11770 Greenwell Springs Rd · Monticello, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,800
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Great location. Fixer upper, huge lot, and large workshop
Key facts
- Investment property
- Large workshop
- Huge lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 1.59 acres (lot dimensions: 190 x 396 x 150 x 509); About 1,330 square feet
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; Open parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family detached residential property
- Construction: Built with asbestos siding/materials; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Driveway; Open parking
Interior
- Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 partial bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Tile and vinyl flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $106k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $148 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $106k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#177 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $731 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.00%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $179,619
- List price
- $105,800
- Delta
- -41.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11733 Biscayne Dr | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,189 (-10%) | 1mo | $147,500 | $124 | 68 |
| 4544 Coral Dr | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,290 (-2%) | 23mo | $155,500 | $121 | 67 |
| 11575 Biscayne Dr | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,248 (-5%) | 10mo | $169,900 | $136 | 62 |
| 4668 W Green Ridge Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,212 (-8%) | 1mo | $199,000 | $164 | 62 |
| 4566 Coral Dr | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,176 (-11%) | 18mo | $180,000 | $153 | 57 |
| 11541 Biscayne Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,265 (-4%) | 14mo | $199,900 | $158 | 57 |
| 5047 W Erin Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,396 (+6%) | 13mo | $165,000 | $118 | 51 |
| 11953 E Banofax Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,334 (+1%) | 14mo | $195,000 | $146 | 44 |
| 3966 Pensacola Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,478 (+12%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $139 | 44 |
| 3843 Pensacola Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,362 (+4%) | 18mo | $195,000 | $143 | 41 |
| 4217 Norwich Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,470 (+12%) | 11mo | $200,000 | $136 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-7,703
- Equity at exit
- $15,775
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $5,490
- Equity at exit
- $9,148
Cash invested: $29,624 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70814
- Home prices YoY
- -19.5%
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,109 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$555
- Tax from tax record
- −$129 /mo · $1,547/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $148
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,450
- Closing costs
- $3,174
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15855 Sunderland Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $900 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 13548 E Shamrock Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,600 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 10252 El Scott Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 895 | $850 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,800 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-17pricedays on market $105,800 Active 46 DOM
Show marketing remark (141 chars)
Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Great location. Fixer upper, huge lot, and large workshop
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $115,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $115,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-16status Active 141-char remark
Show marketing remark (141 chars)
Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Great location. Fixer upper, huge lot, and large workshop
-
2026-05-16status Active 141-char remark
Show marketing remark (141 chars)
Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Great location. Fixer upper, huge lot, and large workshop
-
2026-05-13status Pending 141-char remark
Show marketing remark (141 chars)
Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Great location. Fixer upper, huge lot, and large workshop
-
2026-05-13status Pending 141-char remark
Show marketing remark (141 chars)
Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Great location. Fixer upper, huge lot, and large workshop
-
2026-04-29$115,000 Active 141-char remark
Show marketing remark (141 chars)
Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Great location. Fixer upper, huge lot, and large workshop
-
2026-04-29$115,000 Active 141-char remark
Show marketing remark (141 chars)
Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Great location. Fixer upper, huge lot, and large workshop
-
2016-01-05soldstatus Sold
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Land can be rezoned commercial use. Great location. Fixer upper, with large workshop. When it was used as a rental owner received $1200 for the last 3 years. Great opportunity for multi-use property.
-
2016-01-05soldstatus $114,000
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Land can be rezoned commercial use. Great location. Fixer upper, with large workshop. When it was used as a rental owner received $1200 for the last 3 years. Great opportunity for multi-use property.
-
2015-11-30status Pending
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Land can be rezoned commercial use. Great location. Fixer upper, with large workshop. When it was used as a rental owner received $1200 for the last 3 years. Great opportunity for multi-use property.
-
2015-11-24historical
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Land can be rezoned commercial use. Great location. Fixer upper, with large workshop. When it was used as a rental owner received $1200 for the last 3 years. Great opportunity for multi-use property.
-
2015-09-28status Pending
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Land can be rezoned commercial use. Great location. Fixer upper, with large workshop. When it was used as a rental owner received $1200 for the last 3 years. Great opportunity for multi-use property.
-
2015-08-25$134,900 Active
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Land can be rezoned commercial use. Great location. Fixer upper, with large workshop. When it was used as a rental owner received $1200 for the last 3 years. Great opportunity for multi-use property.
-
2015-08-25$134,900
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Beautiful property with home that can be a great investment property or first home. Land can be rezoned commercial use. Great location. Fixer upper, with large workshop. When it was used as a rental owner received $1200 for the last 3 years. Great opportunity for multi-use property.
-
2006-07-19$299,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,547 · $129/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,547 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,304
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,926
- − Property taxes
- −$1,547
- − Insurance
- −$529
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,064
- − Management
- −$1,064
- − Depreciation
- −$3,078
- Taxable income
- $95
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$23
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,753/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Baton Rouge Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200540
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,263
- Composite
- 24.14/100
- National rank
- #7745
- State rank
- #47 of 98 in LA
Livability — Monticello
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #177
- US rank
- #14662
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Monticello, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,424
Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 464,810 people
- By 2030
- 472,137 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 480,243 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 484,422 · +4.2%
- By 2075
- 492,069 · +5.9%
- By 2100
- 476,347 · +2.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% Hispanic / Latino 8% White 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge
- 2024 margin
- D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.79%
- Current HPI
- 210.2213
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-64.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Price Changed $105,800 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-06-17 Price Changed $105,800 GBRMLS
- 2026-05-16 Relisted — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-16 Relisted — GBRMLS
- 2026-05-13 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-13 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $115,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $115,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2016-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $114,000 Public Records
- 2016-01-05 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2015-11-30 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2015-11-24 Delisted — GBRMLS
- 2015-09-28 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2015-08-25 Listed $134,900 GBRMLS
- 2015-08-25 Listed $134,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2006-07-19 Listed $299,900 GBRMLS
Property tax history
+15.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,547 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…