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207 W Chestnut St
C+ Composite 63.57
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$94,000

207 W Chestnut St · Gosport, IN 47433
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,150 sqft · SingleFamily · 134 Days on market
Built 1984 Good condition 8,059 sqft lot $82/sqft · 23% above area Est $76k · 23% over ↓ 37% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your recently renovated, move-in ready home on its own city lot. With a sleek design and affordable price, this property offers both style and convenience. Enjoy the modern kitchen, cozy living area, and private outdoor space. The 2 car garage is in unknown condition, but could potentially be restored. Don't miss out on this great opportunity!

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Cozy living area
  • Recently renovated

Tags

RECENTLY RENOVATEDMOVE-IN READYMODERN KITCHENCOZY LIVING AREAPRIVATE OUTDOOR SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $94k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $94k).
  • Recommended offer: $83k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#133 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
  • Spencer-Owen Community Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #155 of 301 in IN (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 120 units permitted in Owen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($650 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Owen County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $82,720 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
9.05%
Cash-on-cash
9.86%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$76,229
List price
$94,000
Delta
23.31%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
467 N 7th St 0.03mi 3/1.0 1,280 (+11%) 14mo $184,500 $144 64
346 W North St 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,268 (+10%) 12mo $254,000 $200 63
239 E Walnut St 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,126 (-2%) 12mo $145,000 $129 60
127 N 3rd St 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,218 (+6%) 22mo $175,000 $144 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.5%
Equity multiple
3.47×
Total profit
$64,988
Equity at exit
$84,683
10-year hold
IRR
27.2%
Equity multiple
7.86×
Total profit
$180,578
Equity at exit
$182,621

Cash invested: $26,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47433

Home prices YoY
9.4%
Active inventory
30
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,096 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$493
Tax est. 1.5%
$118 /mo · $1,410/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$230
Net cashflow
$216

Break-even live

Break-even rent $822
Max offer price $94,000
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,500
Closing costs
$2,820
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $94,000 Active 134 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,000 Active 133 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $94,000 Active 132 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $94,000 Active 131 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,000 Active 130 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $94,000 Active 128 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,000 Active 127 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $94,000 Active 125 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,000 Active 124 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,000 Active 123 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,000 Active 122 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $94,000 Active 119 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $94,000 Active 118 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,000 Active 117 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,000 Active 116 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,000 Active 115 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $94,000 Active 114 DOM
  18. 2026-04-17
    price $94,000 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Welcome to your recently renovated, move-in ready home on its own city lot. With a sleek design and affordable price, this property offers both style and convenience. Enjoy the modern kitchen, cozy living area, and private outdoor space. The 2 car garage is in unknown condition, but could potentially be restored. Don't miss out on this great opportunity!

  19. 2026-02-05
    listed $99,000 Active 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Welcome to your recently renovated, move-in ready home on its own city lot. With a sleek design and affordable price, this property offers both style and convenience. Enjoy the modern kitchen, cozy living area, and private outdoor space. The 2 car garage is in unknown condition, but could potentially be restored. Don't miss out on this great opportunity!

  20. 2024-10-29
    listed $109,000 Active
  21. 2024-09-09
    price $119,900
  22. 2024-05-06
    price $134,900
  23. 2024-04-17
    price $139,900
  24. 2024-04-12
    listed $149,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,153
− Mortgage interest
−$5,265
− Property taxes
−$1,410
− Insurance
−$470
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,052
− Management
−$1,052
− Depreciation
−$2,735
Taxable income
$1,169
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$280
After-tax cash flow
$2,315/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This recently renovated, move-in ready home offers a good condition with modern updates and a good curb appeal. It is ready for immediate occupancy and minor improvements can further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Rental Replace carpet — Improves comfort and reduces maintenance costs

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Rental Replace carpet — Improves comfort and reduces maintenance costs

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Spencer-Owen Community Schools
NCES district ID
1810950
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$45,258
Composite
33.21/100
National rank
#5529
State rank
#155 of 301 in IN

Livability — Gosport

Score
71/100
State rank
#133
US rank
#6926

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gosport, IN
Population (ZIP)
3,722

Population outlook (Owen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,045 people
By 2030
17,930 · -5.9%
By 2040
15,507 · -18.6%
By 2050
13,253 · -30.4%
By 2075
9,364 · -50.8%
By 2100
6,686 · -64.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 12% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Owen

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.7) · D 23.8% · R 74.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-40.3pp toward R · 2008: -10.3pp · 2024: -50.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.7 2020: R+49.1 2016: R+49.4 2012: R+27.6 2008: R+10.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 24.01%
Current HPI
278.3717
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-37.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $94,000 IRMLS
  • 2026-02-05 Listed $99,000 IRMLS
  • 2024-10-29 Listed $109,000 IRMLS
  • 2024-09-09 Price Changed $119,900 IRMLS
  • 2024-05-06 Price Changed $134,900 IRMLS
  • 2024-04-17 Price Changed $139,900 IRMLS
  • 2024-04-12 Listed $149,900 IRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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