CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
594 Taliaferro Rd
D+ Composite 49.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.6/30.0
  • Schools +7.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0

$325,000

594 Taliaferro Rd · Newport News, VA 23690
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,953 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 101 Days on market
Built 1976 $166/sqft · 24% below area Est $426k · 24% under ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity is knocking in desirable York County! This classic ranch style home is ready for its next chapter and just waiting for someone to bring it back to life! Featuring a spacious single level living, this property offers a solid footprint with endless potential. Generous living areas, a functional floor plan and great natural light provide the perfect canvas for your renovation ideas. Whether you're looking to flip, invest or create your dream home, this one is full of possibilities. Situated on a nice lot close to i64, Naval Weapons station Yorktown, Yorktown Beach, restaurants and so much more. This home has a New Roof and HVAC System

Key facts

  • Close to restaurants
  • Single level living
  • Natural light

Tags

SINGLE LEVEL LIVINGNATURAL LIGHTNEW ROOFHVAC SYSTEMCLOSE TO YORKTOWN BEACHCLOSE TO RESTAURANTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-281 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $275k (15.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (30.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $225k (30.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 4.2% in Newport News — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#123 in VA, #4,018 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: crime F, commute F.
  • York County Public School District (suburban): math 77% / reading 87% proficiency, ranked #3 of 131 in VA (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 187 units permitted in York County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
  • York County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $225,000 (30.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
5.26%
Cash-on-cash
-3.70%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
12.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$425,735
List price
$325,000
Delta
-23.66%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
100 Seasons Walk Ct 0.09mi 3/2.5 1,838 (-6%) 1mo $469,000 $255 84
556 Taliaferro Rd 0.16mi 3/2.5 1,700 (-13%) 3mo $427,000 $251 66
524 Carter Ct 0.29mi 3/2.5 2,085 (+7%) 10mo $440,000 $211 65
113 Vivian Ct 0.60mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,946 (-0%) 3mo $419,900 $216 62
716 Old Williamsburg Rd 0.22mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,115 (+8%) 10mo $389,000 $184 61
202 Vivian Ct 0.54mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,235 (+14%) 1mo $450,000 $201 43
107 Vivian Ct 0.63mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,778 (-9%) 23mo $317,900 $179 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.39% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.9%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-21,404
Equity at exit
$100,817
10-year hold
IRR
0.7%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$7,614
Equity at exit
$126,458

Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23690

Home prices YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
44
Price-to-rent
12.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,250 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax from tax record
$218 /mo · $2,621/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$472
Net cashflow
$-281

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,605
Max offer price $275,422
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-97 -5% $-189 +0% $-281 +5% $-373 +10% $-465
Rent -10% $-458 -5% $-370 +0% $-281 +5% $-192 +10% $-103
Rate -1.0pp $-117 -0.5pp $-198 base $-281 +0.5pp $-365 +1.0pp $-451

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,250
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
405 Baptist Rd Yorktown, VA 3.0 2.0 1470 $2,250 $1.53 44d 1 0.96mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $325,000 Active 101 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $325,000 Active 99 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $325,000 Active 95 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $325,000 Active 94 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $325,000 Active 93 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $325,000 Active 89 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $325,000 Active 88 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $325,000 Active 87 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $325,000 Active 86 DOM
  10. 2026-05-04
    price $325,000 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    Opportunity is knocking in desirable York County! This classic ranch style home is ready for its next chapter and just waiting for someone to bring it back to life! Featuring a spacious single level living, this property offers a solid footprint with endless potential. Generous living areas, a functional floor plan and great natural light provide the perfect canvas for your renovation ideas. Whether you're looking to flip, invest or create your dream home, this one is full of possibilities. Situated on a nice lot close to i64, Naval Weapons station Yorktown, Yorktown Beach, restaurants and so much more. This home has a New Roof and HVAC System

