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30780 Weiss Rd
D+ Composite 45.45
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.3/30.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -4.0

$140,000

30780 Weiss Rd · Walker, LA 70785
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · Manufactured · 16 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 2018 Good condition 0.48 ac lot $117/sqft · 13% below area Est $162k · 13% under ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this beautifully maintained home nestled on nearly half an acre in Walker. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath home is move in ready and located in a peaceful, country setting. Inside you will find an open floor plan where the living area and kitchen flow seamlessly. The primary bedroom features a large walk-in closet while the ensuite bathroom features a relaxing soaking tub and separate shower. Home is located in Flood Zone X, so does not require flood insurance. Home can qualify for 100% financing for qualified buyers.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Soaking tub
  • Separate shower

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANLARGE WALK-IN CLOSETSOAKING TUBSEPARATE SHOWERPEACEFUL COUNTRY SETTING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-93 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (9.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (14.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (14.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.0% in Walker — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#19 in LA, #3,999 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Livingston Parish (suburban): math 40% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #13 of 98 in LA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 454 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 794 units permitted in Livingston Parish in 2024 (99 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Livingston County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $119,097 (14.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85% ✗
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.82%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$161,500
List price
$140,000
Delta
-13.31%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
30772 Weiss Rd 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,200 (0%) 5mo $158,000 $132 95
19952 Georgia St 1.27mi 3/2.0 1,154 (-4%) 7mo $109,900 $95 53
3000 Ware Ln 2.24mi 3/2.0 1,280 (+7%) 12mo $92,500 $72 44
29549 Bloss Ave 1.88mi 3/2.0 1,323 (+10%) 13mo $159,900 $121 37
20110 Circle Dr 1.56mi 3/1.0 856 (-29%) 4mo $108,000 $126 32
29985 Bram St 1.78mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,542 (+28%) 5mo $255,000 $165 31
29741 S Cedar St 1.84mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,330 (+11%) 14mo $169,900 $128 31
20260 Iowa St 1.70mi 3/2.0 1,450 (+21%) 13mo $215,940 $149 30
29631 Cedar St 1.95mi 3/2.0 1,540 (+28%) 14mo $220,000 $143 29
21018 April Ln 2.04mi 3/2.0 1,540 (+28%) 15mo $250,000 $162 28
29928 Cypress St 1.68mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,441 (+20%) 8mo $165,000 $115 25
29946 Shell Hughes Ln 1.84mi 3/1.0 996 (-17%) 17mo $149,900 $151 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.0%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-28,557
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
-14.3%
Equity multiple
0.18×
Total profit
$-32,263
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
1 active · 1 under contract
Months of supply
6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$140,000 ($117/sqft)
Median days on market
16 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
+15.4% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 70785

Home prices YoY
-34.0%
Active inventory
454
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,191 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax est. 1.5%
−$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
Insurance
−$58
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
−$0
Lot rent leased land?
−$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
−$250
Net cashflow
$-93

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,309
Max offer price $126,528
Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $4 -5% $-45 +0% $-93 +5% $-141 +10% $-190
Rent -10% $-187 -5% $-140 +0% $-93 +5% $-46 +10% $1
Rate -1.0pp $-23 -0.5pp $-57 base $-93 +0.5pp $-129 +1.0pp $-166

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
—
Total cash needed
—

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Property features AI

Exterior

Parking
DrivewayGravel parking
Utilities
Public waterSeptic tank
Home design
Traditional styleOne level
Construction
Pillar/post/pier foundation
Exterior features
ShedStorage

Interior

Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Central heatingCentral airCeiling fan(s)
Interior features
Walk-in closet(s)Separate showerEn suite

