310 S Jensen Dr #2 · Houston, TX
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.8/30.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$359,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Modern downtown living at its best! 310 S. Jensen Dr Unit 2 features A 4 story, 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a private rooftop with city views. RECENT UPGRADES include 2025 AC UNIT with updated ductwork and 2026 WATER HEATER for peace of mind. Spacious, stylish move-in ready- townhome is ready for its new owner. Schedule your showing today.
Key facts
- $100 HOA
- Garage
- Built 2005
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $360k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-162 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $331k (7.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $335k (7.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $331k (7.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,346/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($84k/yr) (locally 572% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.93%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $467,727
- List price
- $359,900
- Delta
- -18.76%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2321 Ann St | 0.10mi | 3/3.0 | 2,197 (+2%) | 1mo | $339,000 | $154 | 89 |
| 2706 Fox St | 0.21mi | 3/3.5 | 2,012 (-6%) | 1mo | $499,900 | $248 | 75 |
| 331 N Nagle St | 0.18mi | 3/3.5 | 2,302 (+7%) | 2mo | $475,000 | $206 | 74 |
| 311 Eado Park Cir | 0.41mi | 3/3.5 | 2,233 (+4%) | 6mo | $415,000 | $186 | 66 |
| 3306 Cline St | 0.65mi | 3/3.5 | 2,154 (+0%) | 1mo | $390,000 | $181 | 64 |
| 2851 Decker Pl | 0.32mi | 3/3.5 | 2,401 (+12%) | 3mo | $480,000 | $200 | 58 |
| 407 Grove St Unit B | 0.62mi | 3/3.5 | 2,220 (+3%) | 4mo | $429,999 | $194 | 58 |
| 312 Eado Park Cir | 0.46mi | 3/3.5 | 2,388 (+11%) | 5mo | $450,000 | $188 | 52 |
| 3209 Baer St Unit B | 0.70mi | 3/3.5 | 1,996 (-7%) | 1mo | $464,900 | $233 | 51 |
| 3209 Baer St Unit A | 0.70mi | 3/3.5 | 1,990 (-7%) | 1mo | $464,900 | $234 | 51 |
| 411 Grove St Unit C | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 | 1,903 (-11%) | 2mo | $375,000 | $197 | 50 |
| 2765 Freund St | 0.29mi | 4/4.5 (+1) | 2,465 (+15%) | 3mo | $649,000 | $263 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.22×
- Total profit
- $-78,188
- Equity at exit
- $53,662
- IRR
- -31.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.17×
- Total profit
- $-118,254
- Equity at exit
- $31,118
Cash invested: $100,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77003
- Home prices YoY
- -29.2%
- Rents YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 206
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,346 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,887
- Tax from tax record
- −$668 /mo · $8,013/yr
- Insurance
- −$150
- HOA
- −$100
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$703
- Net cashflow
- $-162
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $89,975
- Closing costs
- $10,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2115 Runnels St Unit 3187 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1839 | $3,013 | $1.64 | 3d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2115 Runnels St Unit 3174 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1839 | $3,056 | $1.66 | 12d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2115 Runnels St Unit 2148 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1839 | $3,045 | $1.66 | 11d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2414 East Dr Unit Canal St unit Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2063 | $2,950 | $1.43 | 8d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 15 N Chenevert St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1351 | $4,000 | $2.96 | 1d | 16 | 0.50mi |
| 2905 Baer St Unit 1047953P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1991 | $3,094 | $1.55 | 5d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 308 Grove St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1701 | $2,350 | $1.38 | 8d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 611 Sydnor St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2157 | $2,400 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3419 Gillespie St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2168 | $2,300 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3410 Baer St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2040 | $3,500 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2504 Rusk St Unit 1563174P Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1819 | $4,036 | $2.22 | 3d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2816 Rusk St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2107 | $2,800 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1475 Texas St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1304 | $6,350 | $4.87 | 44d | 28 | 0.88mi |
| 1303 Bayou St Unit C Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1869 | $3,200 | $1.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1757 Walker St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1575 | $4,350 | $2.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1307 Bayou St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1814 | $2,400 | $1.32 | 8d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 808 Crawford St Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1740 | $12,645 | $7.27 | 1d | 30 | 0.97mi |
