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7039 Curtis Dr
D+ Composite 45.87
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$249,995

7039 Curtis Dr · Coloma, MI 49038
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,798 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 120 Days on market
Built 1965 10,454 sqft lot Est $286k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity knocks with this well-cared-for brick duplex offering flexibility for living, investing, or both. Each unit includes 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, onsite laundry, garage access, and a private backyard setting perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Currently tenant-occupied with rents well below market value, this property presents immediate upside potential for investors seeking increased cash flow. Whether you choose to maintain reliable long-term tenants, adjust rents over time, or explore alternative rental strategies, the income possibilities are strong. Enjoy deeded access to beautiful Paw Paw Lake along with a nearby boat launch, adding lifestyle appeal and rental demand. Coloma's flexible short-term rental environment makes this an excellent candidate for vacation rental or hybrid income potential. Now offered at a lower price than before, this is a great opportunity to secure a versatile income-producing property just minutes Lake Michigan. Schedule your showing now!

Key facts

  • Onsite laundry
  • Private backyard
  • Brick duplex

Tags

BRICK DUPLEXONSITE LAUNDRYPRIVATE BACKYARDDEEDED ACCESSBOAT LAUNCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $26 ($311/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (14.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $214k (14.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Coloma Community Schools (town): math 17% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #384 of 540 in MI (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 397 units permitted in Berrien County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Berrien County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 34y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $123k; list at $250k implies a 103% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $214,423 (14.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.42%
Cash-on-cash
0.44%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$285,908
List price
$249,995
Delta
-12.56%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4557 Douglas Ter 0.08mi 3/2.5 1,624 (-10%) 8mo $240,000 $148 72
4759 Paw Paw Lake Rd 0.54mi 3/1.5 1,816 (+1%) 5mo $250,000 $138 67
4749 Wil-o-paw Dr 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,620 (-10%) 2mo $243,500 $150 61
6772 Paw Paw Ave 0.23mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,876 (+4%) 20mo $270,000 $144 60
4549 Forest Beach Rd 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,765 (-2%) 11mo $355,000 $201 59
7285 Paw Paw Ave 0.33mi 3/2.5 2,056 (+14%) 1mo $380,000 $185 58
4801 Wil-o-paw Dr 0.48mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,924 (+7%) 3mo $164,900 $86 54
6828 First Ave 0.46mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,630 (-9%) 9mo $359,900 $221 48
7580 Paw Paw Ave 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,872 (+4%) 20mo $219,900 $117 44
7476 Beechwood Cir 0.72mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,970 (+10%) 24mo $220,000 $112 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.6%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-38,862
Equity at exit
$37,275
10-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-31,729
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $69,999 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49038

Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,144 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$253 /mo · $3,034/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$450
Net cashflow
$26

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,111
Max offer price $249,995
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $167 -5% $97 +0% $26 +5% $-45 +10% $-116
Rent -10% $-143 -5% $-59 +0% $26 +5% $111 +10% $195
Rate -1.0pp $152 -0.5pp $90 base $26 +0.5pp $-39 +1.0pp $-105

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,499
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7604 Red Arrow Hwy Watervliet, MI 2.0–3.0 2.0 1078 $1,319 $1.22 44d 1 1.05mi
4020 Sumner Dr Watervliet, MI 4.0 2.0 1750 $2,395 $1.37 44d 1 1.17mi
3882 Watertown Dr Watervliet, MI 4.0 2.0 1750 $2,195 $1.25 44d 1 1.33mi
3866 Watertown Dr Watervliet, MI 4.0 2.0 2060 $2,495 $1.21 44d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,995 Active 120 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,995 Active 119 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $249,995 Active 117 DOM
  4. 2026-06-12
    days on market $249,995 Active 116 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $249,995 Active 113 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,995 Active 112 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,995 Active 111 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,995 Active 110 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $249,995 Active 107 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,995 Active 106 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,995 Active 105 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,995 Active 104 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,995 Active 103 DOM
  14. 2026-02-16
    listed $249,995 Active 994-char remark
    Show marketing remark (994 chars)

    Opportunity knocks with this well-cared-for brick duplex offering flexibility for living, investing, or both. Each unit includes 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, onsite laundry, garage access, and a private backyard setting perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Currently tenant-occupied with rents well below market value, this property presents immediate upside potential for investors seeking increased cash flow. Whether you choose to maintain reliable long-term tenants, adjust rents over time, or explore alternative rental strategies, the income possibilities are strong. Enjoy deeded access to beautiful Paw Paw Lake along with a nearby boat launch, adding lifestyle appeal and rental demand. Coloma's flexible short-term rental environment makes this an excellent candidate for vacation rental or hybrid income potential. Now offered at a lower price than before, this is a great opportunity to secure a versatile income-producing property just minutes Lake Michigan. Schedule your showing now!

  15. 2026-02-16
    listed $249,995 Active 994-char remark
    Show marketing remark (994 chars)

    Opportunity knocks with this well-cared-for brick duplex offering flexibility for living, investing, or both. Each unit includes 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, onsite laundry, garage access, and a private backyard setting perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Currently tenant-occupied with rents well below market value, this property presents immediate upside potential for investors seeking increased cash flow. Whether you choose to maintain reliable long-term tenants, adjust rents over time, or explore alternative rental strategies, the income possibilities are strong. Enjoy deeded access to beautiful Paw Paw Lake along with a nearby boat launch, adding lifestyle appeal and rental demand. Coloma's flexible short-term rental environment makes this an excellent candidate for vacation rental or hybrid income potential. Now offered at a lower price than before, this is a great opportunity to secure a versatile income-producing property just minutes Lake Michigan. Schedule your showing now!

  16. 2025-11-19
    historical
  17. 2025-10-31
    status Active
  18. 2025-10-31
    status Active
  19. 2025-10-28
    status Pending
  20. 2025-10-28
    status Pending
  21. 2025-08-26
    status Active
  22. 2025-08-25
    historical
  23. 2025-08-18
    listed $265,000 Active
  24. 2025-08-18
    listed $265,000 Active
  25. 2004-11-30
    soldstatus $123,255
  26. 2004-10-01
    listed $130,000
  27. 1993-02-04
    soldstatus $69,000
  28. 1992-05-07
    listed $75,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,034 · $253/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,442 · $287/mo
Expected delta
+$408/yr (+$34/mo · 13.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,731
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$3,034
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,058
− Management
−$2,058
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$3,946
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$947
After-tax cash flow
$1,258/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coloma Community Schools
NCES district ID
2610380
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$48,135
Composite
24.28/100
National rank
#7715
State rank
#384 of 540 in MI

Livability — Coloma

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5399

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Paw Paw Lake, MI
Population (ZIP)
8,577

Population outlook (Berrien County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
149,273 people
By 2030
145,211 · -2.7%
By 2040
135,435 · -9.3%
By 2050
125,543 · -15.9%
By 2075
103,986 · -30.3%
By 2100
82,256 · -44.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 9% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Romanian 4% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Berrien

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.9) · D 45.4% · R 53.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-13.3pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -7.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+7.9 2020: R+7.4 2016: R+12.7 2012: R+6.6 2008: D+5.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -149.33%
Current HPI
237.5873
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+229.4% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-16 Listed $249,995 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-16 Listed $249,995 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-19 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-31 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-31 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-28 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-28 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-26 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-18 Listed $265,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-18 Listed $265,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-11-30 Sold (MLS) $123,255 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2004-10-01 Listed $130,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1993-02-04 Sold (MLS) $69,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1992-05-07 Listed $75,900 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $3,034 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…