162 N 14Th St #3 · East Orange, NJ
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$675,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
2nd and 3rd Floor are tenant occupied with month to month lease, 1st floor is vacant and is in move ready condition. All units are well maintained with modern kitchen and bathrooms. Each floor has individual central air units. This is a modern three family investment property with potential for owner to complete basement. Partially finished basement has electricity and water along with a brand new electric water heater, toilet and bathroom (incomplete). PROPERTY IS SOLD "AS IS" SELLER WILL NOT DO ANY ADDITIONAL WORK OR CHANGES TO PROPERTY. BUYER RESPONSIBLE FOR ALL CITY INSPECTIONS, PERMITS AND CERTIFICATE OF OCCUPANCY.
Key facts
- 3,484 sq ft lot
- 3 parking spots
- Built 1915
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $675k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $869 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $290/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $675k).
- Recommended offer: $655k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.0% in East Orange — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#189 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A, housing A-; Watch: schools C-, crime D-, amenities F.
- East Orange School District (suburban): math 6% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #444 of 472 in NJ (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 3,364 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (2,551 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $25k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Essex County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $189k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($655k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.52%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 134 14th St | 0.07mi | 8/3.0 (-1) | — | 3mo | $650,000 | — | 77 |
| 110 17th St | 0.15mi | 8/3.0 (-1) | — | 3mo | $705,000 | — | 73 |
| 160-162 Roseville Ave | 0.34mi | 8/3.0 (-1) | — | 3mo | $700,000 | — | 64 |
| 72 13th St | 0.19mi | 10/5.0 (+1) | — | 3mo | $830,000 | — | 63 |
| 382-384 7th St | 0.45mi | 8/3.0 (-1) | — | 3mo | $650,000 | — | 59 |
| 263 19th St | 0.44mi | 9/6.0 | — | 2mo | $1,050,000 | — | 54 |
| 15 Winthrop Ter | 0.75mi | 9/3.5 | — | 2mo | $705,000 | — | 49 |
| 117 12th St | 0.74mi | 9/4.5 | — | 1mo | $800,000 | — | 46 |
| 486 4th St | 0.65mi | 8/5.0 (-1) | — | 2mo | $875,000 | — | 42 |
| 266 2nd Ave | 0.71mi | 8/5.0 (-1) | — | 0mo | $870,000 | — | 41 |
| 39 7th St | 0.70mi | 9/6.0 | — | 3mo | $1,110,000 | — | 40 |
| 268 2nd Ave | 0.70mi | 8/5.0 (-1) | — | 2mo | $875,000 | — | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $136,778
- Equity at exit
- $303,509
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.17×
- Total profit
- $409,583
- Equity at exit
- $467,744
Cash invested: $189,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 07017-5725
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 24.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,005 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,540
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$844 /mo · $10,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$281
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,471
- Net cashflow
- $869
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | 1 | $7,005 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $2,335 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $2,335 |
| #3 | 3 | 1 | $2,335 |
| Total (3 units) | $7,005 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $168,750
- Closing costs
- $20,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2025-05-12status Under Contract
-
2025-04-10$675,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $84,060
- − Mortgage interest
- −$37,810
- − Property taxes
- −$10,125
- − Insurance
- −$3,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,725
- − Management
- −$6,725
- − Depreciation
- −$19,636
- Taxable loss
- −$336
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$81
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,511/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Orange School District
- NCES district ID
- 3404230
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,490
- Composite
- 15.56/100
- National rank
- #9295
- State rank
- #444 of 472 in NJ
Livability — East Orange
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #189
- US rank
- #5261
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Orange, NJ
Population outlook (Essex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 825,042 people
- By 2030
- 834,010 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 846,221 · +2.6%
- By 2050
- 850,047 · +3.0%
- By 2075
- 837,009 · +1.5%
- By 2100
- 784,345 · -4.9%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2025-05-12 Pending — GSMLS
- 2025-04-10 Listed $675,000 GSMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…