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C- Composite 54.87
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0

$675,000

162 N 14Th St #3 · East Orange, NJ 07017-5725
9 bd · 3.0 ba · — sqft · MultiFamily · 32 Days on market
Built 1915 3,484 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

2nd and 3rd Floor are tenant occupied with month to month lease, 1st floor is vacant and is in move ready condition. All units are well maintained with modern kitchen and bathrooms. Each floor has individual central air units. This is a modern three family investment property with potential for owner to complete basement. Partially finished basement has electricity and water along with a brand new electric water heater, toilet and bathroom (incomplete). PROPERTY IS SOLD "AS IS" SELLER WILL NOT DO ANY ADDITIONAL WORK OR CHANGES TO PROPERTY. BUYER RESPONSIBLE FOR ALL CITY INSPECTIONS, PERMITS AND CERTIFICATE OF OCCUPANCY.

Key facts

  • 3,484 sq ft lot
  • 3 parking spots
  • Built 1915

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $675k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $869 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $290/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $675k).
  • Recommended offer: $655k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.0% in East Orange — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#189 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A, housing A-; Watch: schools C-, crime D-, amenities F.
  • East Orange School District (suburban): math 6% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #444 of 472 in NJ (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 3,364 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (2,551 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $25k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Essex County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $189k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($655k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $654,750 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.84%
Cash-on-cash
5.52%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
134 14th St 0.07mi 8/3.0 (-1) 3mo $650,000 77
110 17th St 0.15mi 8/3.0 (-1) 3mo $705,000 73
160-162 Roseville Ave 0.34mi 8/3.0 (-1) 3mo $700,000 64
72 13th St 0.19mi 10/5.0 (+1) 3mo $830,000 63
382-384 7th St 0.45mi 8/3.0 (-1) 3mo $650,000 59
263 19th St 0.44mi 9/6.0 2mo $1,050,000 54
15 Winthrop Ter 0.75mi 9/3.5 2mo $705,000 49
117 12th St 0.74mi 9/4.5 1mo $800,000 46
486 4th St 0.65mi 8/5.0 (-1) 2mo $875,000 42
266 2nd Ave 0.71mi 8/5.0 (-1) 0mo $870,000 41
39 7th St 0.70mi 9/6.0 3mo $1,110,000 40
268 2nd Ave 0.70mi 8/5.0 (-1) 2mo $875,000 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.7%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$136,778
Equity at exit
$303,509
10-year hold
IRR
14.7%
Equity multiple
3.17×
Total profit
$409,583
Equity at exit
$467,744

Cash invested: $189,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 07017-5725

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
24.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,005 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,540
Tax est. 1.5%
$844 /mo · $10,125/yr
Insurance
$281
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,471
Net cashflow
$869

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,905
Max offer price $675,000
Occupancy floor 83%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $7,005

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$168,750
Closing costs
$20,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2025-05-12
    status Under Contract
  2. 2025-04-10
    listed $675,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$84,060
− Mortgage interest
−$37,810
− Property taxes
−$10,125
− Insurance
−$3,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,725
− Management
−$6,725
− Depreciation
−$19,636
Taxable loss
−$336
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$81
After-tax cash flow
$10,511/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Orange School District
NCES district ID
3404230
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$39,490
Composite
15.56/100
National rank
#9295
State rank
#444 of 472 in NJ

Livability — East Orange

Score
73/100
State rank
#189
US rank
#5261

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living D- Crime D- Employment C Housing A- Health & safety A User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Orange, NJ

Population outlook (Essex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
825,042 people
By 2030
834,010 · +1.1%
By 2040
846,221 · +2.6%
By 2050
850,047 · +3.0%
By 2075
837,009 · +1.5%
By 2100
784,345 · -4.9%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-05-12 Pending GSMLS
  • 2025-04-10 Listed $675,000 GSMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…