4200 Summers Ln #52 · Altamont, OR
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 38 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 39 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.9/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ready For New Owner-2007 Year Built * Open Floor Plan with Large Living Room * 3 Nice Bedrooms 2 Bathrooms * Open Kitchen with Island Includes Appliances * F/A Electric Heat * Window A/C * Carport & Paved Patio Area * Adjacent to Bonus Parking Area * Large Utility Building * No Maintenance Yard * Extra Parking Across the Street * RV Parking Maybe Available Too * Club House Activities * Monthly Park Rent $451.00 Includes Water, Sewer, Garbage & Snow Removal * See Park Manager Kevin for Required Park Approval * Great 55+Park-Alpine Meadows * Home Inspection on File for Buyers Review.
Key facts
- Paved patio area
- Bonus parking area
- Open floor plan
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $441 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 3.7% in Altamont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#195 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, crime F.
- Klamath County SD (rural): math 21% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #46 of 58 in OR (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 263 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 232 units permitted in Klamath County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $619 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Klamath County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.8% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $90k implies a 359% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.12%
- DSCR
- 1.94
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $99,278
- List price
- $89,500
- Delta
- -9.85%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4200 Summers Ln #52 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (0%) | 1mo | $89,500 | $69 | 100 |
| 4200 Summers Ln Unit 23 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,293 (-0%) | 0mo | $95,000 | $73 | 94 |
| 4200 Summers Ln Unit 25 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,323 (+2%) | 7mo | $107,000 | $81 | 91 |
| 4200 Summers Ln Unit 69 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,188 (-8%) | 0mo | $72,500 | $61 | 81 |
| 4200 Summers Ln Unit 10 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,109 (-14%) | 5mo | $75,000 | $68 | 67 |
| 4647 Winter Ave Spc 55 | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-3%) | 9mo | $79,000 | $63 | 59 |
| 3922 Austin St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (+8%) | 6mo | $260,000 | $185 | 56 |
| 4647 Winter Ave #78 | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,173 (-10%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $107 | 53 |
| 4647 Winter Ave #92 | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,173 (-10%) | 5mo | $123,000 | $105 | 52 |
| 4647 Winter Ave Spc 53 | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,173 (-10%) | 8mo | $130,000 | $111 | 49 |
| 4647 Winter Ave Spc 65 | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,144 (-12%) | 6mo | $113,000 | $99 | 46 |
| 3131 Bisbee St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,144 (-12%) | 2mo | $261,000 | $228 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $15,347
- Equity at exit
- $13,345
- IRR
- 24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.27×
- Total profit
- $56,834
- Equity at exit
- $7,738
Cash invested: $25,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97603
- Rents YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 263
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,835 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$469
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $610/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$451
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $441
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $492 | -5% $466 | +0% $441 | +5% $416 | +10% $390 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $296 | -5% $369 | +0% $441 | +5% $514 | +10% $586 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $486 | -0.5pp $464 | base $441 | +0.5pp $418 | +1.0pp $394 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,375
- Closing costs
- $2,685
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3823 Kelley Dr Klamath Falls, OR | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1600 | $2,000 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 4306 Fargo St Klamath Falls, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,850 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 4305 Altamont Dr Klamath Falls, OR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1712 | $2,300 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 4831 Darwin Pl Klamath Falls, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,475 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 4195 Bristol Ct Klamath Falls, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,350 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3039 Kane St Klamath Falls, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,395 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $451 · $5,412/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrashelectricsnow removal
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending 600-char remark
Show marketing remark (600 chars)
Ready For New Owner-2007 Year Built * Open Floor Plan with Large Living Room * 3 Nice Bedrooms 2 Bathrooms * Open Kitchen with Island Includes Appliances * F/A Electric Heat * Window A/C * Carport & Paved Patio Area * Adjacent to Bonus Parking Area * Large Utility Building * No Maintenance Yard * Extra Parking Across the Street * RV Parking Maybe Available Too * Club House Activities * Monthly Park Rent $451.00 Includes Water, Sewer, Garbage & Snow Removal * See Park Manager Kevin for Required Park Approval * Great 55+Park-Alpine Meadows * Home Inspection on File for Buyers Review.
-
2026-04-13$89,500 Active 600-char remark
Show marketing remark (600 chars)
Ready For New Owner-2007 Year Built * Open Floor Plan with Large Living Room * 3 Nice Bedrooms 2 Bathrooms * Open Kitchen with Island Includes Appliances * F/A Electric Heat * Window A/C * Carport & Paved Patio Area * Adjacent to Bonus Parking Area * Large Utility Building * No Maintenance Yard * Extra Parking Across the Street * RV Parking Maybe Available Too * Club House Activities * Monthly Park Rent $451.00 Includes Water, Sewer, Garbage & Snow Removal * See Park Manager Kevin for Required Park Approval * Great 55+Park-Alpine Meadows * Home Inspection on File for Buyers Review.
-
2004-11-25soldstatus $19,500 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Just Painted On The O/S. New Carpet In The Liv. Rm. Cute As A Button. All Appliances Remain. Including Washer & Dryer. Space Rent $265.00 Incl. Water, Garbage, & And Sewer. Family Park. Buyer Must Be Approved By Park.
-
2004-09-02$19,900 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
Just Painted On The O/S. New Carpet In The Liv. Rm. Cute As A Button. All Appliances Remain. Including Washer & Dryer. Space Rent $265.00 Incl. Water, Garbage, & And Sewer. Family Park. Buyer Must Be Approved By Park.
-
2001-11-15soldstatus $19,900
-
2001-08-11$19,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $610 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $868 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$258/yr (+$22/mo · 42.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 38 unhealthy d/yr today · 39 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,019
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,013
- − Property taxes
- −$610
- − Insurance
- −$448
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,762
- − Management
- −$1,762
- − HOA
- −$5,412
- − Depreciation
- −$2,604
- Taxable income
- $4,409
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,058
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,235/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Klamath County SD
- NCES district ID
- 4107020
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,906
- Composite
- 24.83/100
- National rank
- #7593
- State rank
- #46 of 58 in OR
Livability — Altamont
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #12638
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Altamont, OR
- County
- Klamath County · 56,186 people
- Metro
- Klamath Falls, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,222
- Household income
- $66,937
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1147.0
Population outlook (Klamath County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,870 people
- By 2030
- 62,279 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 58,891 · -7.8%
- By 2050
- 56,207 · -12.0%
- By 2075
- 51,239 · -19.8%
- By 2100
- 46,526 · -27.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 13% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Italian 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Klamath
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.9) · D 27.9% · R 69.8% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: -33.1pp · 2024: -41.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.9 2020: R+40.6 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+38.2 2008: R+33.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.75%
- Current HPI
- 198.1814
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- Metro
- Klamath Falls, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+349.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — MLSCO
- 2026-04-13 Listed $89,500 MLSCO
- 2004-11-25 Sold (MLS) $19,500 MLSCO
- 2004-09-02 Listed $19,900 MLSCO
- 2001-11-15 Sold (MLS) $19,900 MLSCO
- 2001-08-11 Listed $19,900 MLSCO
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $610 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…