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587 Miller Ave Triplex
B+ Composite 78.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$759,900

587 Miller Ave · New York, NY 11207
None bd · None ba · 3,600 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1920 2,375 sqft lot Est $1145k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

3 Family Semi-Attached Brick Colonial offers 3 Units each with 2 Bedrooms, 1 Full Bath, LR/DR, Kitchen, Hardwood Floors and High Ceilings. Property located near all public transportation, schools and shopping.

Key facts

  • 2,375 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 43 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Utilities: see remarks for details
  • Home design: Triplex; Total building area about 3600
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Brick exterior; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Heating & cooling: No central cooling; Heating noted as 'See Remarks' and 'Other' (details in remarks)
  • Interior features: Other interior features (details available in remarks)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $760k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($38k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $760k).
  • Recommended offer: $737k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 251 active listings in the ZIP; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $10,075/mo this rent would consume 214% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 7510% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $23k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $213k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($737k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $520k (41%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $448k; list at $760k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $737,103 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
11.33%
Cash-on-cash
17.99%
DSCR
1.80
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$1,144,800
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
816 Dumont Ave 0.07mi 9/3.0 3,750 (+4%) 12mo $803,250 $214 80
747 Essex St 0.58mi 7/5.0 3,600 (0%) 3mo $1,250,000 $347 71
654 Schenck Ave 0.20mi 7/3.0 3,250 (-10%) 7mo $1,100,000 $338 69
593 Bradford St 0.14mi 7/4.0 3,198 (-11%) 8mo $1,000,000 $313 69
797 Vermont St 0.42mi 13/4.0 3,360 (-7%) 7mo $1,210,000 $360 63
309 Berriman St 0.64mi 6/4.0 3,432 (-5%) 6mo $1,090,000 $318 58
626 Blake Ave 0.34mi 5/3.0 3,126 (-13%) 8mo $925,000 $296 55
582 Williams Ave 0.53mi 8/4.0 3,120 (-13%) 2mo $990,000 $317 51
590 Liberty Ave 0.64mi 8/3.0 3,240 (-10%) 7mo $1,050,000 $324 47
576 Williams Ave 0.53mi 11/8.0 3,120 (-13%) 7mo $1,325,000 $425 47
1017 Dumont Ave 0.46mi 8/4.0 3,116 (-13%) 17mo $618,500 $198 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.0%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$103,600
Equity at exit
$113,304
10-year hold
IRR
22.6%
Equity multiple
3.13×
Total profit
$453,311
Equity at exit
$65,702

Cash invested: $212,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11207

Home prices YoY
-26.3%
Rents YoY
5.3%
Active inventory
251
Price-to-rent
18.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$10,075 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,985
Tax from tax record
$468 /mo · $5,618/yr
Insurance
$317
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,116
Net cashflow
$3,189

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,038
Max offer price $759,900
Occupancy floor 63%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $10,075

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$189,975
Closing costs
$22,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $759,900 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $759,900 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $759,900 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $759,900 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $759,900 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $759,900 Active 34 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $759,900 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $759,900 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $759,900 Active 29 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $759,900 Active 28 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $759,900 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $759,900 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-05-06
    price $789,900
  14. 2026-05-06
    listed $1,280,000 Active
  15. 2020-03-04
    historical Permanently Off Market
  16. 2020-02-24
    listed $855,000
  17. 2020-02-24
    listed $855,000 Active
  18. 2020-01-29
    historical
  19. 2019-09-18
    listed $760,000 New
  20. 2019-04-16
    historical
  21. 2019-02-15
    listed $659,000 New
  22. 2017-04-01
    historical
  23. 2016-04-12
    listed $799,000 New
  24. 2005-10-06
    soldstatus $448,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,618 · $468/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$9,230 · $769/mo
Expected delta
+$3,612/yr (+$301/mo · 64.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$120,900
− Mortgage interest
−$42,566
− Property taxes
−$5,618
− Insurance
−$3,800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$9,672
− Management
−$9,672
− Depreciation
−$22,106
Taxable income
$27,466
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$6,592
After-tax cash flow
$31,681/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Kings County · 2,614,986 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
93,198
Household income
$56,523
Rent vs Own
74.1% rent · 25.9% own
Severe rent burden
7510.0

Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,847,441 people
By 2030
2,937,006 · +3.1%
By 2040
3,095,491 · +8.7%
By 2050
3,228,968 · +13.4%
By 2075
3,321,723 · +16.7%
By 2100
3,111,387 · +9.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Black 54% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 10% White 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 11% Dominican 11%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Swiss 1%
Foreign-born
31% · Canada, Mexico, Jamaica
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 27% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kings

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
2008→2024 swing
-15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -138.76%
Current HPI
388.434
Rent YoY
▲ 5.29%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+76.3% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $789,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $1,280,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-03-04 Delisted RLS at REBNY
  • 2020-02-24 Listed $855,000 RLS at REBNY
  • 2020-02-24 Listed $855,000 RLS at REBNY
  • 2020-01-29 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-09-18 Listed $760,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-04-16 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-02-15 Listed $659,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-04-01 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-04-12 Listed $799,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $448,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,618 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…