2092 Ryer Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.5/30.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- Appreciation +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- ARV discount +6.0/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$949,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Investors Opportunity. Needs Tlc
Key facts
- Detached house
- R7 zoning
- Shopping
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $949k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($34k/yr) — positive. Per door: $938/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $949k).
- Recommended offer: $835k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $10,889/mo this rent would consume 306% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 8573% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $47k of equity ($7k loan paydown + $41k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (4.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $266k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$76k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($835k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $250k; list at $949k implies a 280% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.70%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $918,702
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2153 Belmont Ave | 0.63mi | 11/4.0 | 2,850 (-0%) | 11mo | $950,000 | $333 | 61 |
| 1678 Monroe Ave | 0.72mi | 8/3.0 | 2,820 (-2%) | 7mo | $1,025,000 | $363 | 58 |
| 2305 Bathgate Ave | 0.48mi | 7/3.0 | 2,652 (-7%) | 13mo | $849,999 | $321 | 55 |
| 1659 Topping Ave | 0.75mi | 7/1.0 | 2,940 (+3%) | 11mo | $1,000,000 | $340 | 51 |
| 1860 Harrison Ave | 0.64mi | 6/4.0 | 3,132 (+9%) | 6mo | $988,800 | $316 | 49 |
| 2301 Loring Pl N | 0.73mi | 7/4.0 | 3,072 (+7%) | 16mo | $975,000 | $317 | 41 |
| 710 Oakland Pl | 0.73mi | —/— | 2,730 (-5%) | 21mo | $700,000 | $256 | 40 |
| 704 E 182nd St | 0.74mi | 7/4.5 | 3,045 (+6%) | 18mo | $950,000 | $312 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.3% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $359,851
- Equity at exit
- $497,677
- IRR
- 22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.58×
- Total profit
- $951,896
- Equity at exit
- $827,458
Cash invested: $265,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10457
- Home prices YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 21.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $10,889 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,977
- Tax from tax record
- −$418 /mo · $5,013/yr
- Insurance
- −$395
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,287
- Net cashflow
- $2,813
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | — | $10,890 |
| #1 | 2 | — | $3,630 |
| #2 | 2 | — | $3,630 |
| #3 | 2 | — | $3,630 |
| Total (3 units) | $10,889 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $237,250
- Closing costs
- $28,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2025-06-20status Pending
-
2025-05-21status Active
-
2025-05-01status Pending
-
2025-03-17status Active
-
2025-03-17price $949,000
-
2024-12-01$999,000 Active
-
2022-04-13price $2,000
-
2015-07-10soldstatus $250,000
-
2015-06-30price $250,000
-
2015-06-30soldstatus $250,000 Sold
-
2014-11-24historical Pending
-
2014-11-24price $299,000
-
2014-11-12$299,000 Active
-
2014-01-27price $155,000 32-char remark
Show marketing remark (32 chars)
Investors Opportunity. Needs Tlc
-
2005-08-17soldstatus $460,000
-
2003-04-28soldstatus $180,000
-
2003-04-03soldstatus $180,000 32-char remark
Show marketing remark (32 chars)
Investors Opportunity. Needs Tlc
-
2002-11-12$180,000 32-char remark
Show marketing remark (32 chars)
Investors Opportunity. Needs Tlc
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,013 · $418/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,525 · $877/mo
- Expected delta
- +$5,513/yr (+$459/mo · 110.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $130,668
- − Mortgage interest
- −$53,159
- − Property taxes
- −$5,013
- − Insurance
- −$4,745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$10,453
- − Management
- −$10,453
- − Depreciation
- −$27,607
- Taxable income
- $19,237
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,617
- After-tax cash flow
- $29,133/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 79,543
- Household income
- $42,683
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8573.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 63% Black 32% Two or more races 19% White 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 31%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 39% · Canada, United Kingdom, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 33% English-only · Spanish 54% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.30%
- Current HPI
- 160.6434
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+427.2% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2025-06-20 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-21 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-01 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-17 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-17 Price Changed $949,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-01 Listed $999,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-13 Price Changed $2,000 RENT.
- 2015-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
- 2015-06-30 Sold (MLS) $250,000 HGMLS
- 2015-06-30 Price Changed $250,000 HGMLS
- 2014-11-24 Contingent — HGMLS
- 2014-11-24 Price Changed $299,000 HGMLS
- 2014-11-12 Listed $299,000 HGMLS
- 2014-01-27 Price Changed $155,000 HGMLS
- 2005-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $460,000 Public Records
- 2003-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
- 2003-04-03 Sold (MLS) $180,000 HGMLS
- 2002-11-12 Listed $180,000 HGMLS
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $5,013 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…