8921 S Main St · Ora, IN
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$64,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity just south of Bass Lake! Situated on a large lot of over half an acre, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers plenty of space and potential. Features include a detached 2-car garage and a generous yard. Property needs repairs and updates and is being sold as-is, ideal for investors or buyers ready to take on a project. Seller financing available, providing flexible options for the right buyer. Bring your vision and capitalize on this promising location!
Key facts
- Generous yard
- Large lot
- Promising location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $64k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $459 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $64k).
- Recommended offer: $56k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Culver Community Schools Corporation (rural): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #236 of 301 in IN (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Starke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($442 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Starke County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $64k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.90% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.19%
- DSCR
- 2.57
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $139,908
- List price
- $64,000
- Delta
- -54.26%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8840 S Main St | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,677 (+0%) | 9mo | $36,000 | $21 | 88 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.06×
- Total profit
- $36,998
- Equity at exit
- $28,777
- IRR
- 36.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.07×
- Total profit
- $90,821
- Equity at exit
- $44,349
Cash invested: $17,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46968
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,213 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$336
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $849/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $459
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,000
- Closing costs
- $1,920
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $64,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $64,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $64,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $64,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $64,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $64,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $64,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $64,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $64,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $64,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $64,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $64,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $64,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $64,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $64,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-04-16price $64,000 482-char remark
Show marketing remark (482 chars)
Great investment opportunity just south of Bass Lake! Situated on a large lot of over half an acre, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers plenty of space and potential. Features include a detached 2-car garage and a generous yard. Property needs repairs and updates and is being sold as-is, ideal for investors or buyers ready to take on a project. Seller financing available, providing flexible options for the right buyer. Bring your vision and capitalize on this promising location!
-
2026-02-16$70,000 Active 482-char remark
Show marketing remark (482 chars)
Great investment opportunity just south of Bass Lake! Situated on a large lot of over half an acre, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers plenty of space and potential. Features include a detached 2-car garage and a generous yard. Property needs repairs and updates and is being sold as-is, ideal for investors or buyers ready to take on a project. Seller financing available, providing flexible options for the right buyer. Bring your vision and capitalize on this promising location!
-
2025-06-18price $76,500
-
2025-05-19price $85,000
-
2025-04-15$90,000 Active
-
2024-11-16$95,000 Active
-
2010-05-24soldstatus $16,000
-
2009-11-16$22,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $849 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $849 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,560
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,585
- − Property taxes
- −$849
- − Insurance
- −$1,118
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,165
- − Management
- −$1,165
- − Depreciation
- −$1,862
- Taxable income
- $4,817
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,156
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,352/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Culver Community Schools Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1802520
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,718
- Composite
- 26.41/100
- National rank
- #7227
- State rank
- #236 of 301 in IN
Livability — Ora
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ora, IN
- City population
- 136
- Population (ZIP)
- 136
Population outlook (Starke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,860 people
- By 2030
- 21,024 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 19,041 · -12.9%
- By 2050
- 16,881 · -22.8%
- By 2075
- 11,880 · -45.7%
- By 2100
- 7,217 · -67.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
Political lean MEDSL · Starke
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.2% · R 75.3% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -55.3pp toward R · 2008: 3.2pp · 2024: -52.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.0 2020: R+46.8 2016: R+42.0 2012: R+10.6 2008: D+3.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+179.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $64,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-16 Listed $70,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-18 Price Changed $76,500 IRMLS
- 2025-05-19 Price Changed $85,000 IRMLS
- 2025-04-15 Listed $90,000 IRMLS
- 2024-11-16 Listed $95,000 IRMLS
- 2010-05-24 Sold (MLS) $16,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-11-16 Listed $22,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+16.9%/yrLatest (2024): $849 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…