Whitetail Plan · Pleasanton, TX 78064

$206,999

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,954 sqft · SingleFamily · 460 Days on market

Good condition ↓ 11% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +9.8/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• 1% rule +2.9/10.0
• DSCR +2.8/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

The first floor of this two-story home shares a spacious open layout between the kitchen, dining room and family room for easy entertaining. Upstairs are three secondary bedrooms, ideal for residents and overnight guests, surrounding a versatile loft that serves as an additional shared living space. An owner's suite sprawls across the rear of the second floor and enjoys an en-suite bathroom and a walk-in closet.

Key facts

• Walk-in closet
• Open layout
• En-suite bathroom

Tags

• OPEN LAYOUT
• VERSATILE LOFT
• EN-SUITE BATHROOM
• WALK-IN CLOSET

🏗️ New construction. The $206,999 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $223,140.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $207k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-144 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $202k (2.3% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (14.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $177k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.3% in Pleasanton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#679 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Pleasanton ISD (town): math 36% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #470 of 826 in TX (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Pleasanton El (math 35% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,965 of 4,322 statewide, top 46%, 958 students, 70% FRL); Pleasanton J H (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #971 of 1,662 statewide, top 60%, 772 students, 66% FRL); Pleasanton H S (math 59% / reading 51%, grade C, #373 of 1,632 statewide, top 23%, 944 students, 60% FRL).
• Market conditions: 243 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 224 units permitted in Atascosa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Atascosa County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 460 days — a 12% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $176,931 (14.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 460 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.79% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.52%
• Cash-on-cash: -2.77%
• DSCR: 0.88
• GRM: 10.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $223,140
• List price: $206,999
• Delta: -7.23%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
113 Bronco Rdg	0.24mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,867 (-4%)	1mo	$191,999	$103	74
148 Bronco Rdg	0.32mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,867 (-4%)	2mo	$204,999	$110	69
165 Bronco Rdg	0.35mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,867 (-4%)	2mo	$190,999	$102	68
152 Rawhide Rdg	0.36mi	4/3.0	1,795 (-8%)	0mo	$242,999	$135	67
181 Bronco Rdg	0.38mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,867 (-4%)	1mo	$191,999	$103	67
164 Bronco Rdg	0.35mi	4/2.5	2,173 (+11%)	2mo	$213,999	$98	63
306 Yorktown	0.63mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,991 (+2%)	1mo	$319,000	$160	60
201 Bronco Rdg	0.43mi	4/2.5	2,173 (+11%)	3mo	$203,999	$94	59
527 Monte Vis	0.46mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,826 (-7%)	5mo	$365,000	$200	57
1555 Vista Vw	0.61mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,849 (-5%)	1mo	$369,999	$200	54
1745 Crookedcreek	0.54mi	4/2.0	1,710 (-12%)	2mo	$397,500	$232	50
207 Valley Frg	0.69mi	4/3.0	2,212 (+13%)	5mo	$396,500	$179	40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -20.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.27×
• Total profit: $-45,323
• Equity at exit: $33,271

10-year hold

• IRR: -14.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.18×
• Total profit: $-51,194
• Equity at exit: $19,293

Cash invested: $62,479 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78064

• Home prices YoY: -32.7%
• Active inventory: 243
• Price-to-rent: 9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,769 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,170
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$279 /mo · $3,347/yr
• Insurance: −$93
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$372
• Net cashflow: $-144

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,952

Max offer price $202,257

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $10	-5% $-67	+0% $-144	+5% $-221	+10% $-299
Rent	-10% $-284	-5% $-214	+0% $-144	+5% $-74	+10% $-5
Rate	-1.0pp $-32	-0.5pp $-88	base $-144	+0.5pp $-202	+1.0pp $-261

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $55,785
• Closing costs: $6,694
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
140 Maverick Cv Pleasanton, TX	3.0	2.0	1450	$1,800	$1.24	16d	1	0.20mi
211 Circle Ct Pleasanton, TX	3.0	2.0	1678	$1,700	$1.01	6d	1	0.86mi
211 Circle Ct Unit 211 Pleasanton, TX	3.0	2.0	1679	$1,700	$1.01	13d	1	0.87mi
404 High Meadow Dr Pleasanton, TX	3.0	2.0	1428	$1,800	$1.26	19d	1	1.04mi

Listing history 21 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $206,999 Active 460 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $206,999 Active 457 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $206,999 Active 456 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $206,999 Active 455 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $206,999 Active 454 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $206,999 Active 452 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $206,999 Active 448 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $206,999 Active 447 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $206,999 Active 446 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on market $206,999 Active 443 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $207,999 Active 442 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $207,999 Active 441 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $207,999 Active 440 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $207,999 Active 439 DOM
15. 2026-05-10
    price $207,999 415-char remark

    Show marketing remark (415 chars)

    The first floor of this two-story home shares a spacious open layout between the kitchen, dining room and family room for easy entertaining. Upstairs are three secondary bedrooms, ideal for residents and overnight guests, surrounding a versatile loft that serves as an additional shared living space. An owner's suite sprawls across the rear of the second floor and enjoys an en-suite bathroom and a walk-in closet.

