1404 S Monroe St · Streator, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.3/15.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Take a look at this quaint 2 bedroom 1 bathroom home in woodland school district. This house features enclosed porch and a attached one car garage. New flooring throughout. Take a look today. Motivated Seller!
Key facts
- New flooring
- Enclosed porch
- 6,000 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 7.8% in Streator — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#752 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Woodland CUSD 5 (rural): math 18% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #427 of 620 in IL (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 35 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Livingston County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $33k; list at $95k implies a 188% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1903 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1903 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.97%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $103,685
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- -8.38%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 910 S Vermillion St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 919 (-1%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $234 | 78 |
| 907 S Bloomington St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 970 (+5%) | 4mo | $26,500 | $27 | 67 |
| 417 Sangamon St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 900 (-3%) | 16mo | $109,000 | $121 | 66 |
| 1517 S Vermillion St | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 960 (+4%) | 13mo | $185,000 | $193 | 64 |
| 717 S Monroe St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+4%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $130 | 60 |
| 409 E 12th St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 840 (-9%) | 15mo | $72,200 | $86 | 60 |
| 328 W 12th St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 896 (-3%) | 11mo | $142,000 | $158 | 60 |
| 1615 S Illinois St | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 936 (+1%) | 2mo | $144,900 | $155 | 60 |
| 1505 S Bloomington St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 786 (-15%) | 8mo | $79,000 | $101 | 57 |
| 1310 S Illinois St | 0.47mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 900 (-3%) | 12mo | $140,000 | $156 | 57 |
| 919 S Vermillion St | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 1,032 (+12%) | 9mo | $155,000 | $150 | 50 |
| 1024 E 12th St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 800 (-14%) | 13mo | $105,000 | $131 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $1,528
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $23,176
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61364
- Home prices YoY
- -31.1%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,172 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$123 /mo · $1,473/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$246
- Net cashflow
- $265
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $319 | -5% $292 | +0% $265 | +5% $238 | +10% $212 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $173 | -5% $219 | +0% $265 | +5% $312 | +10% $358 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $313 | -0.5pp $290 | base $265 | +0.5pp $241 | +1.0pp $216 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1802 S Church St Streator, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,200 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 614 Carriage Lane Ests Unit 614 Streator, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,127 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 402 S Illinois St Streator, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $1,550 | $1.39 | 22d | 1 | 0.91mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $95,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $95,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $95,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $95,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-02-12$95,000 Active 212-char remark
Show marketing remark (212 chars)
Take a look at this quaint 2 bedroom 1 bathroom home in woodland school district. This house features enclosed porch and a attached one car garage. New flooring throughout. Take a look today. Motivated Seller!
-
2015-03-11historical
-
2014-09-15New
-
1997-04-29soldstatus $33,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,473 · $123/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,815 · $151/mo
- Expected delta
- +$342/yr (+$28/mo · 23.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,064
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,473
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,125
- − Management
- −$1,125
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $1,781
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$427
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,757/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Woodland CUSD 5
- NCES district ID
- 1738070
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,035
- Composite
- 17.37/100
- National rank
- #9071
- State rank
- #427 of 620 in IL
Livability — Streator
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #752
- US rank
- #15266
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- La Salle County · 41,676 people
- City population
- 17,963
- Metro
- Ottawa, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,963
- Household income
- $59,060
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 450.0
Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 32,749 people
- By 2030
- 30,848 · -5.8%
- By 2040
- 27,357 · -16.5%
- By 2050
- 24,048 · -26.6%
- By 2075
- 17,574 · -46.3%
- By 2100
- 12,096 · -63.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 4% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Livingston
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.3) · D 26.1% · R 72.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.2pp · 2024: -46.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.3 2020: R+44.2 2016: R+41.0 2012: R+31.5 2008: R+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.28%
- Current HPI
- 233.5533
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Ottawa, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+187.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-12 Listed $95,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-03-11 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-15 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1997-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2024): $1,473 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…