2846 Walton Way #22 · Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 67.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
ADORABLE 3BR/2.5BA CONDO ON WALTON WAY IN GEORGETOWN CONDOMINIUMS. VERY COZY! FACES BEAUTIFULLY LANDSCAPED COMMON AREA.
Key facts
- $225 HOA
- Built 1977
- Listed 5 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $27 ($323/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 5.3% in Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance) — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Richmond County (urban): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #154 of 174 in GA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Lake Forest Hills Elementary School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #485 of 1,228 statewide, top 41%, 514 students, 98% FRL); Tutt Middle School (math 7% / reading 21%, grade F, #405 of 470 statewide, top 86%, 476 students, 98% FRL); Academy of Richmond County High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #365 of 424 statewide, top 88%, 1,141 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 72% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 306 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 561 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $120k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.96%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $172,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2823 Walters Ct | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-4%) | 6mo | $165,000 | $150 | 59 |
| 2816 Royal St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,022 (-11%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $161 | 56 |
| 2629 Oakland Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,148 (-0%) | 10mo | $158,300 | $138 | 56 |
| 3027 Wrightsboro Rd | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,112 (-4%) | 4mo | $225,000 | $202 | 55 |
| 531 Boy Scout Rd | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,096 (-5%) | 3mo | $65,000 | $59 | 54 |
| 2713 Hazel St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,020 (-12%) | 7mo | $165,000 | $162 | 52 |
| 4002 Hidden Haven Ct | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,058 (-8%) | 9mo | $220,900 | $209 | 49 |
| 2913 Wheeler Rd | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+4%) | 16mo | $175,000 | $146 | 48 |
| 2708 Hazel St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,314 (+14%) | 18mo | $195,000 | $148 | 39 |
| 2611 Hazel St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,024 (-11%) | 4mo | $90,000 | $88 | 37 |
| 2644 Raymond Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,303 (+13%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $157 | 33 |
| 3134 Switzer Drive Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,299 (+13%) | 13mo | $185,000 | $142 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-21,004
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- -18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-28,826
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30909
- Home prices YoY
- -32.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 306
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,393 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$169 /mo · $2,027/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$225
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$292
- Net cashflow
- $27
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $95 | -5% $61 | +0% $27 | +5% $-7 | +10% $-41 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-83 | -5% $-28 | +0% $27 | +5% $82 | +10% $137 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $87 | -0.5pp $57 | base $27 | +0.5pp $-4 | +1.0pp $-36 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2846 Walton Way #7 Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1260 | $1,425 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 2846 Walton Way #11 Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 2701 Oakland Ave Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $1,895 | $1.65 | 25d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2812 Joy Rd Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1010 | $1,100 | $1.09 | 45d | 5 | 0.70mi |
| 2476 McDowell St Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $2,500 | $2.50 | 16d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1549 Craig St Unit 00 1559 Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1359 | $1,600 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1530 Whitney St Unit A Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $925 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2224 Queens Way Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1239 | $995 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1526 Heath St Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1545 Heath St Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $650 | $0.78 | 46d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1545 Heath St Unit B Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $650 | $0.78 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3122 Damascus Rd Augusta, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 915 | $1,650 | $1.80 | 16d | 16 | 1.28mi |
| 3220 Summerchase Cir Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1466 | $1,550 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3220 Summerchase Cir Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1466 | $1,550 | $1.06 | 25d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2511 Cascade Dr Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,000 | $1.12 | 16d | 2 | 1.31mi |
| 3208 Summerchase Cir Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $1,450 | $0.99 | 16d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1700 Valley Park Ct Augusta, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 957 | $1,350 | $1.41 | 45d | 7 | 1.41mi |
| 1700 Valley Park Ct Augusta, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 957 | $1,350 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2198 Central Ave Unit D Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1112 Troupe St Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1035 | $1,100 | $1.06 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1110 Troupe St Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1035 | $1,100 | $1.06 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2595 Kelly St Unit A1 Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 25d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2595 Kelly St Unit 1E Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 25d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2144 Kelly St Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,425 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2221 Archer LN Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1103 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $225 · $2,700/yr
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-17status $120,000 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 173-char remark
-
2026-06-14$120,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,027 · $169/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,027 · $169/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,711
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$2,027
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,337
- − Management
- −$1,337
- − HOA
- −$2,700
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$1,503
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$361
- After-tax cash flow
- $684/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richmond County
- NCES district ID
- 1304380
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,069
- Composite
- 13.43/100
- National rank
- #9524
- State rank
- #154 of 174 in GA
Livability — Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA
- County
- Richmond County · 190,917 people
- City population
- 154,035
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,501
- Household income
- $71,364
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2113.0
Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 200,753 people
- By 2030
- 200,232 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 196,813 · -2.0%
- By 2050
- 190,347 · -5.2%
- By 2075
- 172,496 · -14.1%
- By 2100
- 146,284 · -27.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 39% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Richmond
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+36.1) · D 67.8% · R 31.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.3pp toward D · 2008: 31.8pp · 2024: 36.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+36.1 2020: D+37.2 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+33.8 2008: D+31.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -133.14%
- Current HPI
- 280.4587
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.48%
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+71.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $120,000 Hive MLS
- 2011-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
- 2007-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
- 2005-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2005-06-30 Sold (MLS) $65,000 Hive MLS
- 2005-06-30 Sold (MLS) $65,000 Hive MLS
- 2005-04-12 Listed $69,900 Hive MLS
- 2005-04-12 Listed $69,900 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,027 · +15.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…