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1212 Springdale Dr
C- Composite 52.97
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.9/30.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.9/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

1212 Springdale Dr · Jackson, MS 39211
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,612 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1963 0.26 ac lot $99/sqft · at area comps Est $154k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Owner Of Record . No offers presented w/out POF, w/o E/M, CASHIERS CHECK ONLY! To made out to Listing Office . No exceptions. No Seller's Disclosure. Sold AS IS NO Repairs or Warranties. ADDENDUMS TO BE FILLED OUT AFTER ACCEPTED CONTRACT. Commission Paid on net sale amount.

Key facts

  • Custom built-ins
  • Updated flooring
  • Updated countertops

Tags

PAINTED BRICK FIREPLACECUSTOM BUILT-INSUPDATED FLOORINGABUNDANT CABINET SPACECENTER ISLANDUPDATED COUNTERTOPS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.26 acres

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single family house; One level; Living area reported from public records
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Concrete perimeter foundation and slab; Built in public-records year
  • Exterior features: Deck; Chain link fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; Wood-burning fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $280 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Spann Elementary School (math 7% / reading 21%, grade F, #289 of 375 statewide, top 78%, 395 students, 100% FRL); Chastain Middle School (math 5% / reading 11%, grade F, #165 of 179 statewide, top 93%, 499 students, 100% FRL); Murrah High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #130 of 197 statewide, top 68%, 1,326 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $159,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.39%
Cash-on-cash
7.50%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$154,482
List price
$159,900
Delta
3.51%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1250 Summer Ln 0.10mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,615 (+0%) 4mo $101,000 $63 87
1218 Plantation Blvd 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,650 (+2%) 1mo $145,000 $88 81
404 Colonial Cir 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,689 (+5%) 1mo $185,000 $110 78
412 Colonial Cir 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,700 (+6%) 6mo $165,000 $97 75
1237 Springdale Dr 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,408 (-13%) 2mo $103,500 $74 75
5506 Concord Dr 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,540 (-4%) 1mo $30,000 $19 72
5727 Orchardview Dr 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,550 (-4%) 5mo $59,000 $38 70
5812 Concord Dr 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,796 (+11%) 4mo $106,000 $59 69
223 S Park Dr 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,665 (+3%) 2mo $160,000 $96 61
213 S Park Dr 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,674 (+4%) 4mo $159,900 $96 58
1810 Lake Trace Dr 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,702 (+6%) 2mo $240,000 $141 57
316 Colonial Cir 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,407 (-13%) 4mo $165,000 $117 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.3%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$489
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
14.2%
Equity multiple
2.39×
Total profit
$62,312
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39211

Rents YoY
7.9%
Active inventory
221
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,660 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$126 /mo · $1,514/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$349
Net cashflow
$280

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,306
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $370 -5% $325 +0% $280 +5% $235 +10% $189
Rent -10% $149 -5% $214 +0% $280 +5% $346 +10% $411
Rate -1.0pp $361 -0.5pp $321 base $280 +0.5pp $239 +1.0pp $196

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3001 Jamestown Way Jackson, MS 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,100 $0.92 25d 1 0.65mi
1702 Jamestown Way Unit 1702 Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1465 $1,495 $1.02 46d 1 0.66mi
5538 Pine Lane Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1627 $1,465 $0.90 46d 1 0.71mi
5544 Wayneland Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1800 $1,831 $1.02 46d 1 0.74mi
120 Parkway Dr Jackson, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1076 $2,255 $2.10 16d 15 0.83mi
492 E Beasley Rd Jackson, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1133 $1,440 $1.27 16d 8 0.94mi
2009 Lake Trace Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 2028 $1,950 $0.96 16d 1 0.96mi
119 S Canton Club Cir Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1444 $1,595 $1.10 25d 1 1.06mi
5855 Canton Park Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1955 $1,675 $0.86 25d 1 1.07mi
5301 Ridgewood Rd Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1482 $1,850 $1.25 46d 1 1.09mi
212 Pimlico Pl Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1600 $900 $0.56 16d 1 1.29mi
1620 E County Line Rd Ridgeland, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1126 $1,595 $1.42 16d 7 1.35mi
5125 Old Canton Rd Jackson, MS 3.0 3.0 2025 $2,100 $1.04 25d 1 1.36mi
5000 Ridgewood Rd Jackson, MS 2.0 2.0 1093 $1,279 $1.17 46d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 909-char remark
  2. 2026-05-12
    listed $159,900 Active 909-char remark
  3. 2024-09-26
    historical $1,645
  4. 2024-09-17
    listed $1,645
  5. 2024-02-20
    historical $1,475
  6. 2024-02-16
    listed $1,475
  7. 2021-10-02
    historical
  8. 2020-06-12
    soldstatus
  9. 2008-12-17
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (274 chars)

    Owner Of Record . No offers presented w/out POF, w/o E/M, CASHIERS CHECK ONLY! To made out to Listing Office . No exceptions. No Seller's Disclosure. Sold AS IS NO Repairs or Warranties. ADDENDUMS TO BE FILLED OUT AFTER ACCEPTED CONTRACT. Commission Paid on net sale amount.

  10. 2008-11-13
    listed $74,900
    Show marketing remark (274 chars)

    Owner Of Record . No offers presented w/out POF, w/o E/M, CASHIERS CHECK ONLY! To made out to Listing Office . No exceptions. No Seller's Disclosure. Sold AS IS NO Repairs or Warranties. ADDENDUMS TO BE FILLED OUT AFTER ACCEPTED CONTRACT. Commission Paid on net sale amount.

  11. 2008-02-19
    listed $119,000
  12. 2004-04-01
    soldstatus
  13. 2004-03-31
    soldstatus
  14. 2004-02-13
    listed $114,900
  15. 1993-07-20
    soldstatus
  16. 1986-04-10
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,514 · $126/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,514 · $126/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,919
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$1,514
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,594
− Management
−$1,594
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable income
$810
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$194
After-tax cash flow
$3,165/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
23,838
Household income
$69,426
Rent vs Own
38.0% rent · 62.0% own
Severe rent burden
736.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (59%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.99%
Current HPI
145.5192
Rent YoY
▲ 7.90%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+39.2% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $159,900 MLSU
  • 2024-09-26 Rental Removed $1,645 RENTLY
  • 2024-09-17 Listed for Rent $1,645 RENTLY
  • 2024-02-20 Rental Removed $1,475 RENTLY
  • 2024-02-16 Listed for Rent $1,475 RENTLY
  • 2021-10-02 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2020-06-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2008-12-17 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2008-11-13 Listed $74,900 MLSU
  • 2008-02-19 Listed $119,000 MLSU
  • 2004-04-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-03-31 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2004-02-13 Listed $114,900 MLSU
  • 1993-07-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1986-04-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,514 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…