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705 Needham St
A- Composite 83.48
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$59,999

705 Needham St · Coleman, TX 76834
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 956 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 409 Days on market
Built 1935 7,840 sqft lot $63/sqft · 25% below area Est $80k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

NEW ROOF! We have a charming single-story home available in the Coleman area. This home already has a new roof and has a lot of potential for buyers or investors looking to customize a home to their liking. This location offers you easy access to TX-206 and is in a remote area with peace and quiet. Coleman Country Club, Hords Creek Lake, Coleman Municipal Airport, and a bunch of other notable destinations are all within a 10-minute commute. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream property.

Key facts

  • Renovation ready
  • Coleman country club
  • Single-story home

Tags

SINGLE-STORY HOMERENOVATION READYEASY ACCESS TO TX-206COLEMAN COUNTRY CLUBHORDS CREEK LAKECOLEMAN MUNICIPAL AIRPORT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $214 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($868 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 4.5% in Coleman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#454 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Coleman ISD (town): math 42% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #439 of 826 in TX (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 119 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Coleman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
  • Coleman County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 409 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask is 16% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $52,799 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 409 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
10.58%
Cash-on-cash
15.29%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$80,206
List price
$59,999
Delta
-25.19%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
716 14th St 0.09mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,062 (+11%) 4mo $30,000 $28 68
516 W 4th St 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 950 (-1%) 10mo $133,000 $140 56
1215 Llano 0.71mi 2/2.0 (-1) 976 (+2%) 5mo $149,000 $153 54
2016 Magnolia St 0.03mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,076 (+13%) 18mo $75,000 $70 54
1516 S Frio St 0.29mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,050 (+10%) 14mo $124,999 $119 49
104 Hollywood 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,002 (+5%) 22mo $94,900 $95 42
208 Hollywood St 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,027 (+7%) 12mo $139,900 $136 40
603 E 10th St 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,040 (+9%) 13mo $80,000 $77 39
215 E 10th St 0.52mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,092 (+14%) 12mo $165,000 $151 37
501 E 10th St 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 912 (-5%) 20mo $62,500 $69 36
801 S Nueces St 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,064 (+11%) 11mo $59,900 $56 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.66% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.5%
Equity multiple
2.77×
Total profit
$29,806
Equity at exit
$36,439
10-year hold
IRR
25.9%
Equity multiple
5.61×
Total profit
$77,433
Equity at exit
$65,004

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76834

Home prices YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
119
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$868 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$132 /mo · $1,582/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$182
Net cashflow
$214

Break-even live

Break-even rent $597
Max offer price $59,999
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,999 Active 409 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,999 Active 408 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,999 Active 407 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,999 Active 406 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,999 Active 404 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $59,999 Active 403 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,999 Active 400 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,999 Active 399 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,999 Active 398 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,999 Active 397 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,999 Active 394 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,999 Active 393 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,999 Active 392 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,999 Active 391 DOM
  15. 2025-10-29
    price $59,999 673-char remark
    Show marketing remark (673 chars)

    NEW ROOF! We have a charming single-story home available in the Coleman area. This home already has a new roof and has a lot of potential for buyers or investors looking to customize a home to their liking. This location offers you easy access to TX-206 and is in a remote area with peace and quiet. Coleman Country Club, Hords Creek Lake, Coleman Municipal Airport, and a bunch of other notable destinations are all within a 10-minute commute. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream property.

  16. 2025-05-05
    listed $51,894 Active 673-char remark
    Show marketing remark (673 chars)

    NEW ROOF! We have a charming single-story home available in the Coleman area. This home already has a new roof and has a lot of potential for buyers or investors looking to customize a home to their liking. This location offers you easy access to TX-206 and is in a remote area with peace and quiet. Coleman Country Club, Hords Creek Lake, Coleman Municipal Airport, and a bunch of other notable destinations are all within a 10-minute commute. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream property.

  17. 2019-09-10
    soldstatus
  18. 2019-05-08
    soldstatus Sold 19-char remark
    Show marketing remark (19 chars)

    Investment property

  19. 2019-05-07
    soldstatus
  20. 2019-04-17
    status Pending 19-char remark
    Show marketing remark (19 chars)

    Investment property

  21. 2019-03-30
    listed $10,000 Active 19-char remark
    Show marketing remark (19 chars)

    Investment property

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,582 · $132/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,582 · $132/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,414
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$1,582
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$833
− Management
−$833
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$1,759
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$422
After-tax cash flow
$2,147/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coleman ISD
NCES district ID
4814550
Math proficiency
42% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$31,765
Composite
33.18/100
National rank
#5540
State rank
#439 of 826 in TX

Livability — Coleman

Score
68/100
State rank
#454
US rank
#9173

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Coleman, TX
Population (ZIP)
4,861

Population outlook (Coleman County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
7,321 people
By 2030
6,834 · -6.7%
By 2040
5,968 · -18.5%
By 2050
5,283 · -27.8%
By 2075
4,205 · -42.6%
By 2100
3,405 · -53.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 13% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18%
Common ancestry
Italian 16% Slovak 8% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 21%

Political lean MEDSL · Coleman

2024 margin
Solid R (+79.0) · D 10.3% · R 89.3%
2008→2024 swing
-15.1pp toward R · 2008: -64.0pp · 2024: -79.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+79.0 2020: R+77.3 2016: R+76.8 2012: R+73.7 2008: R+64.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.66%
Current HPI
123.8456
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+500.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-29 Price Changed $59,999 HARMLS
  • 2025-05-05 Listed $51,894 HARMLS
  • 2019-09-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-05-08 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2019-05-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-04-17 Pending NTREIS
  • 2019-03-30 Listed $10,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

+17.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,582 · -11.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…