4020 Big Thicket Dr · Fort Worth, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.4/30.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- ARV discount +3.0/15.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SELLER IS OFFERING $5000 IN CLOSING COSTS OR RATE BUYDOWN WITH AN ACCEPTABLE OFFER! Come view this amazing home sitting on a corner lot in the Arcadia Park Subdivision of North Fort Worth in the Keller ISD with no HOA. This home is conveniently located just a few minutes from I-35, all the retail stores and restaurants in the Alliance area, and Fossil Ridge High School. This home has had many renovations including foundation repairs completed in February 2023, new roof in April 2023, and new garage door, new interior paint and laminate flooring installed in June 2023, just to name a few, making it move-in ready for any buyer. This home is located within the Tarrant Regional Water District.
Key facts
- Covered patio
- 6,360 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-49 ($-592/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $281k (3.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (23.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $223k (23.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Keller ISD (urban): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #91 of 826 in TX (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Heritage El (math 24% / reading 26%, grade F, #3,013 of 4,322 statewide, top 70%, 574 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 54% FRL vs 19% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-27 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Keller ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 341 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.73%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $263,620
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4029 Tallgrass Trl | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,418 (+5%) | 7mo | $289,000 | $204 | 80 |
| 4020 Big Thicket Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,456 (+8%) | 10mo | $91,765 | $63 | 76 |
| 8620 Chelan Way | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,508 (+12%) | 1mo | $329,900 | $219 | 72 |
| 4128 Chelan Ct | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,418 (+5%) | 15mo | $294,900 | $208 | 72 |
| 9033 Golden Sunset Trl | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,412 (+5%) | 11mo | $289,900 | $205 | 60 |
| 4037 Diamond Ridge Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,493 (+11%) | 7mo | $285,000 | $191 | 59 |
| 8632 Rainy Lake Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,528 (+14%) | 18mo | $296,000 | $194 | 58 |
| 4117 Appleyard Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,471 (+9%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $177 | 50 |
| 4229 Summer Star Ln | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 | 1,495 (+11%) | 15mo | $300,000 | $201 | 43 |
| 8065 Cannonwood Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,534 (+14%) | 5mo | $296,000 | $193 | 38 |
| 8081 Summer Sun Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (+8%) | 20mo | $279,990 | $193 | 38 |
| 4029 Appleyard Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,529 (+14%) | 9mo | $299,500 | $196 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-55,361
- Equity at exit
- $43,240
- IRR
- -18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.10×
- Total profit
- $-72,731
- Equity at exit
- $25,074
Cash invested: $81,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76244
- Home prices YoY
- -11.5%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 341
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,225 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,521
- Tax from tax record
- −$165 /mo · $1,986/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$467
- Net cashflow
- $-49
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,500
- Closing costs
- $8,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3916 Big Thicket Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1581 | $2,000 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 8728 Muir Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1262 | $1,900 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 8655 Sumter Way Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1864 | $2,100 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 4116 Fossile Butte Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $2,500 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 8828 N Riverside Dr Unit 8865 Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1281 | $1,772 | $1.38 | 3d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 8828 N Riverside Dr Unit 8861 Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1281 | $2,122 | $1.66 | 3d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 9032 Heartwood Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1757 | $2,200 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 8032 Monterra Blvd Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1096 | $2,949 | $2.69 | 2d | 36 | 0.55mi |
| 3405 Alliance Town Ctr Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1323 | $3,585 | $2.71 | 1d | 34 | 0.58mi |
| 9221 Goldenview Dr Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1830 | $2,499 | $1.37 | 8d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 8164 Heritage Place Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1601 | $2,800 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 9100 General Worth Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 969 | $2,085 | $2.15 | 1d | 9 | 0.70mi |
| 9224 Monument Ct Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1591 | $2,095 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 9001 N Beach St Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1099 | $2,672 | $2.43 | 44d | 33 | 0.71mi |
