414 Elmwood Ave Unit 4C · New York, NY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 64.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to the Elmwood Residence cooperative! This elevator building is extremely well maintained with a beautiful lobby, laundry room, in-house super and the building offers garage spaces to rent ($75.00 per month, wait list)! Located on the 4th floor, this 775+ square-foot unit offers a large living room, dinette, kitchen with window, big bedroom, full bathroom with window and 5 closets! Lots of windows providing plenty of natural light throughout the day and nice views! Bright, big & airy apartment, freshly painted with hardwood floors throughout, and 2 in-wall air conditioners that cool the entire apartment! Low monthly maintenance of $920.00 includes heat, gas, water, hot water a
Key facts
- Laundry room
- Large living room
- 5 closets
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $239k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $288 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $239k).
- Recommended offer: $210k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 210 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 258 days — a 12% lower offer ($210k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 258 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.16%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-12,273
- Equity at exit
- $35,636
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $48,465
- Equity at exit
- $20,664
Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11230
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 210
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,455 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,253
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$299 /mo · $3,585/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$516
- Net cashflow
- $288
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,750
- Closing costs
- $7,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 540 Ocean Pkwy Unit 6H Brooklyn, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,850 | $2.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 540 Ocean Pkwy Unit Main Brooklyn, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $2,200 | $2.67 | 20d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 22 Tehama St Unit 2 Fl Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,980 | $4.26 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- watergas
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-03-20status Pending
-
2026-01-29status Active
-
2025-12-19status Pending
-
2025-11-20status Active
-
2025-08-25status Pending
-
2025-07-29price $239,000
-
2025-05-20price $249,000
-
2025-03-28price $259,000
-
2025-02-26$269,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,463
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,388
- − Property taxes
- −$3,585
- − Insurance
- −$1,195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,357
- − Management
- −$2,357
- − Depreciation
- −$6,953
- Taxable loss
- −$372
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$89
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,545/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 86,978
- Household income
- $70,027
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6887.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Asian 17% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 8% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 5% Subsaharan African 4% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 41% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 45% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 16% Other Indo-European 10% Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -606.25%
- Current HPI
- 314.7697
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.17%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-11.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-20 Pending — BNYMLS
- 2026-01-29 Relisted — BNYMLS
- 2025-12-19 Pending — BNYMLS
- 2025-11-20 Relisted — BNYMLS
- 2025-08-25 Pending — BNYMLS
- 2025-07-29 Price Changed $239,000 BNYMLS
- 2025-05-20 Price Changed $249,000 BNYMLS
- 2025-03-28 Price Changed $259,000 BNYMLS
- 2025-02-26 Listed $269,000 BNYMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…