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309 E Pine St
A- Composite 81.11
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$80,000

309 E Pine St · Daisetta, TX 77533
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,444 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 101 Days on market
Built 1930 7,501 sqft lot $55/sqft · 47% below area Est $150k · 47% under ↓ 54% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Opportunity in Daisetta! This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers strong potential for investors, landlords, or buyers. The home features a spacious layout with updated finishes, neutral tones, and plenty of natural light. Situated on a generous lot with multiple detached structures that could be used for storage, workshop space, or future improvements. With no known HOA and located in a quiet Liberty County community, this property offers flexibility for rental, long-term investment, or owner-occupant buyers looking for additional space. The detached buildings add extra utility and potential for hobbies, a workspace, or storage needs. Conveniently located with easy access to surrounding towns including Liberty, Dayton, and Baytown. Great opportunity to add to your rental portfolio or secure a property with long-term potential. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Generous lot
  • Updated finishes
  • Hobbies workspace

Tags

SPACIOUS LAYOUTUPDATED FINISHESNATURAL LIGHTGENEROUS LOTMULTIPLE DETACHED STRUCTURESHOBBIES WORKSPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $760 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#978 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hull-Daisetta ISD (rural): math 36% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #949 of 1,141 in TX (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 1,321 units permitted in Liberty County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Liberty County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $49k; list at $80k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,800 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.16%
Cap rate
17.69%
Cash-on-cash
40.69%
DSCR
2.81
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$149,595
List price
$80,000
Delta
-46.52%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
604 E Pine St 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,396 (-3%) 13mo $96,000 $69 79
203 Peach St 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,397 (-3%) 16mo $199,999 $143 66
107 Elm St 0.28mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,554 (+8%) 22mo $155,000 $100 47
106 Palm St 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,272 (-12%) 18mo $127,900 $101 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
46.2%
Equity multiple
3.59×
Total profit
$58,070
Equity at exit
$35,971
10-year hold
IRR
45.9%
Equity multiple
7.21×
Total profit
$139,020
Equity at exit
$55,436

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77533

Active inventory
5
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,726 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$151 /mo · $1,815/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$362
Net cashflow
$760

Break-even live

Break-even rent $765
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 101 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 100 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 99 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 98 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 96 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $80,000 Active 95 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $80,000 Active 92 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 91 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 90 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $80,000 Active 88 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 86 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 85 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 84 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 83 DOM
  15. 2026-04-02
    price $80,000 880-char remark
    Show marketing remark (880 chars)

    Investor Opportunity in Daisetta! This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers strong potential for investors, landlords, or buyers. The home features a spacious layout with updated finishes, neutral tones, and plenty of natural light. Situated on a generous lot with multiple detached structures that could be used for storage, workshop space, or future improvements. With no known HOA and located in a quiet Liberty County community, this property offers flexibility for rental, long-term investment, or owner-occupant buyers looking for additional space. The detached buildings add extra utility and potential for hobbies, a workspace, or storage needs. Conveniently located with easy access to surrounding towns including Liberty, Dayton, and Baytown. Great opportunity to add to your rental portfolio or secure a property with long-term potential. Schedule your showing today!

  16. 2026-03-09
    listed $89,900 Active 880-char remark
    Show marketing remark (880 chars)

    Investor Opportunity in Daisetta! This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers strong potential for investors, landlords, or buyers. The home features a spacious layout with updated finishes, neutral tones, and plenty of natural light. Situated on a generous lot with multiple detached structures that could be used for storage, workshop space, or future improvements. With no known HOA and located in a quiet Liberty County community, this property offers flexibility for rental, long-term investment, or owner-occupant buyers looking for additional space. The detached buildings add extra utility and potential for hobbies, a workspace, or storage needs. Conveniently located with easy access to surrounding towns including Liberty, Dayton, and Baytown. Great opportunity to add to your rental portfolio or secure a property with long-term potential. Schedule your showing today!

  17. 2026-02-13
    soldstatus
  18. 2025-11-12
    soldstatus $49,000
  19. 2025-11-07
    historical
  20. 2025-04-01
    status Active
  21. 2025-03-27
    status Option Pending
  22. 2025-03-17
    price $149,500
  23. 2025-02-24
    price $154,500
  24. 2025-01-15
    price $159,000
  25. 2024-11-06
    price $164,000
  26. 2024-10-24
    status Active
  27. 2024-10-17
    status Pending
  28. 2024-10-09
    price $169,000
  29. 2024-09-10
    listed $175,000 Active
  30. 2022-07-14
    soldstatus
  31. 2022-02-15
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,815 · $151/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,815 · $151/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,714
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,815
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,657
− Management
−$1,657
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$8,376
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,010
After-tax cash flow
$7,104/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hull-Daisetta ISD
NCES district ID
4823880
Math proficiency
36% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$46,028
Composite
30.64/100
National rank
#11445
State rank
#949 of 1141 in TX

Livability — Daisetta

Score
61/100
State rank
#978
US rank
#17350

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Daisetta, TX
Population (ZIP)
1,133

Population outlook (Liberty County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
87,956 people
By 2030
92,161 · +4.8%
By 2040
100,784 · +14.6%
By 2050
109,471 · +24.5%
By 2075
133,470 · +51.7%
By 2100
147,372 · +67.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 9% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Liberty

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.6) · D 19.0% · R 80.6%
2008→2024 swing
-17.9pp toward R · 2008: -43.7pp · 2024: -61.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.6 2020: R+59.7 2016: R+58.0 2012: R+53.3 2008: R+43.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-54.3% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $80,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $89,900 HARMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2025-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
  • 2025-11-07 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-04-01 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2025-03-27 Pending HARMLS
  • 2025-03-17 Price Changed $149,500 HARMLS
  • 2025-02-24 Price Changed $154,500 HARMLS
  • 2025-01-15 Price Changed $159,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-11-06 Price Changed $164,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-10-24 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2024-10-17 Pending HARMLS
  • 2024-10-09 Price Changed $169,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-09-10 Listed $175,000 HARMLS
  • 2022-07-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-02-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,815 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…