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-11-08
    days on market $140,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-11-07
    days on market $140,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-11-06
    days on market $140,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-11-05
    days on market $140,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-11-04
    pricedays on market $140,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-11-02
    days on market $149,500 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-11-01
    days on market $149,500 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-10-31
    days on market $149,500 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-10-30
    days on market $149,500 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-10-29
    days on market $149,500 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-10-28
    days on market $149,500 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-10-27
    days on market $149,500 Active 4 DOM
  13. 2026-10-26
    days on market $149,500 Active 3 DOM
  14. 2026-10-26
    days on marketlisting id $149,500 Active 2 DOM
  15. 2026-10-23
    days on market $149,500 Active 190 DOM
  16. 2026-10-22
    days on market $149,500 Active 189 DOM
  17. 2026-10-21
    days on market $149,500 Active 188 DOM
  18. 2026-10-20
    days on market $149,500 Active 187 DOM
  19. 2026-10-19
    days on market $149,500 Active 186 DOM
  20. 2026-10-18
    days on market $149,500 Active 185 DOM
  21. 2026-10-17
    days on market $149,500 Active 184 DOM
  22. 2026-10-16
    days on market $149,500 Active 183 DOM
  23. 2026-10-15
    days on market $149,500 Active 182 DOM
  24. 2026-10-14
    days on market $149,500 Active 181 DOM
  25. 2026-10-13
    days on market $149,500 Active 180 DOM
  26. 2026-10-12
    days on market $149,500 Active 179 DOM
  27. 2026-10-11
    days on market $149,500 Active 178 DOM
  28. 2026-10-10
    days on market $149,500 Active 177 DOM
  29. 2026-10-09
    days on market $149,500 Active 176 DOM
  30. 2026-10-08
    days on market $149,500 Active 175 DOM
  31. 2026-10-07
    days on market $149,500 Active 174 DOM
  32. 2026-10-06
    days on market $149,500 Active 173 DOM
  33. 2026-10-05
    days on market $149,500 Active 172 DOM
  34. 2026-10-04
    days on market $149,500 Active 171 DOM
  35. 2026-10-03
    days on market $149,500 Active 170 DOM
  36. 2026-10-02
    days on market $149,500 Active 169 DOM
  37. 2026-10-01
    days on market $149,500 Active 168 DOM
  38. 2026-09-30
    days on market $149,500 Active 167 DOM
  39. 2026-09-29
    days on market $149,500 Active 166 DOM
  40. 2026-09-28
    days on market $149,500 Active 165 DOM
  41. 2026-09-27
    days on market $149,500 Active 164 DOM
  42. 2026-09-25
    days on market $149,500 Active 162 DOM
  43. 2026-09-24
    days on market $149,500 Active 161 DOM
  44. 2026-09-23
    days on market $149,500 Active 160 DOM
  45. 2026-09-22
    days on market $149,500 Active 159 DOM
  46. 2026-09-21
    days on market $149,500 Active 158 DOM
  47. 2026-09-20
    days on market $149,500 Active 157 DOM
  48. 2026-09-19
    days on market $149,500 Active 156 DOM
  49. 2026-09-18
    days on market $149,500 Active 155 DOM
  50. 2026-09-17
    days on market $149,500 Active 154 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,292
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$2,100
− Insurance
−$1,498
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,143
− Management
−$1,143
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable loss
−$3,507
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$842
After-tax cash flow
$-275/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $6,000–$18,000 screening

This move-in ready manufactured home is in good condition with modern appliances and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good return on investment with minor updates to enhance curb appeal and property value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
  • Both Add a small shed or storage unit — Provides additional storage and enhances property value ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Livingston Parish
NCES district ID
2201020
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -38.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -32.00%
Median HH income
$56,755
Composite
40.07/100
National rank
#3811
State rank
#13 of 98 in LA
B Composite livability gradescore 75/100

Livability — Walker

Score
75/100
State rank
#19
US rank
#3999

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Livingston Parish · 158,511 people
City population
23,921
Metro
Baton Rouge, LA
Population (ZIP)
23,921
Household income
$89,103
Rent vs Own
16.2% rent · 83.8% own
Severe rent burden
6% of renters

Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
158,511 people
By 2030
168,241 · +6.1%
By 2040
186,252 · +17.5%
By 2050
201,516 · +27.1%
By 2075
231,217 · +45.9%
By 2100
241,697 · +52.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Black 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Chinese 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Livingston

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.5) · D 15.1% · R 83.6% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+3.4pp toward D · 2008: -71.9pp · 2024: -68.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.5 2020: R+70.0 2016: R+72.5 2012: R+70.4 2008: R+71.9

Not yet ingested

Civics
—

Price history

-5.4% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-08-23 Price Changed $149,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-08-23 Price Changed $149,500 GBRMLS
  • 2026-06-15 Price Changed $153,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-06-15 Price Changed $153,000 GBRMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $158,000 GBRMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $149,500 ROAM MLS
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $158,000 AcadianaMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…