16. 2026-04-24
    price $211,999 415-char remark

    Show marketing remark (415 chars)

    The first floor of this two-story home shares a spacious open layout between the kitchen, dining room and family room for easy entertaining. Upstairs are three secondary bedrooms, ideal for residents and overnight guests, surrounding a versatile loft that serves as an additional shared living space. An owner's suite sprawls across the rear of the second floor and enjoys an en-suite bathroom and a walk-in closet.

17. 2026-01-08
    price $216,999 415-char remark

    Show marketing remark (415 chars)

    The first floor of this two-story home shares a spacious open layout between the kitchen, dining room and family room for easy entertaining. Upstairs are three secondary bedrooms, ideal for residents and overnight guests, surrounding a versatile loft that serves as an additional shared living space. An owner's suite sprawls across the rear of the second floor and enjoys an en-suite bathroom and a walk-in closet.

18. 2025-12-20
    price $221,999 415-char remark

    Show marketing remark (415 chars)

    The first floor of this two-story home shares a spacious open layout between the kitchen, dining room and family room for easy entertaining. Upstairs are three secondary bedrooms, ideal for residents and overnight guests, surrounding a versatile loft that serves as an additional shared living space. An owner's suite sprawls across the rear of the second floor and enjoys an en-suite bathroom and a walk-in closet.

19. 2025-12-02
    price $224,999 415-char remark

    Show marketing remark (415 chars)

    The first floor of this two-story home shares a spacious open layout between the kitchen, dining room and family room for easy entertaining. Upstairs are three secondary bedrooms, ideal for residents and overnight guests, surrounding a versatile loft that serves as an additional shared living space. An owner's suite sprawls across the rear of the second floor and enjoys an en-suite bathroom and a walk-in closet.

20. 2025-09-01
    price $227,999 415-char remark

    Show marketing remark (415 chars)

    The first floor of this two-story home shares a spacious open layout between the kitchen, dining room and family room for easy entertaining. Upstairs are three secondary bedrooms, ideal for residents and overnight guests, surrounding a versatile loft that serves as an additional shared living space. An owner's suite sprawls across the rear of the second floor and enjoys an en-suite bathroom and a walk-in closet.

21. 2025-03-19
    listed $232,999 Active 415-char remark

    Show marketing remark (415 chars)

    The first floor of this two-story home shares a spacious open layout between the kitchen, dining room and family room for easy entertaining. Upstairs are three secondary bedrooms, ideal for residents and overnight guests, surrounding a versatile loft that serves as an additional shared living space. An owner's suite sprawls across the rear of the second floor and enjoys an en-suite bathroom and a walk-in closet.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,232
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,499
• − Property taxes: −$3,347
• − Insurance: −$1,116
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,699
• − Management: −$1,699
• − Depreciation: −$6,491
• Taxable loss: −$5,619
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,349
• After-tax cash flow: $-383/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This two-story home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a modern kitchen and bathrooms, and is well-maintained. The home is move-in ready and has a good curb appeal. Potential buyers and renters can benefit from updates such as painting the exterior, updating the flooring, and adding smart home features.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
• Both Updating the flooring in the living areas — New flooring can improve the overall look and feel of the home.
• Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal and value.
• Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to potential buyers/renters.
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
• Both Updating the flooring in the living areas — New flooring can improve the overall look and feel of the home. ↑
• Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal and value. ↑
• Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to potential buyers/renters. ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/renters. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Pleasanton ISD
• NCES district ID: 4835190
• Math proficiency: 36% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 37% ▲ 4.00%
• Median HH income: $53,885
• Composite: 31.97/100
• National rank: #5843
• State rank: #470 of 826 in TX

Livability — Pleasanton

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #679
• US rank: #12731

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 16,420

Population outlook (Atascosa County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 57,233 people
• By 2030: 61,729 · +7.9%
• By 2040: 71,122 · +24.3%
• By 2050: 80,906 · +41.4%
• By 2075: 106,134 · +85.4%
• By 2100: 122,415 · +113.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Hispanic (55%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 55% White 41% Two or more races 27% Black 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 49%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada
• Languages at home: 67% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Atascosa

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+43.3) · D 27.9% · R 71.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -32.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.5pp · 2024: -43.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+43.3 2020: R+34.0 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+18.3 2008: R+10.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -91.53%
• Current HPI: 188.725
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-10.7% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-10 Price Changed $207,999 Zillow
• 2026-04-24 Price Changed $211,999 Zillow
• 2026-01-08 Price Changed $216,999 Zillow
• 2025-12-20 Price Changed $221,999 Zillow
• 2025-12-02 Price Changed $224,999 Zillow
• 2025-09-01 Price Changed $227,999 Zillow
• 2025-03-19 Listed $232,999 Zillow