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127 Heirloom Dr
D- Composite 36.74
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$324,990

127 Heirloom Dr · Ormond Beach, FL 32174
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,498 sqft · Land · 63 Days on market
5,488 sqft lot $55/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The property is located at 127 Heirloom Drive ORMOND BEACH FL 32174 priced at 334990, the square foot and stories are 1498, 1.The number of bath is 2, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

Key facts

  • Open concept layout
  • 5,488 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

CONCRETE BLOCK CONSTRUCTIONOPEN CONCEPT LAYOUTWELL-APPOINTED KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with $55 monthly fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable available; Water available; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Updated/remodeled and new construction; Suitable for single-family use; Pets allowed (cats and dogs)
  • Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; New construction
  • Exterior features: Patio; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (Electric, Heat Pump); Central air (Electric)
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Kitchen island; Open floorplan; Pantry; Walk-in closets
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-197 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $290k (10.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (27.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $235k (27.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.9% in Ormond Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#55 in FL, #965 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Flagler (rural): math 53% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #20 of 73 in FL (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 985 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,588 units permitted in Flagler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Flagler County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($305k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $234,777 (27.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.56%
Cash-on-cash
-2.60%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.1%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-68,482
Equity at exit
$48,457
10-year hold
IRR
-19.4%
Equity multiple
0.02×
Total profit
$-88,810
Equity at exit
$28,099

Cash invested: $90,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32174

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
985
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,348 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax from tax record
$157 /mo · $1,888/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$55
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$493
Net cashflow
$-197

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,598
Max offer price $290,136
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,248
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
123 Pergola Pl Unit 1546506P Ormond Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1593 $2,029 $1.27 14d 1 0.99mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$55 · $660/yr

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $324,990 Active 63 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $324,990 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $330,990 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $330,990 Active 61 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $330,990 Active 60 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $330,990 Active 58 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $330,990 Active 57 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $334,990 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $334,990 Active 54 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $334,990 Active 53 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $334,990 Active 52 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $334,990 Active 48 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $334,990 Active 47 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $334,990 Active 46 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $334,990 Active 45 DOM
  16. 2026-05-21
    price $334,990
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    The property is located at 127 Heirloom Drive ORMOND BEACH FL 32174 priced at 334990, the square foot and stories are 1498, 1.The number of bath is 2, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

  17. 2026-05-21
    price $334,990 240-char remark
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    The property is located at 127 Heirloom Drive ORMOND BEACH FL 32174 priced at 334990, the square foot and stories are 1498, 1.The number of bath is 2, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

  18. 2026-05-12
    price $341,990
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    The property is located at 127 Heirloom Drive ORMOND BEACH FL 32174 priced at 334990, the square foot and stories are 1498, 1.The number of bath is 2, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

  19. 2026-05-12
    price $341,990 240-char remark
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    The property is located at 127 Heirloom Drive ORMOND BEACH FL 32174 priced at 334990, the square foot and stories are 1498, 1.The number of bath is 2, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

  20. 2026-05-07
    price $339,990
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    The property is located at 127 Heirloom Drive ORMOND BEACH FL 32174 priced at 334990, the square foot and stories are 1498, 1.The number of bath is 2, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

  21. 2026-05-07
    price $339,990 240-char remark
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    The property is located at 127 Heirloom Drive ORMOND BEACH FL 32174 priced at 334990, the square foot and stories are 1498, 1.The number of bath is 2, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

  22. 2026-05-01
    price $344,990 240-char remark
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    The property is located at 127 Heirloom Drive ORMOND BEACH FL 32174 priced at 334990, the square foot and stories are 1498, 1.The number of bath is 2, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

  23. 2026-04-30
    price $344,990
  24. 2026-04-16
    listed $348,990 Active
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    The property is located at 127 Heirloom Drive ORMOND BEACH FL 32174 priced at 334990, the square foot and stories are 1498, 1.The number of bath is 2, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

  25. 2026-04-16
    listed $348,990 Active 240-char remark
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    The property is located at 127 Heirloom Drive ORMOND BEACH FL 32174 priced at 334990, the square foot and stories are 1498, 1.The number of bath is 2, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

  26. 2025-01-24
    soldstatus $4,171,200

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,888 · $157/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,697 · $225/mo
Expected delta
+$809/yr (+$67/mo · 42.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,173
− Mortgage interest
−$18,204
− Property taxes
−$1,888
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,254
− Management
−$2,254
− HOA
−$660
− Depreciation
−$9,454
Taxable loss
−$8,166
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,960
After-tax cash flow
$-408/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flagler
NCES district ID
1200540
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,354
Composite
46.35/100
National rank
#2464
State rank
#20 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ormond Beach

Score
83/100
State rank
#55
US rank
#965

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A Crime B+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Volusia County · 556,871 people
City population
69,624
Metro
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
54,783
Household income
$71,011
Rent vs Own
17.6% rent · 82.4% own
Severe rent burden
1158.0

Population outlook (Flagler County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
123,474 people
By 2030
131,864 · +6.8%
By 2040
146,176 · +18.4%
By 2050
157,398 · +27.5%
By 2075
177,990 · +44.2%
By 2100
183,381 · +48.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Flagler

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.2) · D 35.6% · R 63.8%
2008→2024 swing
-29.8pp toward R · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: -28.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.2 2020: R+20.8 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -327.97%
Current HPI
271.92
Rent YoY
▲ 1.64%
Metro
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-92.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $334,990 Daytona MLS
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $334,990 Zillow
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $341,990 Daytona MLS
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $341,990 Zillow
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $339,990 Daytona MLS
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $339,990 Zillow
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $344,990 Zillow
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $344,990 Daytona MLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $348,990 Daytona MLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $348,990 Zillow
  • 2025-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $4,171,200 Public Records

Property tax history

+76.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,888 · +76.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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