700 Gobbi St #90 · Ukiah, CA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 20 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to easy, low maintenance living in this beautifully updated home located in a desirable senior park. Recently refreshed with new interior paint and brand new carpet, this 2 bedroom, 2 bath offers a comfortable and inviting layout. The spacious primary suite features an upgraded bathroom and a generous walk-in closet, creating a private retreat to relax and unwind. The second bedroom and full bath provide flexibility for guests, hobbies, or a home office. Step outside to enjoy a nice deck, perfect for morning coffee, outdoor dining, or simply soaking in the peaceful surroundings. Ideally positioned within the park, this home enjoys a premium location with no neighbors directly behind, offering added privacy and a serene setting. Residents also enjoy access to community amenities including a pool and clubhouse, perfect for socializing and recreation. Move-in ready and perfectly located, this home is a wonderful opportunity to enjoy relaxed senior living at its best.
Key facts
- Upgraded bathroom
- Premium location
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $734 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.3% vs local median 3.0% in Ukiah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#425 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime D-.
- Ukiah Unified (town): math 24% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #1,018 of 1,400 in CA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 153 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 8 units permitted in Mendocino County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $688 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mendocino County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 49.97%
- DSCR
- 3.22
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $79,500
- List price
- $99,500
- Delta
- 25.16%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 700 E Gobbi St #53 | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+2%) | 6mo | $15,000 | $11 | 86 |
| 660 Leslie St #80 | 0.44mi | 2/1.5 | 1,300 (-2%) | 2mo | $117,500 | $90 | 74 |
| 460 E Gobbi St #3 | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+9%) | 0mo | $79,500 | $55 | 72 |
| 660 Leslie St #25 | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,320 (0%) | 8mo | $169,000 | $128 | 70 |
| 700 E Gobbi St #61 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+9%) | 19mo | $60,000 | $42 | 69 |
| 460 E Gobbi St #28 | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 | 1,416 (+7%) | 8mo | $70,000 | $49 | 68 |
| 700 E Gobbi St #55 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+9%) | 14mo | $107,000 | $74 | 68 |
| 660 Leslie St #11 | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+9%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $90 | 63 |
| 460 E Gobbi St #27 | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+9%) | 16mo | $75,000 | $52 | 59 |
| 660 Leslie St #68 | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+9%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $56 | 55 |
| 460 E Gobbi St #5 | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,150 (-13%) | 15mo | $96,500 | $84 | 53 |
| 660 Leslie St #56 | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 1,150 (-13%) | 14mo | $94,000 | $82 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $38,342
- Equity at exit
- $14,836
- IRR
- 40.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.57×
- Total profit
- $127,304
- Equity at exit
- $8,603
Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95482
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,339 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$522
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$124 /mo · $1,492/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$491
- Net cashflow
- $734
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,875
- Closing costs
- $2,985
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 El Rio St Unit D Ukiah, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $2,195 | $2.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 570 Pomo Dr Ukiah, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1306 | $2,650 | $2.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.20mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,500 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,500 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,500 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,500 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,500 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,500 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,500 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,500 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,500 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,500 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-04-24price $99,500 995-char remark
Show marketing remark (995 chars)
Welcome to easy, low maintenance living in this beautifully updated home located in a desirable senior park. Recently refreshed with new interior paint and brand new carpet, this 2 bedroom, 2 bath offers a comfortable and inviting layout. The spacious primary suite features an upgraded bathroom and a generous walk-in closet, creating a private retreat to relax and unwind. The second bedroom and full bath provide flexibility for guests, hobbies, or a home office. Step outside to enjoy a nice deck, perfect for morning coffee, outdoor dining, or simply soaking in the peaceful surroundings. Ideally positioned within the park, this home enjoys a premium location with no neighbors directly behind, offering added privacy and a serene setting. Residents also enjoy access to community amenities including a pool and clubhouse, perfect for socializing and recreation. Move-in ready and perfectly located, this home is a wonderful opportunity to enjoy relaxed senior living at its best.
-
2026-03-25$111,000 Active 995-char remark
Show marketing remark (995 chars)
Welcome to easy, low maintenance living in this beautifully updated home located in a desirable senior park. Recently refreshed with new interior paint and brand new carpet, this 2 bedroom, 2 bath offers a comfortable and inviting layout. The spacious primary suite features an upgraded bathroom and a generous walk-in closet, creating a private retreat to relax and unwind. The second bedroom and full bath provide flexibility for guests, hobbies, or a home office. Step outside to enjoy a nice deck, perfect for morning coffee, outdoor dining, or simply soaking in the peaceful surroundings. Ideally positioned within the park, this home enjoys a premium location with no neighbors directly behind, offering added privacy and a serene setting. Residents also enjoy access to community amenities including a pool and clubhouse, perfect for socializing and recreation. Move-in ready and perfectly located, this home is a wonderful opportunity to enjoy relaxed senior living at its best.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥100°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 20 unhealthy d/yr today · 22 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,067
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,574
- − Property taxes
- −$1,492
- − Insurance
- −$5,616
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,245
- − Management
- −$2,245
- − Depreciation
- −$2,895
- Taxable income
- $8,000
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,920
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,883/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This beautifully updated manufactured home offers a comfortable and inviting layout with fresh paint, new carpet, and updated kitchens and bathrooms. It is located in a desirable senior park with a peaceful and low-maintenance environment.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace ceiling fans — Improves energy efficiency and comfort
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace ceiling fans — Improves energy efficiency and comfort ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ukiah Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0640300
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,865
- Composite
- 29.21/100
- National rank
- #11858
- State rank
- #1018 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Ukiah
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #425
- US rank
- #14442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ukiah, CA
- County
- Mendocino County · 33,164 people
- City population
- 33,164
- Metro
- Ukiah, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,164
- Household income
- $69,772
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1349.0
Population outlook (Mendocino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 84,643 people
- By 2030
- 82,138 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 76,402 · -9.7%
- By 2050
- 71,759 · -15.2%
- By 2075
- 61,454 · -27.4%
- By 2100
- 50,130 · -40.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 18% Asian 3% Native American 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 25% Chinese 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mendocino
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.8) · D 61.3% · R 34.5% · Other 4.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.0pp toward R · 2008: 42.8pp · 2024: 26.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.8 2020: D+35.8 2016: D+29.1 2012: D+37.6 2008: D+42.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -485.34%
- Current HPI
- 164.6978
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.07%
- Metro
- Ukiah, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-10.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $99,500 BAREIS
- 2026-03-25 Listed $111,000 BAREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…