226 Ruppert St · Wolverine Lake, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.2/30.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$300,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this well-maintained 1,500 sq. ft. tri-level home offering comfortable living spaces and desirable North Commerce Lake access. Located within the highly regarded Walled Lake School District, this charming home features three generously sized bedrooms, a full dual-entry bathroom, and a convenient powder room. The spacious living room is filled with natural light from a large picture window, while the oversized family room provides the perfect space for relaxing or entertaining. An updated eat-in kitchen offers abundant cabinetry, ample counter space, and a sliding door leading to a beautiful brick paver patio - ideal for outdoor dining and gatherings. Additional highlights in
Key facts
- Lake privileges
- Brick paver patio
- Fenced backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Has association fee — $191 yearly; fee includes trash removal; Association phone available
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with electric and garage door opener and direct access
- Security: Pets allowed
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic sewer; Gas water heater
- Home design: Tri-level residential home; Built in 1970; Entry-level living and lower-level family room
- Construction: Basement and slab foundation
- Exterior features: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Fenced yard; Lawn sprinkler system; Patio; Access to All Sports lake and lake/river privileges (North Commerce)
Interior
- Kitchen: Ceramic floor; Kitchen approx. 12 x 11; Dishwasher; Range/Oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 1 (second level) — 14 x 10, carpet; Bedroom 2 (second level) — 10 x 12, carpet; Bedroom 3 (second level) — approx. 11, carpet
- Flooring: Carpet in main living areas and bedrooms; Ceramic flooring in kitchen and bathrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (second level) with ceramic flooring — approx. 10 x 8; One lavatory (entry level) with ceramic flooring — approx. 5 x 4
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: DSL available; Finished basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry room (lower level) approx. 21 x 8
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $860 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $300k).
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.3% in Wolverine Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#204 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Walled Lake Consolidated Schools (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #58 of 540 in MI (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 176 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.28%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $254,320
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 157 Cardinal St | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,500 (+0%) | 11mo | $231,000 | $154 | 78 |
| 4975 Comstock St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,547 (+3%) | 3mo | $330,000 | $213 | 58 |
| 9681 Listeria St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,480 (-1%) | 18mo | $300,000 | $203 | 56 |
| 3266 Rio Vista St | 0.58mi | 4/1.0 | 1,601 (+7%) | 5mo | $269,900 | $169 | 55 |
| 4836 Sundew St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,502 (+0%) | 8mo | $256,000 | $170 | 54 |
| 4775 Halberd St | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,580 (+6%) | 4mo | $239,000 | $151 | 54 |
| 144 Bobolink Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,700 (+14%) | 8mo | $280,000 | $165 | 52 |
| 4792 Broadway St | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,582 (+6%) | 20mo | $245,000 | $155 | 49 |
| 650 Polvadera St | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,320 (-12%) | 15mo | $295,000 | $223 | 47 |
| 4703 Halberd St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,577 (+5%) | 16mo | $275,000 | $174 | 45 |
| 3090 Twinleaf St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,644 (+10%) | 3mo | $315,000 | $192 | 39 |
| 3166 Arbutus St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,708 (+14%) | 4mo | $280,000 | $164 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $6,099
- Equity at exit
- $44,731
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $75,621
- Equity at exit
- $25,939
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48382
- Active inventory
- 176
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$191 /mo · $2,291/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$16
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$735
- Net cashflow
- $860
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,030 | -5% $945 | +0% $860 | +5% $775 | +10% $690 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $583 | -5% $722 | +0% $860 | +5% $998 | +10% $1,136 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,011 | -0.5pp $936 | base $860 | +0.5pp $782 | +1.0pp $703 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 486 Charlevoix St Commerce Township, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1740 | $3,500 | $2.01 | 0d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $16 · $192/yr
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-17status $300,000 Pending 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $300,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $300,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $300,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$300,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,291 · $191/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,456 · $288/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,164/yr (+$97/mo · 50.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$2,291
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,360
- − Management
- −$3,360
- − HOA
- −$192
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable income
- $5,765
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,384
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,934/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walled Lake Consolidated Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2635160
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,184
- Composite
- 49.57/100
- National rank
- #1987
- State rank
- #58 of 540 in MI
Livability — Wolverine Lake
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #204
- US rank
- #5186
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,550
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -265.18%
- Current HPI
- 202.3058
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $300,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,291 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…