17751 Panama City Beach Pkwy Unit 8E · Panama City Beach, FL 32413

$219,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · Condo public records · 4 Days on market

Built 1987

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +17.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +7.3/10.0
• DSCR +5.3/10.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Rent growth +2.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Great townhome condo. Park right at your front door. Closest unit to the beach access. Community boosts pool, tennis, pet walk area, additional laundry room on property. Condo fees cover landscape, Exterior Insurance, and trash. Owner currently manages the short term rentals.

Key facts

• Tennis
• Pet walk area
• Community pool

Tags

• BEACH ACCESS
• COMMUNITY POOL
• TENNIS
• PET WALK AREA
• ADDITIONAL LAUNDRY ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: All units furnished
• HOA & community: Has homeowners association; Clubhouse; Conference/meeting room; Laundry facilities; Pool; Community pool; Tennis courts; Short-term rentals allowed

Exterior

• Parking: Paved parking
• Utilities: Cable connected; Electricity available; Underground utilities; Public sewer
• Home design: Multifamily residence; 2 stories; Entry level: 1
• Construction: Stucco construction; Composition/shingle roof; Slab foundation; Building includes dumpster
• Exterior features: Covered patio; Balcony, deck, covered porch; Community in-ground pool

Interior

• Kitchen: Gas range
• Bedrooms: Bedroom on second level (12 x 10); Bedroom on second level (13 x 12)
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
• Interior features: Accessible central living area; Accessible entrance; Balcony; Shower only
• Laundry & utility: Stacked washer/dryer; Gas water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $219k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $148 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $219k).
• Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.6% in Panama City Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#172 in FL, #2,624 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
• Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 1249 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 7 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $165k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $219,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
2. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.23% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.11%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.90%
• DSCR: 1.13
• GRM: 6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.52% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -15.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.47×
• Total profit: $-32,276
• Equity at exit: $32,654

10-year hold

• IRR: -13.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.34×
• Total profit: $-40,251
• Equity at exit: $18,935

Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32413

• Home prices YoY: -34.4%
• Rents YoY: 0.5%
• Active inventory: 1249
• Price-to-rent: 6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,699 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,148
• Tax from tax record: −$247 /mo · $2,961/yr
• Insurance: −$91
• HOA est. from 5 same-building comps: −$497
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$567
• Net cashflow: $148

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,511

Max offer price $219,000

Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $272	-5% $210	+0% $148	+5% $86	+10% $24
Rent	-10% $-65	-5% $42	+0% $148	+5% $255	+10% $362
Rate	-1.0pp $259	-0.5pp $204	base $148	+0.5pp $92	+1.0pp $34

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $54,750
• Closing costs: $6,570
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 12 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
17751 Panama City Beach Pkwy Unit 1523371P Panama City Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1097	$3,862	$3.52	21d	1	0.11mi
17751 Panama City Beach Pkwy Unit 2E Panama City Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1100	$2,600	$2.36	21d	1	0.14mi
17614 Front Beach Rd Unit 16D Panama City Beach, FL	2.0	1.0	748	$1,600	$2.14	21d	1	0.15mi
17735 Front Beach Rd Unit 1447171P Panama City Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1227	$4,925	$4.01	21d	1	0.18mi
17729 Front Beach Rd Unit 1355005P Panama City Beach, FL	1.0	2.0	882	$2,038	$2.31	14d	1	0.19mi
17545 Front Beach Rd Unit 1523333P Panama City, FL	2.0	2.0	1140	$6,472	$5.68	14d	1	0.38mi
17462 Front Beach Rd Unit 1 Panama City Beach, FL	1.0	1.0	900	$1,950	$2.17	21d	1	0.50mi
127 Heather Dr Panama City Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1297	$2,350	$1.81	14d	1	0.88mi
17225 Panama City Beach Pkwy Panama City Beach, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	981	$1,719	$1.75	14d	10	1.01mi
102 Cabana Cay Cir Panama City Beach, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	950	$2,143	$2.26	14d	26	1.08mi
19610 Alta Vista Dr Panama City Beach, FL	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,400	$1.40	14d	1	1.18mi
17155 Front Beach Rd Unit 1354915P Panama City Beach, FL	2.0	2.0	1194	$2,498	$2.09	21d	1	1.21mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $0 · $0/yr
• Likely covers: trashpool
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $219,000 Active 4 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $219,000 Active 3 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $219,000 Active 2 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   remarks 276-char remark
5. 2026-06-16
   listed $219,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,961 · $247/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,961 · $247/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $32,383
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,267
• − Property taxes: −$2,961
• − Insurance: −$1,095
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,591
• − Management: −$2,591
• − HOA: −$5,964
• − Depreciation: −$6,371
• Taxable loss: −$1,457
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$350
• After-tax cash flow: $2,131/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Bay
• NCES district ID: 1200090
• Math proficiency: 51% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 51% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $47,740
• Composite: 43.41/100
• National rank: #3014
• State rank: #29 of 73 in FL

Livability — Panama City Beach

• Score: 78/100
• State rank: #172
• US rank: #2624

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Panama City Beach, FL
• County: Bay County · 163,593 people
• City population: 50,689
• Metro: Panama City, FL
• Population (ZIP): 15,453
• Household income: $80,039
• Rent vs Own: 29.8% rent · 70.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 531.0

Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 206,264 people
• By 2030: 217,740 · +5.6%
• By 2040: 238,738 · +15.7%
• By 2050: 255,545 · +23.9%
• By 2075: 288,295 · +39.8%
• By 2100: 288,638 · +39.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (87%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 87% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Bay

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -185.97%
• Current HPI: 354.7469
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.52%
• Metro: Panama City, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+32.7% since first listed

14 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-15 Listed $219,000 CPARMLS
• 2021-12-14 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
• 2021-12-14 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
• 2020-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
• 2020-03-25 Sold (MLS) $165,000 CPARMLS
• 2020-02-08 Listed $165,000 CPARMLS
• 2008-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $122,500 Public Records
• 2008-03-27 Sold (MLS) $122,500 CPARMLS
• 2007-08-01 Listed $155,000 CPARMLS
• 2007-07-19 Listing Removed — NAMLS
• 2007-03-04 Listed $179,000 NAMLS
• 2007-03-04 Listed $179,000 ECAR
• 2007-03-04 Listed $179,000 CPARMLS
• 2006-01-24 Listed $165,000 CPARMLS

Property tax history

+10.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,961 · -2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.