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13957 Gas Point Rd
B Composite 70.9
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.9/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$95,000

13957 Gas Point Rd · Igo, CA 96047
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · Manufactured public records · 125 Days on market
Built 1972 5.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Cash only!! Seller is willing to have all junk removed This property is situated on 5 acres overlooking rolling Hills in a nice area, 2 beds 2 baths with well and septic fully permitted

Key facts

  • Fully renovated
  • Rolling hills
  • 5 acres

Tags

5 ACRESROLLING HILLSFULLY RENOVATED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; Off-street parking; RV access/parking
  • Home design: Manufactured home located in a park; Mobile home
  • Construction: Pillar/post/pier foundation; Other roof
  • Exterior features: Barbed wire fencing; Wooded lot with views; Asphalt road access; Downsloping, gentle and level topography

Interior

  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Heating & cooling: Heating present
  • Interior features: Laminate flooring; No fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $323 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cottonwood Union Elementary (town): math 42% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #191 of 517 in CA (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 246 units permitted in Shasta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
  • Shasta County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $80k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
10.37%
Cash-on-cash
14.55%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.49% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
1.93×
Total profit
$24,606
Equity at exit
$34,874
10-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
3.58×
Total profit
$68,562
Equity at exit
$48,295

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 96047

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
37
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,180 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $858/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$248
Net cashflow
$323

Break-even live

Break-even rent $771
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $95,000 Active 125 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 124 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 123 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 122 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 121 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $95,000 Active 119 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $95,000 Active 118 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $95,000 Active 116 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 115 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 114 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 113 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 109 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 108 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 107 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 106 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $95,000 Active 105 DOM
  17. 2026-05-22
    price $95,000
  18. 2026-03-07
    status Active
  19. 2026-02-25
    status Pending
  20. 2026-02-05
    listed $99,900 Active
  21. 2026-02-03
    listed $99,900 Active
  22. 2019-09-06
    soldstatus $80,000
  23. 2019-09-06
    soldstatus $70,000
  24. 2019-07-24
    listed $99,000
  25. 2016-10-24
    listed $154,900
  26. 2016-10-11
    listed $189,900
  27. 1993-10-11
    soldstatus $17,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$858 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$858 · $72/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 36 unhealthy d/yr today · 39 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,155
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$858
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,132
− Management
−$1,132
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$2,472
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$593
After-tax cash flow
$3,278/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cottonwood Union Elementary
NCES district ID
0609990
Math proficiency
42% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$50,081
Composite
38.22/100
National rank
#4249
State rank
#191 of 517 in CA

Livability — Igo

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
857

Population outlook (Shasta County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
179,231 people
By 2030
176,953 · -1.3%
By 2040
169,982 · -5.2%
By 2050
162,547 · -9.3%
By 2075
145,649 · -18.7%
By 2100
123,025 · -31.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Native American 3% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Russian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Shasta

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.5) · D 30.5% · R 67.0% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-10.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.8pp · 2024: -36.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.5 2020: R+33.1 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+30.3 2008: R+25.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.49%
Current HPI
112.474
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+458.8% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $95,000 SAOR
  • 2026-03-07 Relisted SAOR
  • 2026-02-25 Pending SAOR
  • 2026-02-05 Listed $99,900 SAOR
  • 2026-02-03 Listed $99,900 SAOR
  • 2019-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2019-09-06 Sold (MLS) $80,000 SAOR
  • 2019-07-24 Listed $99,000 SAOR
  • 2016-10-24 Listed $154,900 SAOR
  • 2016-10-11 Listed $189,900 SAOR
  • 1993-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $858 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…