157 Ashwood Dr · Rochester, NY 14609

$149,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,208 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market

Built 1950 5,200 sqft lot $124/sqft · 21% below area Est $190k · 21% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +24.3/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +7.8/10.0
• 1% rule +5.6/10.0
• Rent growth +4.5/5.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.9/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

LOCATED IN THE HIGHLY SOUGHT-AFTER NORTHLAND-LYCEUM NEIGHBORHOOD, THIS CHARMING 3-BEDROOM, 1.5-BATH HOME OFFERS A GREAT COMBINATION OF CHARACTER, SPACE, AND UPDATES. THE SPACIOUS OPEN KITCHEN PROVIDES PLENTY OF ROOM FOR COOKING, ENTERTAINING, AND EVERYDAY LIVING. OUTSIDE, ENJOY A FULLY FENCED YARD, FRESHLY SEALED DRIVEWAY (MAY 2026), AND A 1-CAR GARAGE FOR ADDED CONVENIENCE. MAJOR UPDATES INCLUDE A ROOF THAT IS ONLY 3 YEARS OLD, OFFERING PEACE OF MIND FOR YEARS TO COME. CONVENIENTLY LOCATED NEAR SHOPPING, RESTAURANTS, PARKS, AND EXPRESSWAYS, THIS IS A FANTASTIC OPPORTUNITY TO OWN IN ONE OF ROCHESTER’S MOST DESIRABLE NEIGHBORHOODS! DELAYED NEGOTIATIONS ALL OFFERS DUE BY 12PM ON 5/19/26

Key facts

• 1-car garage
• Fully fenced yard
• 5,200 sq ft lot

Tags

• SPACIOUS OPEN KITCHEN
• FULLY FENCED YARD
• FRESHLY SEALED DRIVEWAY
• 1-CAR GARAGE
• ROOF THAT IS ONLY 3 YEARS OLD

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Detached garage; 1-car garage
• Utilities: High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected
• Home design: Single-story; Existing/previously built property
• Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Attic/crawl hatchway(s) insulated; Blown-in insulation
• Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Porch; Fully fenced yard; Blacktop driveway; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
• Flooring: Linoleum; Tile; Vinyl; Varies
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Bedroom on main level; Full basement
• Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry in basement; Gas water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $302 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
• Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $59k; list at $150k implies a 154% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $149,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.06% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.71%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.64%
• DSCR: 1.38
• GRM: 7.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $189,979
• List price: $149,900
• Delta: -21.10%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
201 Arbutus St	0.38mi	4/1.5 (+1)	1,180 (-2%)	0mo	$210,000	$178	71
1824 Clifford Ave	0.53mi	3/1.0	1,188 (-2%)	2mo	$62,500	$53	71
1863 Norton St	0.27mi	4/1.0 (+1)	1,326 (+10%)	1mo	$155,000	$117	65
298 Fieldwood Dr	0.20mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,320 (+9%)	2mo	$193,000	$146	65
1542 N Goodman St	0.21mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,340 (+11%)	0mo	$205,000	$153	63
265 Springfield Ave	0.51mi	4/1.5 (+1)	1,268 (+5%)	0mo	$200,000	$158	61
82 Willmont St	0.41mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,100 (-9%)	1mo	$155,000	$141	60
157 Cummings St	0.66mi	3/2.0	1,272 (+5%)	2mo	$250,000	$197	54
227 Newcomb St	0.46mi	3/2.0	1,372 (+14%)	1mo	$225,000	$164	52
51 Sylvester St	0.58mi	3/1.0	1,040 (-14%)	2mo	$90,000	$87	48
62 Sylvester St	0.58mi	3/1.5	1,036 (-14%)	2mo	$195,000	$188	46
281 Ellison St	0.66mi	4/3.0 (+1)	1,350 (+12%)	0mo	$184,000	$136	36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.89% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 1.9%
• Equity multiple: 1.08×
• Total profit: $3,184
• Equity at exit: $22,351

10-year hold

• IRR: 15.6%
• Equity multiple: 2.55×
• Total profit: $64,896
• Equity at exit: $12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 14609

• Home prices YoY: -30.4%
• Rents YoY: 7.9%
• Active inventory: 199
• Price-to-rent: 7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,596 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$786
• Tax from tax record: −$110 /mo · $1,322/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$335
• Net cashflow: $302

