3022 S Wheeling Way Unit 207-112 · Aurora, CO
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.6/30.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +1.7/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
WELCOME HOME to this turn-key, high security 2 bed, 1 bath condo at Heather Gardens! The updated home has new carpet and paint. .. plus it is conveniently located on the ground floor. This end unit is just feet away from the secure private entrance and the bright and sunny lanai has a door exiting to the beautifully manicured grounds. Perfect if you have a dog in the family! The well maintained condo has stainless steel appliances and pantry, plus an updated bathroom. You can have easy living at Heather Gardens, with all the amenities this 55+ community has to offer, like on-site restaurant and bar, swimming pools, golf course and tennis courts.
Key facts
- $582 HOA
- Garage
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $175k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-480 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $106k (39.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (5.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $106k (39.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#70 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Cherry Creek School District No. 5 In The County Of Arapah (urban): math 40% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #11 of 86 in CO (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Buffalo Trail Elementary School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #277 of 966 statewide, top 31%, 597 students, 26% FRL); Prairie Middle School (math 6% / reading 15%, grade F, #245 of 270 statewide, top 91%, 1,383 students, 71% FRL); Overland High School (math 23% / reading 43%, grade F, #216 of 381 statewide, top 57%, 2,109 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 54% FRL vs 21% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 49% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Cherry Creek School District No. 5 In The County Of Arapah average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.4%/yr); 396 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 74d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,927 units permitted in Arapahoe County in 2024 (1,525 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Arapahoe County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.75%
- DSCR
- 0.48
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $220,806
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -20.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13609 E Cornell Ave #102 | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 930 (0%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $199 | 95 |
| 13651 E Yale Ave Unit D | 0.48mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 856 (-8%) | 0mo | $224,900 | $263 | 59 |
| 2231 S Vaughn Way Unit 114B | 1.00mi | 2/2.0 | 972 (+4%) | 1mo | $169,000 | $174 | 53 |
| 2231 S Vaughn Way Unit 216B | 1.00mi | 2/2.0 | 972 (+4%) | 2mo | $159,900 | $165 | 52 |
| 3539 S Fairplay Way Unit B-10 | 1.27mi | 2/1.5 | 993 (+7%) | 1mo | $231,947 | $234 | 51 |
| 3539 S Fairplay Way #10 | 1.27mi | 2/2.0 | 993 (+7%) | 1mo | $231,947 | $234 | 49 |
| 13653 E Yale Ave Unit D | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 | 1,098 (+18%) | 1mo | $251,000 | $229 | 48 |
| 12450 E Cornell Ave #104 | 0.46mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 786 (-16%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $204 | 47 |
| 4045 S Crystal Cir #102 | 1.43mi | 2/2.0 | 1,012 (+9%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $272 | 44 |
| 12662 E Warren Dr Unit E | 1.01mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 838 (-10%) | 0mo | $250,000 | $298 | 43 |
| 13744 E Lehigh Ave Unit A | 1.09mi | 2/1.0 | 745 (-20%) | 1mo | $219,973 | $295 | 39 |
| 13883 E Lehigh Ave Unit A | 1.02mi | 2/1.0 | 746 (-20%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $255 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -43.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.29×
- Total profit
- $-63,399
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -1.28×
- Total profit
- $-111,804
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 3 active · 5 under contract
- Median asking
- $195,000 ($248/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 120 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -4.3% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 80014
- Rents YoY
- -3.4%
- Active inventory
- 396
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,660 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$582
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$349
- Net cashflow
- $-480
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-359 | -5% $-419 | +0% $-480 | +5% $-540 | +10% $-601 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-611 | -5% $-545 | +0% $-480 | +5% $-414 | +10% $-349 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-392 | -0.5pp $-435 | base $-480 | +0.5pp $-525 | +1.0pp $-571 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3022 S Wheeling Way Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1065 | $1,822 | $1.71 | 7d | 2 | 0.03mi |
| 3124 S Wheeling Way #402 Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,650 | $1.77 | 6d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 13606 E Bates Ave Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,625 | $1.76 | 4d | 2 | 0.11mi |
| 13606 E Bates Ave #301 Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,800 | $1.96 | 74d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 3144 S Wheeling Way #311 Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,575 | $1.69 | 88d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 3063 S Ursula Cir #302 Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1016 | $1,795 | $1.77 | 40d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 13626 E Bates Ave #402 Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,595 | $1.72 | 119d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 3021 S Ursula Cir #301 Aurora, CO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 786 | $1,495 | $1.90 | 88d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 3021 S Ursula Cir #301 Aurora, CO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 786 | $1,295 | $1.65 | 64d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 3012 S Ursula Cir Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1016 | $1,700 | $1.67 | 116d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3012 S Ursula Cir Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1016 | $1,700 | $1.67 | 119d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3155 S Vaughn Way Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 612 | $2,369 | $3.87 | 0d | 82 | 0.36mi |
| 12546 E Cornell Ave #104 Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1016 | $1,800 | $1.77 | 119d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 12546 E Cornell Ave Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1016 | $1,800 | $1.77 | 113d | 2 | 0.42mi |
| 12526 E Cornell Ave #204 Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1016 | $1,595 | $1.57 | 9d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2656 S Xanadu Way Aurora, CO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 856 | $1,595 | $1.86 | 30d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 12251 E Cornell Ave Aurora, CO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,150 | $1.80 | 100d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 12150 E Dartmouth Ave Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 891 | $2,418 | $2.71 | 0d | 32 | 0.60mi |
