13957 Gas Point Rd · Igo, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 10/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 36 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 39 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Cash only!! Seller is willing to have all junk removed This property is situated on 5 acres overlooking rolling Hills in a nice area, 2 beds 2 baths with well and septic fully permitted
Key facts
- Fully renovated
- Rolling hills
- 5 acres
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; Off-street parking; RV access/parking
- Home design: Manufactured home located in a park; Mobile home
- Construction: Pillar/post/pier foundation; Other roof
- Exterior features: Barbed wire fencing; Wooded lot with views; Asphalt road access; Downsloping, gentle and level topography
Interior
- Flooring: Laminate
- Heating & cooling: Heating present
- Interior features: Laminate flooring; No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $323 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Cottonwood Union Elementary (town): math 42% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #191 of 517 in CA (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 246 units permitted in Shasta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
- Shasta County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $80k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.55%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.49% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $24,606
- Equity at exit
- $34,874
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.58×
- Total profit
- $68,562
- Equity at exit
- $48,295
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 96047
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 37
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,180 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $858/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$248
- Net cashflow
- $323
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $95,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $95,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $95,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $95,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $95,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-05-22price $95,000
-
2026-03-07status Active
-
2026-02-25status Pending
-
2026-02-05$99,900 Active
-
2026-02-03$99,900 Active
-
2019-09-06soldstatus $80,000
-
2019-09-06soldstatus $70,000
-
2019-07-24$99,000
-
2016-10-24$154,900
-
2016-10-11$189,900
-
1993-10-11soldstatus $17,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $858 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $858 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 36 unhealthy d/yr today · 39 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,155
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$858
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,132
- − Management
- −$1,132
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $2,472
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$593
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,278/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cottonwood Union Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 0609990
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,081
- Composite
- 38.22/100
- National rank
- #4249
- State rank
- #191 of 517 in CA
Livability — Igo
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 857
Population outlook (Shasta County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 179,231 people
- By 2030
- 176,953 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 169,982 · -5.2%
- By 2050
- 162,547 · -9.3%
- By 2075
- 145,649 · -18.7%
- By 2100
- 123,025 · -31.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Native American 3% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Russian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Shasta
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.5) · D 30.5% · R 67.0% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.8pp · 2024: -36.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.5 2020: R+33.1 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+30.3 2008: R+25.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.49%
- Current HPI
- 112.474
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+458.8% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $95,000 SAOR
- 2026-03-07 Relisted — SAOR
- 2026-02-25 Pending — SAOR
- 2026-02-05 Listed $99,900 SAOR
- 2026-02-03 Listed $99,900 SAOR
- 2019-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2019-09-06 Sold (MLS) $80,000 SAOR
- 2019-07-24 Listed $99,000 SAOR
- 2016-10-24 Listed $154,900 SAOR
- 2016-10-11 Listed $189,900 SAOR
- 1993-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $858 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…