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,214

Max offer price $149,900

Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,475
• Closing costs: $4,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 37 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
326 Northland Ave Rochester, NY	3.0	1.0	1168	$1,500	$1.28	2d	1	0.15mi
2145 Norton St Rochester, NY	2.0	1.0	700	$902	$1.29	43d	1	0.44mi
1890 Clifford Ave Rochester, NY	3.0	1.0	936	$1,800	$1.92	23d	1	0.54mi
— Rochester, NY	2.0	1.0	896	$1,100	$1.23	13d	1	0.59mi
36 Charwood Cir Irondequoit, NY	1.0–2.0	1.0–1.5	930	$2,005	$2.16	2d	9	0.62mi
36 Charwood Cir Irondequoit, NY	2.0	1.0–1.5	1000	$1,675	$1.68	43d	3	0.62mi
21 Portland Ct Rochester, NY	2.0	1.0	850	$1,210	$1.42	43d	1	0.62mi
32 Portland Pkwy Rochester, NY	2.0	1.0	652	$1,485	$2.28	2d	8	0.69mi
2362 Culver Rd Irondequoit, NY	1.0–2.0	1.0	675	$1,455	$2.16	2d	3	0.72mi
47 Priscilla St Rochester, NY	4.0	1.5	1250	$1,900	$1.52	21d	1	0.75mi
222 Ellison St Rochester, NY	2.0	1.0	971	$1,000	$1.03	13d	1	0.77mi
95 Onondaga Rd Rochester, NY	1.0–2.0	1.0	825	$1,630	$1.98	2d	1	0.77mi
2450 Culver Rd Rochester, NY	3.0	1.5	1380	$2,400	$1.74	3d	1	0.77mi
86-88 Baycliff Dr Unit 86 Rochester, NY	2.0	1.0	900	$1,030	$1.14	21d	1	0.79mi
2519 Culver Rd Rochester, NY	1.0–2.0	1.0	800	$1,395	$1.74	10d	4	0.81mi
171 Mohawk St Rochester, NY	3.0	2.0	1054	$1,775	$1.68	43d	1	0.85mi
16 Cummings St Rochester, NY	2.0	1.0	782	$1,250	$1.60	18d	1	0.88mi
16 Cummings St Rochester, NY	2.0	1.0	782	$1,250	$1.60	43d	1	0.88mi
52 Frances St Rochester, NY	4.0	1.0	1256	$1,595	$1.27	43d	1	0.91mi
117 Northaven Ter Rochester, NY	4.0	2.0	1460	$1,975	$1.35	10d	1	0.92mi
50 Harwick Rd Rochester, NY	1.0–2.0	1.0	687	$1,350	$1.96	3d	3	1.01mi
182 Laurelton Rd Unit 182 Rochester, NY	2.0	1.5	1000	$1,600	$1.60	10d	1	1.03mi
25 Trust St Rochester, NY	3.0	1.5	1003	$1,600	$1.60	3d	1	1.03mi
127 Carter St #125 Rochester, NY	2.0	1.0	1320	$1,400	$1.06	43d	1	1.06mi
100 Hulda Park Rochester, NY	1.0–2.0	1.0–1.5	3759	$782	$0.21	21d	1	1.12mi
176 Roycroft Dr Rochester, NY	3.0	1.0	1169	$950	$0.81	10d	1	1.13mi
420 Rosewood Ter Rochester, NY	3.0	1.0	1246	$1,300	$1.04	3d	1	1.16mi
147 5th St Rochester, NY	4.0	1.0	1289	$1,950	$1.51	21d	1	1.17mi
1196 E Ridge Rd Rochester, NY	1.0–2.0	1.0	800	$1,265	$1.58	23d	1	1.24mi
195 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY	4.0	1.0	1413	$1,265	$0.90	3d	1	1.28mi
1159 Culver Rd Unit A2 UP Rochester, NY	3.0	1.0	1313	$1,500	$1.14	43d	1	1.30mi
459-461 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY	2.0	1.0	1053	$1,450	$1.38	23d	1	1.30mi
56 Brambury Dr Rochester, NY	1.0–2.0	1.0	720	$1,425	$1.98	10d	1	1.31mi
500 Garson Ave Rochester, NY	2.0	1.0	740	$1,050	$1.42	3d	1	1.39mi
2 Kings Ct Way Rochester, NY	1.0–2.0	1.0–1.5	999	$1,615	$1.62	2d	8	1.40mi
100 Fairbanks St Rochester, NY	2.0	1.0	1456	$1,100	$0.76	44d	1	1.43mi
239 Weyl St Rochester, NY	3.0	1.0	1208	$1,600	$1.32	18d	1	1.49mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-05-13
   listed $149,900 Active 700-char remark
2. 2001-01-10
   soldstatus $59,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,322 · $110/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,928 · $161/mo
• Expected delta: +$605/yr (+$50/mo · 45.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,156
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,397
• − Property taxes: −$1,322
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,532
• − Management: −$1,532
• − Depreciation: −$4,361
• Taxable income: $1,261
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$303
• After-tax cash flow: $3,325/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Rochester City School District
• NCES district ID: 3624750
• Math proficiency: 21% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 26% ▲ 4.00%
• Median HH income: $30,923
• Composite: 18.98/100
• National rank: #8850
• State rank: #589 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rochester

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #222
• US rank: #3482

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Rochester, NY
• County: Monroe County · 674,131 people
• City population: 432,803
• Metro: Rochester, NY
• Population (ZIP): 40,274
• Household income: $64,603
• Rent vs Own: 36.1% rent · 63.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 2183.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 759,460 people
• By 2030: 757,154 · -0.3%
• By 2040: 740,644 · -2.5%
• By 2050: 714,443 · -5.9%
• By 2075: 645,883 · -15.0%
• By 2100: 547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
• Race & ethnicity: White 44% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 15% Cuban 1% Dominican 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada
• Languages at home: 81% English-only · Spanish 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

• 2024 margin: D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -143.57%
• Current HPI: 328.7053
• Rent YoY: ▲ 7.89%
• Metro: Rochester, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+154.1% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-20 Pending — UNYREIS
• 2026-05-13 Listed $149,900 UNYREIS
• 2001-01-10 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,322 · -5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.