  11. 2026-05-04
    price $325,000 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    Opportunity is knocking in desirable York County! This classic ranch style home is ready for its next chapter and just waiting for someone to bring it back to life! Featuring a spacious single level living, this property offers a solid footprint with endless potential. Generous living areas, a functional floor plan and great natural light provide the perfect canvas for your renovation ideas. Whether you're looking to flip, invest or create your dream home, this one is full of possibilities. Situated on a nice lot close to i64, Naval Weapons station Yorktown, Yorktown Beach, restaurants and so much more. This home has a New Roof and HVAC System

  12. 2026-03-19
    price $360,000 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    Opportunity is knocking in desirable York County! This classic ranch style home is ready for its next chapter and just waiting for someone to bring it back to life! Featuring a spacious single level living, this property offers a solid footprint with endless potential. Generous living areas, a functional floor plan and great natural light provide the perfect canvas for your renovation ideas. Whether you're looking to flip, invest or create your dream home, this one is full of possibilities. Situated on a nice lot close to i64, Naval Weapons station Yorktown, Yorktown Beach, restaurants and so much more. This home has a New Roof and HVAC System

  13. 2026-03-19
    price $360,000 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    Opportunity is knocking in desirable York County! This classic ranch style home is ready for its next chapter and just waiting for someone to bring it back to life! Featuring a spacious single level living, this property offers a solid footprint with endless potential. Generous living areas, a functional floor plan and great natural light provide the perfect canvas for your renovation ideas. Whether you're looking to flip, invest or create your dream home, this one is full of possibilities. Situated on a nice lot close to i64, Naval Weapons station Yorktown, Yorktown Beach, restaurants and so much more. This home has a New Roof and HVAC System

  14. 2026-03-06
    listed $375,000 Active 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    Opportunity is knocking in desirable York County! This classic ranch style home is ready for its next chapter and just waiting for someone to bring it back to life! Featuring a spacious single level living, this property offers a solid footprint with endless potential. Generous living areas, a functional floor plan and great natural light provide the perfect canvas for your renovation ideas. Whether you're looking to flip, invest or create your dream home, this one is full of possibilities. Situated on a nice lot close to i64, Naval Weapons station Yorktown, Yorktown Beach, restaurants and so much more. This home has a New Roof and HVAC System

  15. 2026-03-06
    listed $375,000 Active 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    Opportunity is knocking in desirable York County! This classic ranch style home is ready for its next chapter and just waiting for someone to bring it back to life! Featuring a spacious single level living, this property offers a solid footprint with endless potential. Generous living areas, a functional floor plan and great natural light provide the perfect canvas for your renovation ideas. Whether you're looking to flip, invest or create your dream home, this one is full of possibilities. Situated on a nice lot close to i64, Naval Weapons station Yorktown, Yorktown Beach, restaurants and so much more. This home has a New Roof and HVAC System

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,621 · $218/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,665 · $222/mo
Expected delta
+$44/yr (+$4/mo · 1.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,000
− Mortgage interest
−$18,205
− Property taxes
−$2,621
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,160
− Management
−$2,160
− Depreciation
−$9,455
Taxable loss
−$9,225
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,214
After-tax cash flow
$-1,154/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
York County Public School District
NCES district ID
5104150
Math proficiency
77% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
87% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$81,985
Composite
72.34/100
National rank
#202
State rank
#3 of 131 in VA

Livability — Newport News

Score
75/100
State rank
#123
US rank
#4018

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A Crime F Employment C Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
178,950
Population (ZIP)
4,948

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
75,000 people
By 2030
78,122 · +4.2%
By 2040
83,329 · +11.1%
By 2050
87,381 · +16.5%
By 2075
99,308 · +32.4%
By 2100
101,751 · +35.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 19%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 12%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · York

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.1) · D 46.3% · R 52.4% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+11.9pp toward D · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -6.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.1 2020: R+6.6 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+20.7 2008: R+18.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.39%
Current HPI
244.1455
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $325,000 REINMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $325,000 WMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $360,000 REINMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $360,000 WMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $375,000 WMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $375,000 REINMLS

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,621 · +25.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…