1634 Pink Lilly Rd · Pine Level, AL 36067

$280,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,738 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 41 Days on market

Built 1985 3.13 ac lot $102/sqft · 13% below area Est $323k · 13% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +13.6/15.0
• Cash flow +9.8/30.0
• Rent growth +3.9/5.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• DSCR +2.8/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +1.9/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

If you're looking for a quiet home in the country just minutes from town and the interstate you've come to the right place! 1634 Pink Lilly Road is a spacious 4 bedroom, 2 bath home with over 2,300 square feet of living space on a very private 3 acre lot. This home has vaulted ceilings in the living room and 3 bedrooms are on the main floor. Just off the kitchen you'll find a stairway to a large upstairs bonus room that makes for the perfect playroom, office, or a large 4th bedroom. The main bedroom and bathroom are just off the kitchen as well with lots of updates. Updates: The HVAC was replaced in 2017 and both water heaters were replaced in 2016, all appliances new in 2016. You won't find a more quiet and private setting this close to town especially at this price! Call your favorite REALTOR today to schedule a showing!

Key facts

• Walk-in closet
• Tiled bath
• Tile flooring

Tags

• TILE FLOORING
• TILED BATH
• GARDEN TUB
• WALK-IN CLOSET
• SPLIT LAYOUT
• OUTDOOR LIVING

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Parking pad (1)
• Security: Fire alarm
• Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; High-speed internet available; Septic tank; Community/Coop water
• Home design: Single-story dwelling; Slab foundation; Vinyl siding; Home warranty included
• Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Slab foundation
• Exterior features: Covered porch; Porch; Storage; Above-ground pool; Outside city limits; Unimproved road access

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total (two on first floor, one on second floor)
• Flooring: Carpet; Tile
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling
• Interior features: Blinds on windows; Storm door(s); Garden tub/Roman tub; Separate shower; Vaulted ceilings; Window treatments; One masonry fireplace
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Electric water heater; Gas water heater; Multiple water heaters

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-177 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $249k (11.2% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (31.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $193k (31.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 2.8% in Pine Level — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#246 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Autauga County (rural): math 23% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #34 of 129 in AL (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 221 units permitted in Autauga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Autauga County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 6 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $222k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $193,070 (31.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.69% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.53%
• Cash-on-cash: -2.71%
• DSCR: 0.88
• GRM: 12.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $323,495
• List price: $280,000
• Delta: -13.45%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -18.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.35×
• Total profit: $-51,225
• Equity at exit: $41,749

10-year hold

• IRR: -6.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.55×
• Total profit: $-35,492
• Equity at exit: $24,209

Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 36067

• Home prices YoY: -12.4%
• Rents YoY: 5.8%
• Active inventory: 131
• Price-to-rent: 12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,931 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,468
• Tax from tax record: −$117 /mo · $1,410/yr
• Insurance: −$117
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$405
• Net cashflow: $-177

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,155

Max offer price $248,686

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $70,000
• Closing costs: $8,400
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-06-09
   status $280,000 Pending 41 DOM
2. 2026-06-09
   status $280,000 Active 41 DOM
3. 2026-06-08
   days on market $280,000 Contingent 41 DOM
4. 2026-06-07
   days on market $280,000 Contingent 40 DOM
5. 2026-06-03
   days on market $280,000 Contingent 36 DOM
6. 2026-06-02
   days on market $280,000 Contingent 35 DOM
7. 2026-06-01
   days on market $280,000 Contingent 34 DOM
8. 2026-05-31
   days on market $280,000 Contingent 33 DOM
9. 2026-05-30
   days on market $280,000 Contingent 32 DOM
10. 2026-04-28
    listed $280,000 Active 953-char remark
11. 2021-01-04
    soldstatus $222,500
12. 2020-12-31
    soldstatus $222,500 834-char remark

    Show marketing remark (834 chars)

    If you're looking for a quiet home in the country just minutes from town and the interstate you've come to the right place! 1634 Pink Lilly Road is a spacious 4 bedroom, 2 bath home with over 2,300 square feet of living space on a very private 3 acre lot. This home has vaulted ceilings in the living room and 3 bedrooms are on the main floor. Just off the kitchen you'll find a stairway to a large upstairs bonus room that makes for the perfect playroom, office, or a large 4th bedroom. The main bedroom and bathroom are just off the kitchen as well with lots of updates. Updates: The HVAC was replaced in 2017 and both water heaters were replaced in 2016, all appliances new in 2016. You won't find a more quiet and private setting this close to town especially at this price! Call your favorite REALTOR today to schedule a showing!

