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C- Composite 54.25
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$239,000

414 Elmwood Ave Unit 4C · New York, NY 11230
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 775 sqft · Condo · 258 Days on market
Built 1958 ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to the Elmwood Residence cooperative! This elevator building is extremely well maintained with a beautiful lobby, laundry room, in-house super and the building offers garage spaces to rent ($75.00 per month, wait list)! Located on the 4th floor, this 775+ square-foot unit offers a large living room, dinette, kitchen with window, big bedroom, full bathroom with window and 5 closets! Lots of windows providing plenty of natural light throughout the day and nice views! Bright, big & airy apartment, freshly painted with hardwood floors throughout, and 2 in-wall air conditioners that cool the entire apartment! Low monthly maintenance of $920.00 includes heat, gas, water, hot water a

Key facts

  • Laundry room
  • Large living room
  • 5 closets

Tags

ELEVATOR BUILDINGLAUNDRY ROOMLARGE LIVING ROOMKITCHEN WITH WINDOWFULL BATHROOM WITH WINDOW5 CLOSETS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $239k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $288 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $239k).
  • Recommended offer: $210k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 210 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 258 days — a 12% lower offer ($210k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $210,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 258 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
7.74%
Cash-on-cash
5.16%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-12,273
Equity at exit
$35,636
10-year hold
IRR
8.3%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$48,465
Equity at exit
$20,664

Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11230

Rents YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
210
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,455 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,253
Tax est. 1.5%
$299 /mo · $3,585/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$516
Net cashflow
$288

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,091
Max offer price $239,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,750
Closing costs
$7,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
540 Ocean Pkwy Unit 6H Brooklyn, NY 1.0 1.0 1000 $2,850 $2.85 24d 1 0.56mi
540 Ocean Pkwy Unit Main Brooklyn, NY 1.0 1.0 825 $2,200 $2.67 20d 1 0.56mi
22 Tehama St Unit 2 Fl Brooklyn, NY 2.0 1.0 700 $2,980 $4.26 24d 1 1.32mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
watergas
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-03-20
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-29
    status Active
  3. 2025-12-19
    status Pending
  4. 2025-11-20
    status Active
  5. 2025-08-25
    status Pending
  6. 2025-07-29
    price $239,000
  7. 2025-05-20
    price $249,000
  8. 2025-03-28
    price $259,000
  9. 2025-02-26
    listed $269,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,463
− Mortgage interest
−$13,388
− Property taxes
−$3,585
− Insurance
−$1,195
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,357
− Management
−$2,357
− Depreciation
−$6,953
Taxable loss
−$372
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$89
After-tax cash flow
$3,545/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Kings County · 2,614,986 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
86,978
Household income
$70,027
Rent vs Own
71.6% rent · 28.4% own
Severe rent burden
6887.0

Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,847,441 people
By 2030
2,937,006 · +3.1%
By 2040
3,095,491 · +8.7%
By 2050
3,228,968 · +13.4%
By 2075
3,321,723 · +16.7%
By 2100
3,111,387 · +9.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Asian 17% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 8% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 5% Subsaharan African 4% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
41% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
45% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 16% Other Indo-European 10% Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Kings

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
2008→2024 swing
-15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -606.25%
Current HPI
314.7697
Rent YoY
▲ 6.17%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-20 Pending BNYMLS
  • 2026-01-29 Relisted BNYMLS
  • 2025-12-19 Pending BNYMLS
  • 2025-11-20 Relisted BNYMLS
  • 2025-08-25 Pending BNYMLS
  • 2025-07-29 Price Changed $239,000 BNYMLS
  • 2025-05-20 Price Changed $249,000 BNYMLS
  • 2025-03-28 Price Changed $259,000 BNYMLS
  • 2025-02-26 Listed $269,000 BNYMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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