1248 Westfield Ln · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.5/30.0
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enjoy easy living in this inviting home featuring an open floor plan with a great room and kitchen, perfect for entertaining family and friends. The cozy den with a fireplace offers a warm and welcoming retreat. Inside, you’ll find laminate flooring in the bedrooms and distinctive stamped concrete flooring in the great room for style and durability. Step outside to a fully fenced backyard, ideal for pets, play, or relaxing outdoors. Conveniently located near East Montgomery shopping, dining, and restaurants, this home combines comfort, charm, and accessibility.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Laminate flooring
- Cozy den
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $152 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (8.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $179k (8.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 407 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $142k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.33%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $211,173
- List price
- $195,000
- Delta
- -7.66%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1229 Westfield Ln | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+5%) | 0mo | $216,000 | $161 | 90 |
| 1220 Westfield Ln | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,387 (+8%) | 4mo | $212,900 | $153 | 81 |
| 8720 Hallwood Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,392 (+9%) | 4mo | $210,800 | $151 | 79 |
| 1228 Westfield Ln | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,419 (+11%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $148 | 77 |
| 1335 Cameron Ct | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,308 (+2%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $157 | 74 |
| 1161 Stafford Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,373 (+7%) | 1mo | $200,500 | $146 | 73 |
| 8724 Hallwood Dr | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,410 (+10%) | 2mo | $213,000 | $151 | 73 |
| 1218 Stafford Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,389 (+8%) | 8mo | $218,000 | $157 | 66 |
| 1323 Cameron Ct | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,412 (+10%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $149 | 62 |
| 1333 Centerfield Ct | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (+9%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $153 | 61 |
| 1312 Centerfield Ct | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,393 (+9%) | 6mo | $162,200 | $116 | 61 |
| 8908 Asheville Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,448 (+13%) | 7mo | $195,900 | $135 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-21,988
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-6,899
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36117
- Home prices YoY
- -20.0%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 407
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,785 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$138 /mo · $1,657/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$17
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$375
- Net cashflow
- $152
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1261 Westfield Ln Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1353 | $1,775 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1225 Westfield Ln Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,775 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 8928 Asheville Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,750 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1336 Cameron Ct Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $1,695 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1333 Centerfield Ct Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1402 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 13d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 8829 Ashland Park Pl Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1636 | $2,000 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 9661 Colleton Pl Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1721 | $2,000 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 8700 Seaton Blvd Montgomery, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1081 | $1,864 | $1.72 | 13d | 35 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $17 · $204/yr
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18status $195,000 Pending 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $195,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $195,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $195,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $195,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $195,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $195,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $195,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $195,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $195,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $195,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $195,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricedays on market $195,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $199,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-04-21$204,000 Active 573-char remark
Show marketing remark (573 chars)
Enjoy easy living in this inviting home featuring an open floor plan with a great room and kitchen, perfect for entertaining family and friends. The cozy den with a fireplace offers a warm and welcoming retreat. Inside, you’ll find laminate flooring in the bedrooms and distinctive stamped concrete flooring in the great room for style and durability. Step outside to a fully fenced backyard, ideal for pets, play, or relaxing outdoors. Conveniently located near East Montgomery shopping, dining, and restaurants, this home combines comfort, charm, and accessibility.
-
2020-10-13soldstatus $141,900
-
2020-09-29soldstatus $141,900 588-char remark
Show marketing remark (588 chars)
This adorable house features a lot of extras. The large great room is open to the kitchen. The fireplace features a stone fireplace. The kitchen boast a large pantry and a new dishwasher. The laundry room is off of the breakfast area. The bedrooms are split with the main bedroom in the back. The main bedroom features a walk in closet and the bath has a separate garden tub. The roof is new. The back yard is very private. It backs up to a large open field. The house has an updated security system and is wired for surround sound and ethernet. There are also timed motion sensor lights.
-
2020-08-20$141,900 588-char remark
Show marketing remark (588 chars)
This adorable house features a lot of extras. The large great room is open to the kitchen. The fireplace features a stone fireplace. The kitchen boast a large pantry and a new dishwasher. The laundry room is off of the breakfast area. The bedrooms are split with the main bedroom in the back. The main bedroom features a walk in closet and the bath has a separate garden tub. The roof is new. The back yard is very private. It backs up to a large open field. The house has an updated security system and is wired for surround sound and ethernet. There are also timed motion sensor lights.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,657 · $138/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,657 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,426
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$1,657
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,714
- − Management
- −$1,714
- − HOA
- −$204
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable loss
- −$1,434
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$344
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,163/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- County
- Montgomery County · 190,016 people
- City population
- 175,913
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,172
- Household income
- $74,720
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1742.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 53% White 34% Asian 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · South Korea, Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Korean 4% Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.24%
- Current HPI
- 148.7728
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.99%
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+43.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Listed $204,000 MAAR
- 2020-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $141,900 Public Records
- 2020-09-29 Sold (MLS) $141,900 MAAR
- 2020-08-20 Listed $141,900 MAAR
Property tax history
+12.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,657 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…