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11770 Greenwell Springs Rd
C Composite 58.7
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,800

11770 Greenwell Springs Rd · Monticello, LA 70814
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,315 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 47 Days on market
Built 1940 1.59 ac lot $80/sqft · 40% below area Est $180k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Great location. Fixer upper, huge lot, and large workshop

Key facts

  • Investment property
  • Large workshop
  • Huge lot

Tags

INVESTMENT PROPERTYFIXER UPPERHUGE LOTLARGE WORKSHOP

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 1.59 acres (lot dimensions: 190 x 396 x 150 x 509); About 1,330 square feet

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking; Open parking available
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family detached residential property
  • Construction: Built with asbestos siding/materials; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Driveway; Open parking

Interior

  • Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 partial bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Tile and vinyl flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $106k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $148 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $106k).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#177 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $731 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $102,626 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
7.97%
Cash-on-cash
6.00%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$179,619
List price
$105,800
Delta
-41.10%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11733 Biscayne Dr 0.21mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,189 (-10%) 1mo $147,500 $124 68
4544 Coral Dr 0.13mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,290 (-2%) 23mo $155,500 $121 67
11575 Biscayne Dr 0.35mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,248 (-5%) 10mo $169,900 $136 62
4668 W Green Ridge Dr 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,212 (-8%) 1mo $199,000 $164 62
4566 Coral Dr 0.12mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,176 (-11%) 18mo $180,000 $153 57
11541 Biscayne Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,265 (-4%) 14mo $199,900 $158 57
5047 W Erin Ave 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,396 (+6%) 13mo $165,000 $118 51
11953 E Banofax Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,334 (+1%) 14mo $195,000 $146 44
3966 Pensacola Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,478 (+12%) 1mo $205,000 $139 44
3843 Pensacola Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,362 (+4%) 18mo $195,000 $143 41
4217 Norwich Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,470 (+12%) 11mo $200,000 $136 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.0%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-7,703
Equity at exit
$15,775
10-year hold
IRR
2.6%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$5,490
Equity at exit
$9,148

Cash invested: $29,624 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70814

Home prices YoY
-19.5%
Active inventory
69
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,109 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$555
Tax from tax record
$129 /mo · $1,547/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$233
Net cashflow
$148

Break-even live

Break-even rent $921
Max offer price $105,800
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,450
Closing costs
$3,174
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15855 Sunderland Ave Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.5 1150 $900 $0.78 44d 1 0.56mi
13548 E Shamrock Ave Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 2.0 1380 $1,600 $1.16 14d 1 1.03mi
10252 El Scott Ave Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.5 895 $850 $0.95 44d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,800 Active 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on market $105,800 Active 46 DOM
    Show marketing remark (141 chars)

    Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Great location. Fixer upper, huge lot, and large workshop

  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 45 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 44 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $115,000 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $115,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 36 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $115,000 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $115,000 Active 32 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 31 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 30 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 29 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 28 DOM
  16. 2026-05-16
    status Active 141-char remark
    Show marketing remark (141 chars)

    Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Great location. Fixer upper, huge lot, and large workshop

  17. 2026-05-16
    status Active 141-char remark
    Show marketing remark (141 chars)

    Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Great location. Fixer upper, huge lot, and large workshop

  18. 2026-05-13
    status Pending 141-char remark
    Show marketing remark (141 chars)

    Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Great location. Fixer upper, huge lot, and large workshop

  19. 2026-05-13
    status Pending 141-char remark
    Show marketing remark (141 chars)

    Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Great location. Fixer upper, huge lot, and large workshop

  20. 2026-04-29
    listed $115,000 Active 141-char remark
    Show marketing remark (141 chars)

    Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Great location. Fixer upper, huge lot, and large workshop

  21. 2026-04-29
    listed $115,000 Active 141-char remark
    Show marketing remark (141 chars)

    Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Great location. Fixer upper, huge lot, and large workshop

  22. 2016-01-05
    soldstatus Sold
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Land can be rezoned commercial use. Great location. Fixer upper, with large workshop. When it was used as a rental owner received $1200 for the last 3 years. Great opportunity for multi-use property.

  23. 2016-01-05
    soldstatus $114,000
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Land can be rezoned commercial use. Great location. Fixer upper, with large workshop. When it was used as a rental owner received $1200 for the last 3 years. Great opportunity for multi-use property.

  24. 2015-11-30
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Land can be rezoned commercial use. Great location. Fixer upper, with large workshop. When it was used as a rental owner received $1200 for the last 3 years. Great opportunity for multi-use property.

  25. 2015-11-24
    historical
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Land can be rezoned commercial use. Great location. Fixer upper, with large workshop. When it was used as a rental owner received $1200 for the last 3 years. Great opportunity for multi-use property.

  26. 2015-09-28
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Land can be rezoned commercial use. Great location. Fixer upper, with large workshop. When it was used as a rental owner received $1200 for the last 3 years. Great opportunity for multi-use property.

  27. 2015-08-25
    listed $134,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Land can be rezoned commercial use. Great location. Fixer upper, with large workshop. When it was used as a rental owner received $1200 for the last 3 years. Great opportunity for multi-use property.

  28. 2015-08-25
    listed $134,900
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Land can be rezoned commercial use. Great location. Fixer upper, with large workshop. When it was used as a rental owner received $1200 for the last 3 years. Great opportunity for multi-use property.

  29. 2006-07-19
    listed $299,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,547 · $129/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,547 · $129/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,304
− Mortgage interest
−$5,926
− Property taxes
−$1,547
− Insurance
−$529
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,064
− Management
−$1,064
− Depreciation
−$3,078
Taxable income
$95
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$23
After-tax cash flow
$1,753/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Baton Rouge Parish
NCES district ID
2200540
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -36.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -31.00%
Median HH income
$46,263
Composite
24.14/100
National rank
#7745
State rank
#47 of 98 in LA

Livability — Monticello

Score
64/100
State rank
#177
US rank
#14662

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Monticello, LA
Population (ZIP)
11,424

Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
464,810 people
By 2030
472,137 · +1.6%
By 2040
480,243 · +3.3%
By 2050
484,422 · +4.2%
By 2075
492,069 · +5.9%
By 2100
476,347 · +2.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (83%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 83% Hispanic / Latino 8% White 7% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge

2024 margin
D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
+8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.79%
Current HPI
210.2213
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-64.7% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Price Changed $105,800 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-06-17 Price Changed $105,800 GBRMLS
  • 2026-05-16 Relisted AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-05-16 Relisted GBRMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Pending AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Pending GBRMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $115,000 GBRMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $115,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2016-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $114,000 Public Records
  • 2016-01-05 Sold (MLS) GBRMLS
  • 2015-11-30 Pending GBRMLS
  • 2015-11-24 Delisted GBRMLS
  • 2015-09-28 Pending GBRMLS
  • 2015-08-25 Listed $134,900 GBRMLS
  • 2015-08-25 Listed $134,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2006-07-19 Listed $299,900 GBRMLS

Property tax history

+15.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,547 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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