| 3226 McKinney St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2274 | $2,500 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4109 Hare St Unit A Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1913 | $6,950 | $3.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4109 Hare St Unit 1019559P Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1905 | $6,852 | $3.60 | 8d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 409 Travis St Unit 432 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $3,316 | $2.22 | 11d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 409 Travis St Unit 424 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $3,292 | $2.20 | 8d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 409 Travis St Unit 425 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $3,284 | $2.20 | 3d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1406 McKinney St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1987 | $5,075 | $2.55 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 915 Texas Ave Unit 420 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2366 | $4,655 | $1.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 915 Texas Ave Unit 420 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2366 | $4,655 | $1.97 | 19d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1400 McKinney St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 2166 | $12,100 | $5.59 | 1d | 9 | 1.11mi |
| 413 Travis St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $4,000 | $2.68 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 717 Fannin St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $3,800 | $2.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1111 Rusk St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1230 | $2,835 | $2.30 | 1d | 29 | 1.12mi |
| 909 Texas Ave Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1262 | $3,129 | $2.48 | 2d | 36 | 1.13mi |
| 1513 Cage St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $1,550 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 414 Milam St Ph 2-4602 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2158 | $8,990 | $4.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 414 Milam St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1585 | $3,845 | $2.43 | 22d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 414 Milam St Unit B1-2003 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1585 | $4,513 | $2.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 414 Milam St Unit 2187 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1585 | $3,857 | $2.43 | 3d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 414 Milam St Unit 422 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1585 | $3,833 | $2.42 | 8d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 414 Milam St Unit 437 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1585 | $3,857 | $2.43 | 11d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 414 Milam St Unit 2165 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1585 | $3,868 | $2.44 | 5d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 414 Milam St Unit 2148 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1585 | $3,825 | $2.41 | 3d | 1 | 1.19mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $100 · $1,200/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $359,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $359,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $359,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $359,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $359,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $359,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $380,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $380,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $380,000 340-char remark
Show marketing remark (340 chars)
Modern downtown living at its best! 310 S. Jensen Dr Unit 2 features A 4 story, 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a private rooftop with city views. RECENT UPGRADES include 2025 AC UNIT with updated ductwork and 2026 WATER HEATER for peace of mind. Spacious, stylish move-in ready- townhome is ready for its new owner. Schedule your showing today.
-
2026-03-03$390,000 Active 340-char remark
Show marketing remark (340 chars)
Modern downtown living at its best! 310 S. Jensen Dr Unit 2 features A 4 story, 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a private rooftop with city views. RECENT UPGRADES include 2025 AC UNIT with updated ductwork and 2026 WATER HEATER for peace of mind. Spacious, stylish move-in ready- townhome is ready for its new owner. Schedule your showing today.
-
2026-01-23historical
-
2025-10-02$400,000 Active
-
2016-05-25soldstatus
-
2016-05-24soldstatus Sold
-
2016-04-26status Pending
-
2016-04-14status Option Pending
-
2016-04-01$299,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,013 · $668/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,013 · $668/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,150
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,160
- − Property taxes
- −$8,013
- − Insurance
- −$1,800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,212
- − Management
- −$3,212
- − HOA
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$10,470
- Taxable loss
- −$7,916
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,900
- After-tax cash flow
- $-42/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,164
- Household income
- $83,980
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 572.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 35% White 33% Black 21% Two or more races 20% Asian 6% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 27% Korean 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.64%
- Current HPI
- 130.0078
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.65%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+27.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $380,000 HARMLS
- 2026-03-03 Listed $390,000 HARMLS
- 2026-01-23 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-10-02 Listed $400,000 HARMLS
- 2016-05-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-05-24 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2016-04-26 Pending — HARMLS
- 2016-04-14 Pending — HARMLS
- 2016-04-01 Listed $299,000 HARMLS
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $8,013 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…