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Triplex
B Composite 70.57
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.5/30.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.0/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$949,000

2092 Ryer Ave · New York, NY 10457
None bd · None ba · 2,862 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 150 Days on market
Built 1901 1,958 sqft lot Est $919k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Investors Opportunity. Needs Tlc

Key facts

  • Detached house
  • R7 zoning
  • Shopping

Tags

DETACHED HOUSER7 ZONINGUPDATED APARTMENTSPUBLIC TRANSPORTATIONSHOPPING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $949k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($34k/yr) — positive. Per door: $938/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $949k).
  • Recommended offer: $835k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $10,889/mo this rent would consume 306% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 8573% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $47k of equity ($7k loan paydown + $41k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
  • Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (4.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $266k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$76k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($835k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $250k; list at $949k implies a 280% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $835,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
9.85%
Cash-on-cash
12.70%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$918,702
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2153 Belmont Ave 0.63mi 11/4.0 2,850 (-0%) 11mo $950,000 $333 61
1678 Monroe Ave 0.72mi 8/3.0 2,820 (-2%) 7mo $1,025,000 $363 58
2305 Bathgate Ave 0.48mi 7/3.0 2,652 (-7%) 13mo $849,999 $321 55
1659 Topping Ave 0.75mi 7/1.0 2,940 (+3%) 11mo $1,000,000 $340 51
1860 Harrison Ave 0.64mi 6/4.0 3,132 (+9%) 6mo $988,800 $316 49
2301 Loring Pl N 0.73mi 7/4.0 3,072 (+7%) 16mo $975,000 $317 41
710 Oakland Pl 0.73mi —/— 2,730 (-5%) 21mo $700,000 $256 40
704 E 182nd St 0.74mi 7/4.5 3,045 (+6%) 18mo $950,000 $312 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.3% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.3%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$359,851
Equity at exit
$497,677
10-year hold
IRR
22.2%
Equity multiple
4.58×
Total profit
$951,896
Equity at exit
$827,458

Cash invested: $265,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10457

Home prices YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
21.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$10,889 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,977
Tax from tax record
$418 /mo · $5,013/yr
Insurance
$395
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,287
Net cashflow
$2,813

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,329
Max offer price $949,000
Occupancy floor 69%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $10,889

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$237,250
Closing costs
$28,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2025-06-20
    status Pending
  2. 2025-05-21
    status Active
  3. 2025-05-01
    status Pending
  4. 2025-03-17
    status Active
  5. 2025-03-17
    price $949,000
  6. 2024-12-01
    listed $999,000 Active
  7. 2022-04-13
    price $2,000
  8. 2015-07-10
    soldstatus $250,000
  9. 2015-06-30
    price $250,000
  10. 2015-06-30
    soldstatus $250,000 Sold
  11. 2014-11-24
    historical Pending
  12. 2014-11-24
    price $299,000
  13. 2014-11-12
    listed $299,000 Active
  14. 2014-01-27
    price $155,000 32-char remark
    Show marketing remark (32 chars)

    Investors Opportunity. Needs Tlc

  15. 2005-08-17
    soldstatus $460,000
  16. 2003-04-28
    soldstatus $180,000
  17. 2003-04-03
    soldstatus $180,000 32-char remark
    Show marketing remark (32 chars)

    Investors Opportunity. Needs Tlc

  18. 2002-11-12
    listed $180,000 32-char remark
    Show marketing remark (32 chars)

    Investors Opportunity. Needs Tlc

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,013 · $418/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$10,525 · $877/mo
Expected delta
+$5,513/yr (+$459/mo · 110.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$130,668
− Mortgage interest
−$53,159
− Property taxes
−$5,013
− Insurance
−$4,745
− Repairs & maintenance
−$10,453
− Management
−$10,453
− Depreciation
−$27,607
Taxable income
$19,237
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,617
After-tax cash flow
$29,133/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
79,543
Household income
$42,683
Rent vs Own
94.8% rent · 5.2% own
Severe rent burden
8573.0

Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,353 people
By 2030
1,681,852 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,824,421 · +13.5%
By 2050
1,945,470 · +21.0%
By 2075
2,187,887 · +36.1%
By 2100
2,244,136 · +39.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 63% Black 32% Two or more races 19% White 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 31%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
39% · Canada, United Kingdom, Jamaica
Languages at home
33% English-only · Spanish 54% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bronx

2024 margin
Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.30%
Current HPI
160.6434
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+427.2% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2025-06-20 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-21 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-01 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-17 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-17 Price Changed $949,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-01 Listed $999,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-04-13 Price Changed $2,000 RENT.
  • 2015-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
  • 2015-06-30 Sold (MLS) $250,000 HGMLS
  • 2015-06-30 Price Changed $250,000 HGMLS
  • 2014-11-24 Contingent HGMLS
  • 2014-11-24 Price Changed $299,000 HGMLS
  • 2014-11-12 Listed $299,000 HGMLS
  • 2014-01-27 Price Changed $155,000 HGMLS
  • 2005-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $460,000 Public Records
  • 2003-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
  • 2003-04-03 Sold (MLS) $180,000 HGMLS
  • 2002-11-12 Listed $180,000 HGMLS

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,013 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…