74711 Dillon Rd #770 · Sky Valley, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- D
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $544 – $1,084
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to family friendly Sky Valley Resort! This beautiful park model home with an additional California room is tastefully decorated and sold turn-key furnished. Beautiful and light laminate flooring, solid wood custom blinds, beautiful mountain view of the mountains from the living room window, tall ceilings, flowing floorplan, fully fenced for privacy, 2 storage sheds, upgraded cabinets, coffee-bar, ship-lap in the bathroom, washer/dryer combo, spacious California room for extra sleeping, enclosed and serene private patio. Enjoy the friendly atmosphere of Sky Valley Resort with the rare geo-thermal mineral water in the pools and spas, pickleball, tennis, dog park, cafe, Chapel, open Desert hiking and so much more. Enjoy downtown Palm Springs, fine dining and shopping on El Paseo, PGA tournaments, art Festivals, tennis tournaments, music festivals, and warm winters! Comes with a low monthly space rent of 716.00! This is a perfect permanent home or weekend getaway or a vacation rental! This home is a gem and a must see!
Key facts
- Fully fenced
- Pickleball
- Private patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $640 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.1% vs local median 9.6% in Sky Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 52/100 on livability (#1,041 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 252 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $65k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 252 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.20%
- DSCR
- 2.88
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $44,400
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- 46.40%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74711 Dillon Rd Spc 881 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 600 (+5%) | 4mo | $63,000 | $105 | 88 |
| 74711 Dillon Rd #716 | 0.17mi | 1/1.0 | 550 (-4%) | 5mo | $44,400 | $81 | 82 |
| 74711 Dillon Rd #736 | 0.00mi | 1/1.5 | 600 (+5%) | 12mo | $80,000 | $133 | 79 |
| 74711 Dillon Rd #111 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 580 (+2%) | 22mo | $72,500 | $125 | 79 |
| 74711 Dillon Rd Spc 218 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 600 (+5%) | 16mo | $40,000 | $67 | 78 |
| 74711 Dillon Rd #800 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 600 (+5%) | 11mo | $31,000 | $52 | 77 |
| 74711 Dillon Rd #100 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 600 (+5%) | 22mo | $44,000 | $73 | 68 |
| 74711 Dillon Rd #958 | 0.17mi | 1/1.0 | 500 (-12%) | 5mo | $33,000 | $66 | 67 |
| 74711 Dillon Rd #842 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 610 (+7%) | 19mo | $92,000 | $151 | 67 |
| 74711 Dillon Rd #960 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 650 (+14%) | 12mo | $74,000 | $114 | 62 |
| 74711 Dillon Rd Spc 89 | 0.16mi | 1/1.0 | 650 (+14%) | 17mo | $88,000 | $135 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.66×
- Total profit
- $30,257
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 45.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.34×
- Total profit
- $78,928
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92241
- Home prices YoY
- -22.8%
- Active inventory
- 216
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,379 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$290
- Net cashflow
- $640
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 252 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 251 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 249 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 247 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 246 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 242 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 241 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $65,000 Active 238 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 237 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 236 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 235 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 234 DOM
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2026-04-07price $65,000 1040-char remark
Show marketing remark (1040 chars)
Welcome to family friendly Sky Valley Resort! This beautiful park model home with an additional California room is tastefully decorated and sold turn-key furnished. Beautiful and light laminate flooring, solid wood custom blinds, beautiful mountain view of the mountains from the living room window, tall ceilings, flowing floorplan, fully fenced for privacy, 2 storage sheds, upgraded cabinets, coffee-bar, ship-lap in the bathroom, washer/dryer combo, spacious California room for extra sleeping, enclosed and serene private patio. Enjoy the friendly atmosphere of Sky Valley Resort with the rare geo-thermal mineral water in the pools and spas, pickleball, tennis, dog park, cafe, Chapel, open Desert hiking and so much more. Enjoy downtown Palm Springs, fine dining and shopping on El Paseo, PGA tournaments, art Festivals, tennis tournaments, music festivals, and warm winters! Comes with a low monthly space rent of 716.00! This is a perfect permanent home or weekend getaway or a vacation rental! This home is a gem and a must see!
-
2026-02-26price $69,000 1040-char remark
Show marketing remark (1040 chars)
Welcome to family friendly Sky Valley Resort! This beautiful park model home with an additional California room is tastefully decorated and sold turn-key furnished. Beautiful and light laminate flooring, solid wood custom blinds, beautiful mountain view of the mountains from the living room window, tall ceilings, flowing floorplan, fully fenced for privacy, 2 storage sheds, upgraded cabinets, coffee-bar, ship-lap in the bathroom, washer/dryer combo, spacious California room for extra sleeping, enclosed and serene private patio. Enjoy the friendly atmosphere of Sky Valley Resort with the rare geo-thermal mineral water in the pools and spas, pickleball, tennis, dog park, cafe, Chapel, open Desert hiking and so much more. Enjoy downtown Palm Springs, fine dining and shopping on El Paseo, PGA tournaments, art Festivals, tennis tournaments, music festivals, and warm winters! Comes with a low monthly space rent of 716.00! This is a perfect permanent home or weekend getaway or a vacation rental! This home is a gem and a must see!