| 8301 Monterra Blvd Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1097 | $2,610 | $2.38 | 2d | 34 | 0.72mi |
| 8100 N Riverside Dr Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1053 | $1,999 | $1.90 | 4d | 22 | 0.75mi |
| 9328 Goldenview Dr Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1866 | $2,150 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 8060 Cannonwood Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1471 | $1,950 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 8000 N Riverside Dr Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 782 | $1,425 | $1.82 | 2d | 12 | 0.79mi |
| 9340 Feather Grass Ln Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 992 | $2,280 | $2.30 | 2d | 31 | 0.81mi |
| 8724 Limestone Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1607 | $2,120 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 8112 Broken Arrow Rd Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $1,815 | $1.26 | 11d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 8660 N Beach St Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $2,060 | $2.28 | 3d | 25 | 0.86mi |
| 4205 Fernleaf Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $2,130 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3255 Sagestone Dr Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 939 | $1,935 | $2.06 | 1d | 29 | 0.90mi |
| 8124 Jolie Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1734 | $2,300 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4241 Iris Ave Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1421 | $1,975 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 8136 Zion Trl Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1659 | $2,195 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4066 Tulip Tree Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1722 | $2,045 | $1.19 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4066 Tulip Tree Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1722 | $2,045 | $1.19 | 8d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4021 Staghorn Cir N Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,245 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4001 Periwinkle Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $2,015 | $1.53 | 2d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3913 Periwinkle Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $2,000 | $1.38 | 8d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4208 Staghorn Cir N Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $2,075 | $1.41 | 8d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 8832 Stirrup Way Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1812 | $2,300 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 8604 Stetson Dr Fort Worth, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1741 | $2,250 | $1.29 | 8d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 9733 Burwell Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1651 | $2,800 | $1.70 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 4917 Stirrup Way Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1592 | $2,006 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3350 Amador Dr Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1084 | $2,435 | $2.25 | 1d | 28 | 1.31mi |
| 4113 Pepperbush Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $1,795 | $1.54 | 5d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-21historical Active Option Contract
-
2026-03-10$289,999 Active
-
2023-10-12soldstatus Closed 700-char remark
Show marketing remark (700 chars)
SELLER IS OFFERING $5000 IN CLOSING COSTS OR RATE BUYDOWN WITH AN ACCEPTABLE OFFER! Come view this amazing home sitting on a corner lot in the Arcadia Park Subdivision of North Fort Worth in the Keller ISD with no HOA. This home is conveniently located just a few minutes from I-35, all the retail stores and restaurants in the Alliance area, and Fossil Ridge High School. This home has had many renovations including foundation repairs completed in February 2023, new roof in April 2023, and new garage door, new interior paint and laminate flooring installed in June 2023, just to name a few, making it move-in ready for any buyer. This home is located within the Tarrant Regional Water District.
-
2023-10-12soldstatus
Show marketing remark (700 chars)
SELLER IS OFFERING $5000 IN CLOSING COSTS OR RATE BUYDOWN WITH AN ACCEPTABLE OFFER! Come view this amazing home sitting on a corner lot in the Arcadia Park Subdivision of North Fort Worth in the Keller ISD with no HOA. This home is conveniently located just a few minutes from I-35, all the retail stores and restaurants in the Alliance area, and Fossil Ridge High School. This home has had many renovations including foundation repairs completed in February 2023, new roof in April 2023, and new garage door, new interior paint and laminate flooring installed in June 2023, just to name a few, making it move-in ready for any buyer. This home is located within the Tarrant Regional Water District.
-
2023-09-21status Pending 700-char remark
Show marketing remark (700 chars)
SELLER IS OFFERING $5000 IN CLOSING COSTS OR RATE BUYDOWN WITH AN ACCEPTABLE OFFER! Come view this amazing home sitting on a corner lot in the Arcadia Park Subdivision of North Fort Worth in the Keller ISD with no HOA. This home is conveniently located just a few minutes from I-35, all the retail stores and restaurants in the Alliance area, and Fossil Ridge High School. This home has had many renovations including foundation repairs completed in February 2023, new roof in April 2023, and new garage door, new interior paint and laminate flooring installed in June 2023, just to name a few, making it move-in ready for any buyer. This home is located within the Tarrant Regional Water District.
