Triplex
587 Miller Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$759,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
3 Family Semi-Attached Brick Colonial offers 3 Units each with 2 Bedrooms, 1 Full Bath, LR/DR, Kitchen, Hardwood Floors and High Ceilings. Property located near all public transportation, schools and shopping.
Key facts
- 2,375 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 43 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Utilities: see remarks for details
- Home design: Triplex; Total building area about 3600
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick exterior; Not waterfront
Interior
- Heating & cooling: No central cooling; Heating noted as 'See Remarks' and 'Other' (details in remarks)
- Interior features: Other interior features (details available in remarks)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $760k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($38k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $760k).
- Recommended offer: $737k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 251 active listings in the ZIP; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $10,075/mo this rent would consume 214% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 7510% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $23k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $213k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($737k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $520k (41%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $448k; list at $760k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.99%
- DSCR
- 1.80
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,144,800
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 816 Dumont Ave | 0.07mi | 9/3.0 | 3,750 (+4%) | 12mo | $803,250 | $214 | 80 |
| 747 Essex St | 0.58mi | 7/5.0 | 3,600 (0%) | 3mo | $1,250,000 | $347 | 71 |
| 654 Schenck Ave | 0.20mi | 7/3.0 | 3,250 (-10%) | 7mo | $1,100,000 | $338 | 69 |
| 593 Bradford St | 0.14mi | 7/4.0 | 3,198 (-11%) | 8mo | $1,000,000 | $313 | 69 |
| 797 Vermont St | 0.42mi | 13/4.0 | 3,360 (-7%) | 7mo | $1,210,000 | $360 | 63 |
| 309 Berriman St | 0.64mi | 6/4.0 | 3,432 (-5%) | 6mo | $1,090,000 | $318 | 58 |
| 626 Blake Ave | 0.34mi | 5/3.0 | 3,126 (-13%) | 8mo | $925,000 | $296 | 55 |
| 582 Williams Ave | 0.53mi | 8/4.0 | 3,120 (-13%) | 2mo | $990,000 | $317 | 51 |
| 590 Liberty Ave | 0.64mi | 8/3.0 | 3,240 (-10%) | 7mo | $1,050,000 | $324 | 47 |
| 576 Williams Ave | 0.53mi | 11/8.0 | 3,120 (-13%) | 7mo | $1,325,000 | $425 | 47 |
| 1017 Dumont Ave | 0.46mi | 8/4.0 | 3,116 (-13%) | 17mo | $618,500 | $198 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $103,600
- Equity at exit
- $113,304
- IRR
- 22.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $453,311
- Equity at exit
- $65,702
Cash invested: $212,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11207
- Home prices YoY
- -26.3%
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 251
- Price-to-rent
- 18.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $10,075 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,985
- Tax from tax record
- −$468 /mo · $5,618/yr
- Insurance
- −$317
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,116
- Net cashflow
- $3,189
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $10,074 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $3,358 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $3,358 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $3,358 |
| Total (3 units) | $10,075 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $189,975
- Closing costs
- $22,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $759,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $759,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $759,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $759,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $759,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $759,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $759,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $759,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $759,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $759,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $759,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $759,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $789,900
-
2026-05-06$1,280,000 Active
-
2020-03-04historical Permanently Off Market
-
2020-02-24$855,000
-
2020-02-24$855,000 Active
-
2020-01-29historical
-
2019-09-18$760,000 New
-
2019-04-16historical
-
2019-02-15$659,000 New
-
2017-04-01historical
-
2016-04-12$799,000 New
-
2005-10-06soldstatus $448,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,618 · $468/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,230 · $769/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,612/yr (+$301/mo · 64.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $120,900
- − Mortgage interest
- −$42,566
- − Property taxes
- −$5,618
- − Insurance
- −$3,800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$9,672
- − Management
- −$9,672
- − Depreciation
- −$22,106
- Taxable income
- $27,466
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$6,592
- After-tax cash flow
- $31,681/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 93,198
- Household income
- $56,523
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7510.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 54% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 10% White 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 11% Dominican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Swiss 1%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, Mexico, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 27% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.76%
- Current HPI
- 388.434
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.29%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+76.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $789,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-06 Listed $1,280,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-03-04 Delisted — RLS at REBNY
- 2020-02-24 Listed $855,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2020-02-24 Listed $855,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2020-01-29 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-09-18 Listed $760,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-04-16 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-02-15 Listed $659,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-01 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-12 Listed $799,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $448,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $5,618 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…