-
2025-10-15price $75,000 1040-char remark
Show marketing remark (1040 chars)
Welcome to family friendly Sky Valley Resort! This beautiful park model home with an additional California room is tastefully decorated and sold turn-key furnished. Beautiful and light laminate flooring, solid wood custom blinds, beautiful mountain view of the mountains from the living room window, tall ceilings, flowing floorplan, fully fenced for privacy, 2 storage sheds, upgraded cabinets, coffee-bar, ship-lap in the bathroom, washer/dryer combo, spacious California room for extra sleeping, enclosed and serene private patio. Enjoy the friendly atmosphere of Sky Valley Resort with the rare geo-thermal mineral water in the pools and spas, pickleball, tennis, dog park, cafe, Chapel, open Desert hiking and so much more. Enjoy downtown Palm Springs, fine dining and shopping on El Paseo, PGA tournaments, art Festivals, tennis tournaments, music festivals, and warm winters! Comes with a low monthly space rent of 716.00! This is a perfect permanent home or weekend getaway or a vacation rental! This home is a gem and a must see!
-
2025-10-09$79,900 Active 1040-char remark
Show marketing remark (1040 chars)
Welcome to family friendly Sky Valley Resort! This beautiful park model home with an additional California room is tastefully decorated and sold turn-key furnished. Beautiful and light laminate flooring, solid wood custom blinds, beautiful mountain view of the mountains from the living room window, tall ceilings, flowing floorplan, fully fenced for privacy, 2 storage sheds, upgraded cabinets, coffee-bar, ship-lap in the bathroom, washer/dryer combo, spacious California room for extra sleeping, enclosed and serene private patio. Enjoy the friendly atmosphere of Sky Valley Resort with the rare geo-thermal mineral water in the pools and spas, pickleball, tennis, dog park, cafe, Chapel, open Desert hiking and so much more. Enjoy downtown Palm Springs, fine dining and shopping on El Paseo, PGA tournaments, art Festivals, tennis tournaments, music festivals, and warm winters! Comes with a low monthly space rent of 716.00! This is a perfect permanent home or weekend getaway or a vacation rental! This home is a gem and a must see!
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2025-07-14historical
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2025-01-24price $79,500
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2024-12-31$79,900 Active
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2020-12-01historical
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2020-11-29soldstatus $40,000 Closed
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2020-11-02historical
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2020-11-02$43,900
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2019-07-29status Pending
-
2019-07-29soldstatus $27,000 Closed
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2019-07-29soldstatus $27,000 Sold
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2019-07-10historical Contingent
-
2019-07-03$29,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,546
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,324
- − Management
- −$1,324
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $7,067
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,696
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,985/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained, turn-key furnished park model home in Sky Valley Resort is ready for immediate occupancy and offers a great value with its modern updates and desirable location.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both painting — refreshes the interior and exterior
- Resale upgrading kitchen appliances — modernizes the kitchen and appeals to buyers
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both painting — refreshes the interior and exterior ↑
- Resale upgrading kitchen appliances — modernizes the kitchen and appeals to buyers ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Springs Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0629550
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,638
- Composite
- 26.76/100
- National rank
- #7131
- State rank
- #328 of 517 in CA
Livability — Sky Valley
- Score
- 52/100
- State rank
- #1041
- US rank
- #25108
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sky Valley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,624
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Hispanic / Latino 46% Two or more races 16% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 38% Chinese 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.23%
- Current HPI
- 400.5663
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+117.4% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $65,000 GPSMLS
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $69,000 GPSMLS
- 2025-10-15 Price Changed $75,000 GPSMLS
- 2025-10-09 Listed $79,900 GPSMLS
- 2025-07-14 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2025-01-24 Price Changed $79,500 GPSMLS
- 2024-12-31 Listed $79,900 GPSMLS
- 2020-12-01 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2020-11-29 Sold (MLS) $40,000 GPSMLS
- 2020-11-02 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2020-11-02 Listed $43,900 GPSMLS
- 2019-07-29 Pending — GPSMLS
- 2019-07-29 Sold (MLS) $27,000 GPSMLS
- 2019-07-29 Sold (MLS) $27,000 GPSMLS
- 2019-07-10 Contingent — GPSMLS
- 2019-07-03 Listed $29,900 GPSMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…