| 2479 S Xanadu Way Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1091 | $2,100 | $1.92 | 108d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2471 S Xanadu Way Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1091 | $1,799 | $1.65 | 9d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2435 S Xanadu Way Unit C Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1091 | $1,695 | $1.55 | 42d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2461 S Xanadu Way Unit D Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1091 | $1,995 | $1.83 | 5d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 13222 E Iliff Ave Aurora, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 885 | $1,300 | $1.47 | 0d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 12043 E Harvard Ave Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,625 | $1.44 | 0d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 12043 E Harvard Ave #208 Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,595 | $1.42 | 0d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2281 S Vaughn Way Unit 209A Aurora, CO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $1,395 | $2.15 | 64d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2281 S Vaughn Way Unit 301A Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $1,675 | $1.72 | 82d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2281 S Vaughn Way Unit 206A Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 113d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2281 S Vaughn Way Unit 301A Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $1,675 | $1.72 | 78d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2281 S Vaughn Way Unit 301 Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 982 | $1,700 | $1.73 | 119d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 11925 E Harvard Ave Unit 6-207 Aurora, CO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $1,300 | $1.75 | 84d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 12005 E Harvard Ave #208 Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $2,500 | $2.22 | 40d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 12005 E Harvard Ave Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,800 | $1.60 | 5d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2231 S Vaughn Way Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $1,650 | $1.70 | 7d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 12007 E Harvard Ave Aurora, CO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $1,350 | $1.82 | 117d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2231 S Vaughn Way Unit 302B Aurora, CO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $1,600 | $2.47 | 119d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 13873 E Lehigh Ave Unit D Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 746 | $1,400 | $1.88 | 110d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2150 S Vaughn Way Unit 202D Aurora, CO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 718 | $1,400 | $1.95 | 74d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2120 S Vaughn Way Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 2d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2120 S Vaughn Way Unit 206F Aurora, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,650 | $1.54 | 119d | 1 | 1.10mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Community amenities include clubhouse, tennis courts, hot tub, pool, fitness center, park, extra storage, community laundry, security building, elevator, trails, and business centerPets allowed: dogs and cats
- Financial info
- Annual tax information available
- HOA & community
- HOA: Heather GardensMonthly HOA feeHOA transfer fee appliesHOA covers trash, snow removal, security, management, exterior maintenance, water, heat, insurance, and sewer
Exterior
- Parking
- Reserved parking1 reserved garage space
- Utilities
- Public sewerElectricity availableCable availableNo water rights
- Home design
- Attached condominiumOne-levelPreviously owned
- Construction
- Brick constructionComposition roof
- Exterior features
- PatioGolf course neighborhoodPaved accessRamp access
Interior
- Kitchen
- Includes dishwasher, refrigerator, microwave, and garbage disposal
- Bedrooms
- 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Baseboard heatingWall/window unit cooling
- Interior features
- DishwasherRefrigeratorMicrowaveGarbage disposalFire alarm
HOA detail $582/mo · $6,984/yr condo
- Likely covers
- landscapingpoolsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-22days on market $175,000 Active 158 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $175,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $175,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $175,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $175,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $175,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $175,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $175,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $175,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $175,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $175,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-09-04pricedays on market $175,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $177,999 Active 138 DOM
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2026-08-30days on market $177,999 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $177,999 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $177,999 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $177,999 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $177,999 Active 133 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $177,999 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $177,999 Active 131 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $177,999 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $177,999 Active 129 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $177,999 Active 128 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $177,999 Active 127 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $177,999 Active 126 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $177,999 Active 125 DOM
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2026-08-17pricedays on market $177,999 Active 124 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $185,000 Active 123 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $185,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $185,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $185,000 Active 120 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $185,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $185,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $185,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $185,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $185,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $185,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $185,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $185,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $185,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $185,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $185,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $185,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $185,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $185,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $185,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $185,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $185,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $185,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $185,000 Active 96 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,923
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,625
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,594
- − Management
- −$1,594
- − HOA
- −$6,984
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$8,642
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,074
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,683/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This turn-key, high-security 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom condo at Heather Gardens is in good condition with recent updates and is conveniently located on the ground floor. The manicured grounds and updated interior make it an attractive option for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both replace carpet — improves comfort and resale value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cherry Creek School District No. 5 In The County Of Arapah
- NCES district ID
- 0802910
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,326
- Composite
- 44.12/100
- National rank
- #2866
- State rank
- #11 of 86 in CO
Livability — Aurora
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #70
- US rank
- #6441
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Aurora, CO
- County
- Arapahoe County · 757,407 people
- City population
- 397,430
- Metro
- Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,496
- Household income
- $73,210
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16% of renters
Population outlook (Arapahoe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 757,407 people
- By 2030
- 819,724 · +8.2%
- By 2040
- 940,367 · +24.2%
- By 2050
- 1,053,720 · +39.1%
- By 2075
- 1,297,693 · +71.3%
- By 2100
- 1,412,796 · +86.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 13% Two or more races 11% Asian 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Arapahoe
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 58.6% · R 38.5% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.2pp toward D · 2008: 12.9pp · 2024: 20.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1 2020: D+24.6 2016: D+13.8 2012: D+8.3 2008: D+12.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -250.58%
- Current HPI
- 236.7246
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.35%
- Metro
- Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-9.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-23 Price Changed $190,000 IRES
- 2026-06-11 Price Changed $195,000 IRES
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $200,000 IRES
- 2026-04-15 Listed $210,000 IRES
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…