Antonio. This home has a freshly painted Exterior, New Shingle Roof, has original wood flooring, Freshly Painted Kitchen, Updated Bathroom, and a New Water Heater. Large Back Yard for family gatherings and BBQ Cookouts. Come schedule a showing before it goes. .. ..

Key facts

  • New water heater
  • New shingle roof
  • Updated bathroom

Tags

FRESHLY PAINTED EXTERIORNEW SHINGLE ROOFORIGINAL WOOD FLOORINGFRESHLY PAINTED KITCHENUPDATED BATHROOMNEW WATER HEATER

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Subdivision: Nogalitos Heights; Community legal name: Palm Heights

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached parking
  • Utilities: City water/sewer
  • Home design: Pre-owned property; Approximate age: 87 years
  • Construction: Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Siding exterior

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen approx. 7 x 12
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom is split layout; Master bedroom approx. 11 x 10; Second bedroom approx. 11 x 12
  • Flooring: Wood flooring; Vinyl flooring; Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating fuel (see remarks)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Washer and dryer connections; All window coverings remain; One living area
  • Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Dryer connection

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $115 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Hillcrest El (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #4,259 of 4,322 statewide, top 99%, 354 students, 93% FRL); Burbank H S (math 9% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,522 of 1,632 statewide, top 94%, 1,319 students, 90% FRL, charter).
  • Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,101 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
7.44%
Cash-on-cash
4.11%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$121,404
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1419 W Malone Ave 0.10mi 3/1.0 995 (+10%) 5mo $129,999 $131 75
426 Royston 0.15mi 2/1.0 (-1) 852 (-6%) 5mo $124,975 $147 74
346 Thompson 0.59mi 3/1.0 936 (+3%) 1mo $77,000 $82 66
227 Southway Dr 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (+6%) 2mo $109,900 $114 62
115 Elmo 0.32mi 2/1.0 (-1) 816 (-10%) 6mo $99,550 $122 59
855 Cavalier 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,035 (+14%) 6mo $50,000 $48 52
106 Wichita Ct 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,002 (+11%) 0mo $75,000 $75 51
231 Carroll 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 852 (-6%) 10mo $125,000 $147 50
347 Carroll St 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (-13%) 8mo $106,000 $134 48
113 Ross 0.42mi 2/1.5 (-1) 800 (-12%) 10mo $155,000 $194 45
147 Walton 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (-12%) 4mo $219,999 $275 39
122 Hoover 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,034 (+14%) 1mo $170,000 $164 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.81% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.5%
Equity multiple
1.81×
Total profit
$27,082
Equity at exit
$59,446
10-year hold
IRR
14.9%
Equity multiple
3.39×
Total profit
$80,083
Equity at exit
$96,171

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78225

Home prices YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
36
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,370 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$289 /mo · $3,464/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$288
Net cashflow
$115

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,225
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $183 -5% $149 +0% $115 +5% $81 +10% $47
Rent -10% $7 -5% $61 +0% $115 +5% $169 +10% $223
Rate -1.0pp $175 -0.5pp $146 base $115 +0.5pp $84 +1.0pp $52

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
150 Hearne San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 1044 $1,400 $1.34 24d 1 0.51mi
626 Kirk Pl San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 912 $1,100 $1.21 20d 1 0.56mi
3103 Neptune St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1008 $1,350 $1.34 44d 1 0.57mi
450 Taft Blvd San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 883 $1,295 $1.47 44d 1 0.58mi
350 Barrett Pl San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 616 $1,225 $1.99 5d 1 0.64mi
329 Taft Blvd San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 862 $2,200 $2.55 2d 1 0.72mi
416 Collingsworth Unit 2 San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 570 $1,100 $1.93 44d 1 1.04mi
1222 Brighton Ave Unit B San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 725 $999 $1.38 18d 1 1.05mi
843 Brady Blvd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 864 $1,650 $1.91 24d 1 1.06mi
834 Division Ave San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 700 $1,050 $1.50 24d 1 1.06mi
834 Division Ave Unit 2 San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 936 $950 $1.01 5d 1 1.06mi
815 Ripford St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 728 $1,300 $1.79 5d 1 1.09mi
2003 S Zarzamora St San Antonio, TX 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1028 $1,257 $1.22 24d 1 1.13mi
1938 S Zarzamora St Unit 710 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 955 $1,102 $1.15 3d 1 1.17mi
319 Noria St San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1002 $1,100 $1.10 24d 1 1.23mi
520 Prado St Unit 1 San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 620 $799 $1.29 44d 1 1.24mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $119,900 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,900 New 8 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,900 New 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 New 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 New 5 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 New 4 DOM
  14. 2026-05-27
    listed $119,900 New
  15. 2026-01-29
    soldstatus
  16. 2011-07-14
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,464 · $289/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,464 · $289/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,443
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$3,464
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,315
− Management
−$1,315
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable loss
−$456
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$109
After-tax cash flow
$1,491/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Antonio ISD
NCES district ID
4838730
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$30,952
Composite
13.57/100
National rank
#9512
State rank
#805 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Antonio, TX
County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
1,806,925
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
13,104
Household income
$46,955
Rent vs Own
35.2% rent · 64.8% own
Severe rent burden
381.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 91% Two or more races 41% White 5% Black 4% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 85%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
35% English-only · Spanish 65%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.81%
Current HPI
264.2018
Rent YoY
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $119,900 LERA
  • 2026-01-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2011-07-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,464 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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