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1675 Manzanita Ave #115
B Composite 71.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$41,500

1675 Manzanita Ave #115 · Chico, CA 95926
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 624 sqft · Manufactured public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1979

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

SELLER MOTIVATED. .. BRING ALL OFFERS Cute and Cozy very clean home in one of Chico's nicest senior mobile home parks. Newly painted living room and kitchen cabinets, new screens on porch, new redwood stairs on front porch and carport entries. New dual pane windows. A/C serviced 9/20. Low maintenance yard. Drip irrigation. Must see to appreciate.

Key facts

  • Spacious backyard
  • Private front porch
  • Gas range

Tags

MINUTES FROM BIDWELL PARKPRIVATE FRONT PORCHSPACIOUS BACKYARDGAS RANGEABUNDANT CABINET SPACEEASY TO MAINTAIN LANDSCAPING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Park name: Pleasant Valley Mobile Park; Rural setting with street lighting; Manager approval required for tenancy; Pets allowed — contact park (call)
  • Financial info: Land lease: $961 monthly (park-managed)
  • HOA & community: Senior community; Clubhouse; Common RV parking; Association spa; Pet rules

Exterior

  • Parking: Two uncovered spaces; Two carport spaces; Driveway; RV access/parking; Total of 4 parking spaces
  • Security: Smoke detector(s); Carbon monoxide detector(s)
  • Utilities: Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Water connected (District/Public); Public sewer; 220V in laundry
  • Home design: Single-story mobile home; Mobile home model 'Buddy' (12' x 52'); Mobile home remains on site; One total story; Has a view; Entry at ground level
  • Construction: One shed on the property; Living area per assessor's data
  • Exterior features: Awning; Rain gutters; Covered front porch; Screened patio; Deck; Back yard; Pool access via association

Interior

  • Kitchen: Garbage disposal; Refrigerator; Range with hood; Gas range; Water heater unit
  • Bedrooms: One-level home
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: Walk-in shower; Shower; Vanity area; Linen closet/storage
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (furnace); Central cooling
  • Interior features: Pantry; Open floor plan; Double pane windows with blinds and screens; Smoke and carbon monoxide detectors; Association spa
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup (220V in laundry); In-closet laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $42k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $731 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $42k).
  • Cap rate 27.4% vs local median 2.6% in Chico — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#195 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A-; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Chico Unified (urban): math 40% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #117 of 517 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 90 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 946 units permitted in Butte County in 2024 (254 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $287 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Butte County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 4→9/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $41,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.05%
Cap rate
27.42%
Cash-on-cash
75.45%
DSCR
4.36
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
76.4%
Equity multiple
4.53×
Total profit
$41,074
Equity at exit
$6,188
10-year hold
IRR
80.3%
Equity multiple
9.69×
Total profit
$100,984
Equity at exit
$3,588

Cash invested: $11,620 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95926

Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
90
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,264 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$218
Tax from tax record
$33 /mo · $398/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$265
Net cashflow
$731

Break-even live

Break-even rent $339
Max offer price $41,500
Occupancy floor 37%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,375
Closing costs
$1,245
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2777 Eaton Rd Chico, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 790 $1,403 $1.78 13d 3 1.44mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $41,500 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $41,500 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $41,500 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $41,500 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $41,500 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $41,500 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $41,500 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $41,500 Active 2 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    remarks 693-char remark
  10. 2026-06-09
    listed $41,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$398 · $33/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$398 · $33/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 4 d/yr ≥104°F today · 9 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 37 unhealthy d/yr today · 39 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,170
− Mortgage interest
−$2,325
− Property taxes
−$398
− Insurance
−$208
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,214
− Management
−$1,214
− Depreciation
−$1,207
Taxable income
$8,605
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,065
After-tax cash flow
$6,702/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chico Unified
NCES district ID
0608370
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▲ 14.00%
Median HH income
$46,223
Composite
46.45/100
National rank
#2443
State rank
#117 of 517 in CA

Livability — Chico

Score
72/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#6332

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C- Housing B Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chico, CA
County
Butte County · 175,030 people
City population
117,007
Metro
Chico, CA
Population (ZIP)
40,567
Household income
$61,920
Rent vs Own
59.5% rent · 40.5% own
Severe rent burden
3912.0

Population outlook (Butte County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
237,527 people
By 2030
243,804 · +2.6%
By 2040
253,899 · +6.9%
By 2050
262,561 · +10.5%
By 2075
283,709 · +19.4%
By 2100
282,689 · +19.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 13% Asian 6% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Butte

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.8% · R 49.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.4pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+1.7 2016: R+4.0 2012: R+3.9 2008: D+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -453.39%
Current HPI
256.0261
Rent YoY
▲ 3.98%
Metro
Chico, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+112.8% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $41,500 CRMLS
  • 2021-09-29 Sold (MLS) $40,000 CRMLS
  • 2021-09-27 Pending CRMLS
  • 2021-09-10 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2021-09-09 Pending CRMLS
  • 2021-09-06 Price Changed $42,500 CRMLS
  • 2021-08-27 Price Changed $44,500 CRMLS
  • 2021-08-16 Listed $49,900 CRMLS
  • 2016-12-22 Sold (MLS) $15,500 CRMLS
  • 2016-12-12 Pending CRMLS
  • 2016-10-14 Listed $17,950 CRMLS
  • 2015-11-25 Sold (MLS) $6,500 CRMLS
  • 2015-11-12 Pending CRMLS
  • 2015-11-10 Price Changed $6,500 CRMLS
  • 2015-11-03 Price Changed $10,000 CRMLS
  • 2015-10-08 Price Changed $12,000 CRMLS
  • 2015-09-24 Price Changed $16,500 CRMLS
  • 2015-09-16 Listed $19,500 CRMLS
  • 2010-02-26 Sold (MLS) $17,500 CRMLS
  • 2009-09-30 Listed $19,500 CRMLS

Property tax history

+12.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $398 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…