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700 Gobbi St #90
C+ Composite 63.89
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,500

700 Gobbi St #90 · Ukiah, CA 95482
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · Manufactured · 86 Days on market
Built 1974 Good condition $75/sqft · 25% above area Est $80k · 25% over ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to easy, low maintenance living in this beautifully updated home located in a desirable senior park. Recently refreshed with new interior paint and brand new carpet, this 2 bedroom, 2 bath offers a comfortable and inviting layout. The spacious primary suite features an upgraded bathroom and a generous walk-in closet, creating a private retreat to relax and unwind. The second bedroom and full bath provide flexibility for guests, hobbies, or a home office. Step outside to enjoy a nice deck, perfect for morning coffee, outdoor dining, or simply soaking in the peaceful surroundings. Ideally positioned within the park, this home enjoys a premium location with no neighbors directly behind, offering added privacy and a serene setting. Residents also enjoy access to community amenities including a pool and clubhouse, perfect for socializing and recreation. Move-in ready and perfectly located, this home is a wonderful opportunity to enjoy relaxed senior living at its best.

Key facts

  • Upgraded bathroom
  • Premium location
  • Walk-in closet

Tags

UPDATED HOMEUPGRADED BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSETNICE DECKPREMIUM LOCATIONCOMMUNITY AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $734 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.3% vs local median 3.0% in Ukiah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#425 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime D-.
  • Ukiah Unified (town): math 24% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #1,018 of 1,400 in CA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 153 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 8 units permitted in Mendocino County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $688 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mendocino County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $93,530 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.35%
Cap rate
20.28%
Cash-on-cash
49.97%
DSCR
3.22
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$79,500
List price
$99,500
Delta
25.16%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
700 E Gobbi St #53 0.02mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (+2%) 6mo $15,000 $11 86
660 Leslie St #80 0.44mi 2/1.5 1,300 (-2%) 2mo $117,500 $90 74
460 E Gobbi St #3 0.28mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+9%) 0mo $79,500 $55 72
660 Leslie St #25 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,320 (0%) 8mo $169,000 $128 70
700 E Gobbi St #61 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+9%) 19mo $60,000 $42 69
460 E Gobbi St #28 0.30mi 2/2.0 1,416 (+7%) 8mo $70,000 $49 68
700 E Gobbi St #55 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+9%) 14mo $107,000 $74 68
660 Leslie St #11 0.41mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+9%) 3mo $130,000 $90 63
460 E Gobbi St #27 0.28mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+9%) 16mo $75,000 $52 59
660 Leslie St #68 0.40mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+9%) 8mo $80,000 $56 55
460 E Gobbi St #5 0.28mi 2/2.0 1,150 (-13%) 15mo $96,500 $84 53
660 Leslie St #56 0.39mi 2/2.0 1,150 (-13%) 14mo $94,000 $82 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.07% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.1%
Equity multiple
2.38×
Total profit
$38,342
Equity at exit
$14,836
10-year hold
IRR
40.4%
Equity multiple
5.57×
Total profit
$127,304
Equity at exit
$8,603

Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95482

Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,339 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$522
Tax est. 1.5%
$124 /mo · $1,492/yr
Insurance
$41
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$491
Net cashflow
$734

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,410
Max offer price $99,500
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,875
Closing costs
$2,985
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
705 El Rio St Unit D Ukiah, CA 3.0 1.5 1000 $2,195 $2.19 43d 1 0.16mi
570 Pomo Dr Ukiah, CA 3.0 2.0 1306 $2,650 $2.03 43d 1 0.20mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,500 Active 86 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,500 Active 85 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,500 Active 84 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,500 Active 83 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,500 Active 82 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,500 Active 80 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,500 Active 79 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,500 Active 76 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,500 Active 75 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,500 Active 74 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,500 Active 71 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,500 Active 70 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,500 Active 69 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,500 Active 68 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,500 Active 67 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,500 Active 66 DOM
  17. 2026-04-24
    price $99,500 995-char remark
    Show marketing remark (995 chars)

    Welcome to easy, low maintenance living in this beautifully updated home located in a desirable senior park. Recently refreshed with new interior paint and brand new carpet, this 2 bedroom, 2 bath offers a comfortable and inviting layout. The spacious primary suite features an upgraded bathroom and a generous walk-in closet, creating a private retreat to relax and unwind. The second bedroom and full bath provide flexibility for guests, hobbies, or a home office. Step outside to enjoy a nice deck, perfect for morning coffee, outdoor dining, or simply soaking in the peaceful surroundings. Ideally positioned within the park, this home enjoys a premium location with no neighbors directly behind, offering added privacy and a serene setting. Residents also enjoy access to community amenities including a pool and clubhouse, perfect for socializing and recreation. Move-in ready and perfectly located, this home is a wonderful opportunity to enjoy relaxed senior living at its best.

  18. 2026-03-25
    listed $111,000 Active 995-char remark
    Show marketing remark (995 chars)

    Welcome to easy, low maintenance living in this beautifully updated home located in a desirable senior park. Recently refreshed with new interior paint and brand new carpet, this 2 bedroom, 2 bath offers a comfortable and inviting layout. The spacious primary suite features an upgraded bathroom and a generous walk-in closet, creating a private retreat to relax and unwind. The second bedroom and full bath provide flexibility for guests, hobbies, or a home office. Step outside to enjoy a nice deck, perfect for morning coffee, outdoor dining, or simply soaking in the peaceful surroundings. Ideally positioned within the park, this home enjoys a premium location with no neighbors directly behind, offering added privacy and a serene setting. Residents also enjoy access to community amenities including a pool and clubhouse, perfect for socializing and recreation. Move-in ready and perfectly located, this home is a wonderful opportunity to enjoy relaxed senior living at its best.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥100°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 20 unhealthy d/yr today · 22 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,067
− Mortgage interest
−$5,574
− Property taxes
−$1,492
− Insurance
−$5,616
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,245
− Management
−$2,245
− Depreciation
−$2,895
Taxable income
$8,000
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,920
After-tax cash flow
$6,883/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This beautifully updated manufactured home offers a comfortable and inviting layout with fresh paint, new carpet, and updated kitchens and bathrooms. It is located in a desirable senior park with a peaceful and low-maintenance environment.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace ceiling fans — Improves energy efficiency and comfort

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace ceiling fans — Improves energy efficiency and comfort

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ukiah Unified
NCES district ID
0640300
Math proficiency
24% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$47,865
Composite
29.21/100
National rank
#11858
State rank
#1018 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Ukiah

Score
64/100
State rank
#425
US rank
#14442

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living F Crime D- Employment D Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ukiah, CA
County
Mendocino County · 33,164 people
City population
33,164
Metro
Ukiah, CA
Population (ZIP)
33,164
Household income
$69,772
Rent vs Own
44.7% rent · 55.3% own
Severe rent burden
1349.0

Population outlook (Mendocino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
84,643 people
By 2030
82,138 · -3.0%
By 2040
76,402 · -9.7%
By 2050
71,759 · -15.2%
By 2075
61,454 · -27.4%
By 2100
50,130 · -40.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 18% Asian 3% Native American 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 30%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 25% Chinese 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mendocino

2024 margin
Strong D (+26.8) · D 61.3% · R 34.5% · Other 4.2%
2008→2024 swing
-16.0pp toward R · 2008: 42.8pp · 2024: 26.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+26.8 2020: D+35.8 2016: D+29.1 2012: D+37.6 2008: D+42.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -485.34%
Current HPI
164.6978
Rent YoY
▲ 6.07%
Metro
Ukiah, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $99,500 BAREIS
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $111,000 BAREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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