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122 E 10th St St
D Composite 41.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$150,000

122 E 10th St St · Gregory, SD 57533
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · SingleFamily · 230 Days on market
Built 1915 8,400 sqft lot $107/sqft · 43% above area Est $105k · 43% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your new home in the heart of Gregory, SD! This delightful 5-bedroom, 2-bathroom house boasts a newer roof, ensuring years of durability and protection. With spacious living areas and a large kitchen, it’s perfect for a growing family or as a rental property for hunting enthusiasts. The two full bathrooms add convenience, and the generously sized bedrooms provide ample space for everyone. Situated in a friendly neighborhood, this home features a sizable yard for outdoor activities and plenty of parking space. Its prime location near popular hunting spots makes it an ideal base for hunters looking for a comfortable stay.

Key facts

  • Sizable yard
  • Newer roof
  • Large kitchen

Tags

NEWER ROOFLARGE KITCHENSIZABLE YARDPRIME LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $49 ($592/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (8.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#80 in SD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Gregory School District 26-4 (rural): math 41% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #82 of 148 in SD (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Gregory County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Gregory County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 230 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $93k; list at $150k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $132,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 230 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
6.69%
Cash-on-cash
1.41%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$105,046
List price
$150,000
Delta
42.79%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.8%
Equity multiple
1.51×
Total profit
$21,234
Equity at exit
$67,446
10-year hold
IRR
11.3%
Equity multiple
2.70×
Total profit
$71,236
Equity at exit
$103,943

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Dakota
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; mostly landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 57533

Active inventory
7
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,375 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax est. 1.5%
$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$289
Net cashflow
$49

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,312
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 230 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 229 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 228 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 227 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 225 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $150,000 Active 224 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 221 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 220 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 219 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $150,000 Active 217 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 215 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 214 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 213 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 212 DOM
  15. 2026-03-05
    price $150,000 644-char remark
    Show marketing remark (644 chars)

    Welcome to your new home in the heart of Gregory, SD! This delightful 5-bedroom, 2-bathroom house boasts a newer roof, ensuring years of durability and protection. With spacious living areas and a large kitchen, it’s perfect for a growing family or as a rental property for hunting enthusiasts. The two full bathrooms add convenience, and the generously sized bedrooms provide ample space for everyone. Situated in a friendly neighborhood, this home features a sizable yard for outdoor activities and plenty of parking space. Its prime location near popular hunting spots makes it an ideal base for hunters looking for a comfortable stay.

  16. 2025-10-31
    listed $160,000 Active 644-char remark
    Show marketing remark (644 chars)

    Welcome to your new home in the heart of Gregory, SD! This delightful 5-bedroom, 2-bathroom house boasts a newer roof, ensuring years of durability and protection. With spacious living areas and a large kitchen, it’s perfect for a growing family or as a rental property for hunting enthusiasts. The two full bathrooms add convenience, and the generously sized bedrooms provide ample space for everyone. Situated in a friendly neighborhood, this home features a sizable yard for outdoor activities and plenty of parking space. Its prime location near popular hunting spots makes it an ideal base for hunters looking for a comfortable stay.

  17. 2025-05-30
    historical
  18. 2024-05-29
    listed $160,000 Active - New
  19. 2022-09-30
    soldstatus $92,900
  20. 2022-06-27
    listed $92,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,496
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,250
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,320
− Management
−$1,320
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$1,910
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$458
After-tax cash flow
$1,050/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gregory School District 26-4
NCES district ID
4629880
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$37,070
Composite
43.14/100
National rank
#6610
State rank
#82 of 148 in SD

Livability — Gregory

Score
68/100
State rank
#80
US rank
#9107

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gregory, SD
Population (ZIP)
1,633

Population outlook (Gregory County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,052 people
By 2030
3,980 · -1.8%
By 2040
3,871 · -4.5%
By 2050
3,851 · -5.0%
By 2075
4,346 · +7.3%
By 2100
4,836 · +19.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Gregory

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.2) · D 18.8% · R 79.0% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-31.2pp toward R · 2008: -29.0pp · 2024: -60.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.2 2020: R+58.3 2016: R+57.8 2012: R+42.2 2008: R+29.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.70%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+61.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $150,000 REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
  • 2025-10-31 Listed $160,000 REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
  • 2025-05-30 Listing Removed REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
  • 2024-05-29 Listed $160,000 REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
  • 2022-09-30 Sold (MLS) $92,900 REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
  • 2022-06-27 Listed $92,900 REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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