-
2023-09-13historical Active Option Contract 700-char remark
Show marketing remark (700 chars)
SELLER IS OFFERING $5000 IN CLOSING COSTS OR RATE BUYDOWN WITH AN ACCEPTABLE OFFER! Come view this amazing home sitting on a corner lot in the Arcadia Park Subdivision of North Fort Worth in the Keller ISD with no HOA. This home is conveniently located just a few minutes from I-35, all the retail stores and restaurants in the Alliance area, and Fossil Ridge High School. This home has had many renovations including foundation repairs completed in February 2023, new roof in April 2023, and new garage door, new interior paint and laminate flooring installed in June 2023, just to name a few, making it move-in ready for any buyer. This home is located within the Tarrant Regional Water District.
-
2023-08-31price $289,900 700-char remark
Show marketing remark (700 chars)
SELLER IS OFFERING $5000 IN CLOSING COSTS OR RATE BUYDOWN WITH AN ACCEPTABLE OFFER! Come view this amazing home sitting on a corner lot in the Arcadia Park Subdivision of North Fort Worth in the Keller ISD with no HOA. This home is conveniently located just a few minutes from I-35, all the retail stores and restaurants in the Alliance area, and Fossil Ridge High School. This home has had many renovations including foundation repairs completed in February 2023, new roof in April 2023, and new garage door, new interior paint and laminate flooring installed in June 2023, just to name a few, making it move-in ready for any buyer. This home is located within the Tarrant Regional Water District.
-
2023-08-02price $294,900 700-char remark
Show marketing remark (700 chars)
SELLER IS OFFERING $5000 IN CLOSING COSTS OR RATE BUYDOWN WITH AN ACCEPTABLE OFFER! Come view this amazing home sitting on a corner lot in the Arcadia Park Subdivision of North Fort Worth in the Keller ISD with no HOA. This home is conveniently located just a few minutes from I-35, all the retail stores and restaurants in the Alliance area, and Fossil Ridge High School. This home has had many renovations including foundation repairs completed in February 2023, new roof in April 2023, and new garage door, new interior paint and laminate flooring installed in June 2023, just to name a few, making it move-in ready for any buyer. This home is located within the Tarrant Regional Water District.
-
2023-06-28$300,000 Active 700-char remark
Show marketing remark (700 chars)
SELLER IS OFFERING $5000 IN CLOSING COSTS OR RATE BUYDOWN WITH AN ACCEPTABLE OFFER! Come view this amazing home sitting on a corner lot in the Arcadia Park Subdivision of North Fort Worth in the Keller ISD with no HOA. This home is conveniently located just a few minutes from I-35, all the retail stores and restaurants in the Alliance area, and Fossil Ridge High School. This home has had many renovations including foundation repairs completed in February 2023, new roof in April 2023, and new garage door, new interior paint and laminate flooring installed in June 2023, just to name a few, making it move-in ready for any buyer. This home is located within the Tarrant Regional Water District.
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2023-01-19historical
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2022-10-23price $284,900
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2022-10-07$300,000 Active
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2004-01-23soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,986 · $165/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,307 · $442/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,321/yr (+$277/mo · 167.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,701
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,244
- − Property taxes
- −$1,986
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,136
- − Management
- −$2,136
- − Depreciation
- −$8,436
- Taxable loss
- −$5,688
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,365
- After-tax cash flow
- $773/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Keller ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4825260
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $92,106
- Composite
- 48.46/100
- National rank
- #2131
- State rank
- #91 of 826 in TX
Livability — Fort Worth
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #49
- US rank
- #1954
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Worth, TX
- County
- Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
- City population
- 911,619
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 76,728
- Household income
- $122,217
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1419.0
Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,380,417 people
- By 2030
- 2,578,900 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 2,974,995 · +25.0%
- By 2050
- 3,350,489 · +40.8%
- By 2075
- 4,216,909 · +77.2%
- By 2100
- 4,741,527 · +99.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 10% Black 10% Asian 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.25%
- Current HPI
- 249.0762
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.65%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-3.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-04-21 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-03-10 Listed $289,999 NTREIS
- 2023-10-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-10-12 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2023-09-21 Pending — NTREIS
- 2023-09-13 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2023-08-31 Price Changed $289,900 NTREIS
- 2023-08-02 Price Changed $294,900 NTREIS
- 2023-06-28 Listed $300,000 NTREIS
- 2023-01-19 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2022-10-23 Price Changed $284,900 NTREIS
- 2022-10-07 Listed $300,000 NTREIS
- 2004-01-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,986 · -66.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…