13. 2020-08-14
    listed $222,500 834-char remark

    Show marketing remark (834 chars)

    If you're looking for a quiet home in the country just minutes from town and the interstate you've come to the right place! 1634 Pink Lilly Road is a spacious 4 bedroom, 2 bath home with over 2,300 square feet of living space on a very private 3 acre lot. This home has vaulted ceilings in the living room and 3 bedrooms are on the main floor. Just off the kitchen you'll find a stairway to a large upstairs bonus room that makes for the perfect playroom, office, or a large 4th bedroom. The main bedroom and bathroom are just off the kitchen as well with lots of updates. Updates: The HVAC was replaced in 2017 and both water heaters were replaced in 2016, all appliances new in 2016. You won't find a more quiet and private setting this close to town especially at this price! Call your favorite REALTOR today to schedule a showing!

14. 2016-02-18
    soldstatus $98,900

    Show marketing remark (159 chars)

    Nice home in the country sitting on 3 acres. Nice size bedrooms with a large Great room for the entire family to enjoy. If schools are important please verify.

15. 2015-08-05
    listed $103,000

    Show marketing remark (159 chars)

    Nice home in the country sitting on 3 acres. Nice size bedrooms with a large Great room for the entire family to enjoy. If schools are important please verify.

16. 2015-07-07
    soldstatus $146,205
17. 2010-07-08
    listed $219,000
18. 2010-03-11
    listed $214,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,410 · $117/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,410 · $117/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 77% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,168
• − Mortgage interest: −$15,684
• − Property taxes: −$1,410
• − Insurance: −$1,400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,853
• − Management: −$1,853
• − Depreciation: −$8,145
• Taxable loss: −$7,178
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,723
• After-tax cash flow: $-404/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Autauga County
• NCES district ID: 0100240
• Math proficiency: 23% ▼ -31.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $52,974
• Composite: 31.77/100
• National rank: #5892
• State rank: #34 of 129 in AL

Livability — Pine Level

• Score: 61/100
• State rank: #246
• US rank: #17675

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Autauga County · 50,925 people
• Metro: Montgomery, AL
• Population (ZIP): 28,293
• Household income: $65,593
• Rent vs Own: 23.0% rent · 77.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 389.0

Population outlook (Autauga County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 55,958 people
• By 2030: 55,810 · -0.3%
• By 2040: 54,892 · -1.9%
• By 2050: 53,062 · -5.2%
• By 2075: 49,425 · -11.7%
• By 2100: 45,110 · -19.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (72%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 72% Black 20% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Autauga

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+46.3) · D 26.4% · R 72.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: +1.6pp toward D · 2008: -47.8pp · 2024: -46.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+46.3 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+46.0 2008: R+47.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -29.98%
• Current HPI: 211.1676
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.78%
• Metro: Montgomery, AL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

+30.5% since first listed

12 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-09 Pending — MAAR
• 2026-06-09 Relisted — MAAR
• 2026-05-23 Contingent — MAAR
• 2026-04-28 Listed $280,000 MAAR
• 2021-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $222,500 Public Records
• 2020-12-31 Sold (MLS) $222,500 MAAR
• 2020-08-14 Listed $222,500 MAAR
• 2016-02-18 Sold (MLS) $98,900 MAAR
• 2015-08-05 Listed $103,000 MAAR
• 2015-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $146,205 Public Records
• 2010-07-08 Listed $219,000 MAAR
• 2010-03-11 Listed $214,500 MAAR

Property tax history

+13.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,410 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.