5312 Court G · Fairfield, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a great opportunity to own a full brick, one level home at a low cost. Whether you are an investor or looking for a home to live in, this could be the one you have been waiting on. Come on out and look.
Key facts
- One level
- Full brick home
- 5,227 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $346 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 10.2% in Fairfield — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#160 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Fairfield City (suburban): math 2% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #125 of 129 in AL (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 632 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (35%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 632 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.84%
- DSCR
- 2.02
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $70,315
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -7.56%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5219 Court G | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,140 (-9%) | 4mo | $47,000 | $41 | 71 |
| 405 55th St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,207 (-3%) | 2mo | $99,000 | $82 | 71 |
| 821 46th St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,254 (+0%) | 0mo | $116,000 | $93 | 70 |
| 704 61st St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,184 (-5%) | 3mo | $88,500 | $75 | 65 |
| 513 Lloyd Noland Pkwy | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,212 (-3%) | 3mo | $77,900 | $64 | 62 |
| 1105 50th St Ensley | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,204 (-4%) | 5mo | $106,000 | $88 | 57 |
| 1037 W 51st St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,392 (+12%) | 3mo | $174,000 | $125 | 54 |
| 1112 47th St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 1,166 (-7%) | 5mo | $83,000 | $71 | 52 |
| 117 62nd St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 1,220 (-2%) | 9mo | $61,000 | $50 | 51 |
| 109 60th St | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 | 1,148 (-8%) | 4mo | $86,850 | $76 | 50 |
| 940 47th Street Ensley | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,100 (-12%) | 0mo | $49,000 | $45 | 49 |
| 5314 Belrosa Ter | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 1,078 (-14%) | 6mo | $25,000 | $23 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $11,576
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 24.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.12×
- Total profit
- $38,672
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35064
- Home prices YoY
- -28.8%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,064 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$127 /mo · $1,518/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $346
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5219 Court G Unit G Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $950 | $0.83 | 23d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 5406 Court G Unit G Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $1,199 | $0.83 | 12d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 5503 Myron Massey Blvd Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1119 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 829 51st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1203 | $1,340 | $1.11 | 3d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 5316 Court I Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1284 | $1,200 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 704 61st St Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1184 | $1,050 | $0.89 | 23d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 5712 Monte Sano Rd Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 410 54th St Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $700 | $0.66 | 3d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 813 46th St Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $825 | $0.75 | 10d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1045 57th St Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $775 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 920 47th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $895 | $0.84 | 3d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 5710 Monte Sano Dr Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 518 Oak Pl Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1236 | $875 | $0.71 | 19d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 435 62nd St Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1249 | $985 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1037 47th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1299 | $1,000 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5001 Farrell Ave Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1218 | $995 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 502 64th St Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $695 | $0.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 621 Valley Rd Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 935 | $900 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 209 58th St Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1468 | $1,200 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1112 47th St W Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1166 | $975 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1309 41st St Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 931 41st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1048 | $995 | $0.95 | 3d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 728 41st St Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1316 | $1,100 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 125 Jerry Coleman St Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $725 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1410 46th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1429 47th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $750 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1340 Pineview Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,075 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 708 40th St Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $650 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1272 Meadow Ln Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $800 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5717 Avenue O Unit O Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $1,250 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 5725 Avenue O Unit O Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $1,073 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 518 41st St Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1095 | $1,200 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 5808 Court O Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1227 | $1,100 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5516 Avenue P Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,000 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1515 45th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $875 | $0.61 | 3d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1509 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,123 | $0.89 | 12d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1556 Burgin Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $1,100 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5713 Avenue P Unit P Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 19d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1632 51st St W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1337 | $1,000 | $0.75 | 2d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1632 51st Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1337 | $1,100 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 632 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 631 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 630 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 629 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 627 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $65,000 Active 624 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 623 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 622 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 621 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 617 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 616 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 615 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 614 DOM
-
2026-04-04price $65,000 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
This is a great opportunity to own a full brick, one level home at a low cost. Whether you are an investor or looking for a home to live in, this could be the one you have been waiting on. Come on out and look.
-
2025-09-23price $83,900 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
This is a great opportunity to own a full brick, one level home at a low cost. Whether you are an investor or looking for a home to live in, this could be the one you have been waiting on. Come on out and look.
-
2025-03-28status Active 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
This is a great opportunity to own a full brick, one level home at a low cost. Whether you are an investor or looking for a home to live in, this could be the one you have been waiting on. Come on out and look.
-
2025-01-31historical Contingent 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
This is a great opportunity to own a full brick, one level home at a low cost. Whether you are an investor or looking for a home to live in, this could be the one you have been waiting on. Come on out and look.
-
2024-09-24$99,900 Active 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
This is a great opportunity to own a full brick, one level home at a low cost. Whether you are an investor or looking for a home to live in, this could be the one you have been waiting on. Come on out and look.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,518 · $127/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,518 · $127/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,774
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$1,518
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,022
- − Management
- −$1,022
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $3,355
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$805
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,352/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fairfield City
- NCES district ID
- 0101440
- Math proficiency
- 2% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,288
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9974
- State rank
- #125 of 129 in AL
Livability — Fairfield
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #160
- US rank
- #14390
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fairfield, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 9,872
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,872
- Household income
- $48,692
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 784.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% White 7% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.47%
- Current HPI
- 124.7012
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-34.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-04 Price Changed $65,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-09-23 Price Changed $83,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-03-28 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-01-31 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-09-24 Listed $99,900 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
-0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,518 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…