430 Glenwood Ave · Lyle, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 10/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$329,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Columbia river views! Remodeled home with detached garage on large corner lot. New paint in and out. Spacious vaulted great-room concept with big windows to enjoy the views. New carpet, Remodeled kitchen with new cabinets, granite counters, Stainless steel appliances. dining space. Bedrooms spacious, remodeled bathrooms. Enclosed entry porch. Covered back deck, big fenced yard. 20 min the the Dalles or Hood river.
Key facts
- Private backyard
- Added mudroom
- Off-street parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential (manufactured home on real property); Lot is paved access and ranges about 7,000 to 9,999 sq ft; Located at 430 Glenwood Ave, Lyle, WA
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service and electric hot water
- Home design: Manufactured home on real property; Single-story (main living on one level); No notable view
- Construction: Built in 1987; T-111 siding; Composition roof; County-recorded building area: 1,220
- Exterior features: Covered deck; Fenced yard; RV parking; Workshop; Yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range; Free-standing refrigerator; Microwave; Electric hot water
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Main level); Second bedroom (Main level)
- Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Ductless heating (mini split); Mini split cooling
- Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Vinyl flooring; Wall-to-wall carpet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $329k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $290k (11.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $290k (11.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#361 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A, cost of living A; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Lyle School District (rural): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #261 of 291 in WA (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Dallesport Elementary (96 students, 82% FRL); Lyle Middle School (49 students, 84% FRL); Lyle High School (67 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 63% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 80 units permitted in Klickitat County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Klickitat County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($324k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.69%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-35,390
- Equity at exit
- $49,055
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-8,073
- Equity at exit
- $28,446
Cash invested: $92,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98635
- Home prices YoY
- -24.4%
- Active inventory
- 55
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,898 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,725
- Tax from tax record
- −$144 /mo · $1,727/yr
- Insurance
- −$137
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$609
- Net cashflow
- $283
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $470 | -5% $376 | +0% $283 | +5% $190 | +10% $97 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $54 | -5% $169 | +0% $283 | +5% $398 | +10% $512 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $449 | -0.5pp $367 | base $283 | +0.5pp $198 | +1.0pp $111 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,250
- Closing costs
- $9,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-22pricedays on market $329,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $350,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $350,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $350,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $350,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $350,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $350,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $350,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $350,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $350,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $350,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $350,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $350,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $350,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $350,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $350,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $350,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-26$350,000 Active
-
2022-09-15soldstatus $289,000 Closed 417-char remark
Show marketing remark (417 chars)
Columbia river views! Remodeled home with detached garage on large corner lot. New paint in and out. Spacious vaulted great-room concept with big windows to enjoy the views. New carpet, Remodeled kitchen with new cabinets, granite counters, Stainless steel appliances. dining space. Bedrooms spacious, remodeled bathrooms. Enclosed entry porch. Covered back deck, big fenced yard. 20 min the the Dalles or Hood river.
-
2022-07-30status Pending 417-char remark
Show marketing remark (417 chars)
Columbia river views! Remodeled home with detached garage on large corner lot. New paint in and out. Spacious vaulted great-room concept with big windows to enjoy the views. New carpet, Remodeled kitchen with new cabinets, granite counters, Stainless steel appliances. dining space. Bedrooms spacious, remodeled bathrooms. Enclosed entry porch. Covered back deck, big fenced yard. 20 min the the Dalles or Hood river.
-
2022-07-25status Pending 417-char remark
Show marketing remark (417 chars)
Columbia river views! Remodeled home with detached garage on large corner lot. New paint in and out. Spacious vaulted great-room concept with big windows to enjoy the views. New carpet, Remodeled kitchen with new cabinets, granite counters, Stainless steel appliances. dining space. Bedrooms spacious, remodeled bathrooms. Enclosed entry porch. Covered back deck, big fenced yard. 20 min the the Dalles or Hood river.
-
2022-07-22price $289,000 417-char remark
Show marketing remark (417 chars)
Columbia river views! Remodeled home with detached garage on large corner lot. New paint in and out. Spacious vaulted great-room concept with big windows to enjoy the views. New carpet, Remodeled kitchen with new cabinets, granite counters, Stainless steel appliances. dining space. Bedrooms spacious, remodeled bathrooms. Enclosed entry porch. Covered back deck, big fenced yard. 20 min the the Dalles or Hood river.
-
2022-07-20$299,000 Active 417-char remark
Show marketing remark (417 chars)
Columbia river views! Remodeled home with detached garage on large corner lot. New paint in and out. Spacious vaulted great-room concept with big windows to enjoy the views. New carpet, Remodeled kitchen with new cabinets, granite counters, Stainless steel appliances. dining space. Bedrooms spacious, remodeled bathrooms. Enclosed entry porch. Covered back deck, big fenced yard. 20 min the the Dalles or Hood river.
-
2021-07-09soldstatus $101,600
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,727 · $144/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,224 · $269/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,497/yr (+$125/mo · 86.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,779
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,429
- − Property taxes
- −$1,727
- − Insurance
- −$1,645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,782
- − Management
- −$2,782
- − Depreciation
- −$9,571
- Taxable loss
- −$2,158
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$518
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,917/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lyle School District
- NCES district ID
- 5304590
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,641
- Composite
- 30.49/100
- National rank
- #11492
- State rank
- #261 of 291 in WA
Livability — Lyle
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #361
- US rank
- #13734
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lyle, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,033
Population outlook (Klickitat County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,337 people
- By 2030
- 22,829 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 23,382 · +4.7%
- By 2050
- 23,654 · +5.9%
- By 2075
- 24,266 · +8.6%
- By 2100
- 23,782 · +6.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 7% Italian 6% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Klickitat
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.3) · D 43.7% · R 53.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.5pp toward R · 2008: 0.2pp · 2024: -9.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.3 2020: R+9.4 2016: R+16.3 2012: R+7.8 2008: D+0.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.22%
- Current HPI
- 251.2278
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+244.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $350,000 RMLS
- 2022-09-15 Sold (MLS) $289,000 RMLS
- 2022-07-30 Pending — RMLS
- 2022-07-25 Pending — RMLS
- 2022-07-22 Price Changed $289,000 RMLS
- 2022-07-20 Listed $299,000 RMLS
- 2021-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $101,600 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2026): $1,727 · +13.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…