2519 Christian St · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Renting is not an option at this price. .. have a mortgage for less than rent, or great opportunity to invest & make a profit. With a little TLC, this diamond in the rough will sparkle. .. amenities include an open floor plan, wood floors, ceiling fans, a fireplace, central air, deck, privacy fence, skylight. Only minutes from downtown, interstate, airport & stadiums. Become a part of this urban renaissance NOW!!!!
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Wood floors
- Ceiling fans
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $888 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.1% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 422 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,889/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1755% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $90k implies a 260% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.27%
- DSCR
- 2.88
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $60,956
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- 72.25%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.02×
- Total profit
- $50,928
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 51.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.25×
- Total profit
- $157,584
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21223
- Rents YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 422
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,889 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,145/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$397
- Net cashflow
- $888
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2509 Christian St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,699 | $1.36 | 4d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 2514 Wilkens Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 2514 Wilkens Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 11d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 2540 Frederick Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,400 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2738 Wilkens Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1183 | $1,500 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2737 Wilkens Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1232 | $1,650 | $1.34 | 4d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 311 S Pulaski St Baltimore, MD | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1450 | $2,400 | $1.66 | 4d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 311 S Pulaski St Baltimore, MD | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1450 | $2,400 | $1.66 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 514 S Payson St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $1,750 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2537 Hollins St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2516 Hollins St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2225 W Baltimore St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2232 W Baltimore St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,875 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 62 N Gorman Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,500 | $2.27 | 18d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1918 W Baltimore St Baltimore, MD | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 857 | $1,434 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3130 Stafford St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 20d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1839 W Fayette St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1426 | $1,675 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1635 Frederick Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,850 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2012 W Saratoga St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,700 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2815 W Mulberry St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $2,050 | $1.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2609 Lauretta Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1286 | $1,675 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2636 Lauretta Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1232 | $1,900 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1315 Hollins St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,950 | $1.78 | 13d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1315 Hollins St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,860 | $1.70 | 4d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2056 Griffis Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1230 | $1,495 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1127 S Carey St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1340 | $1,900 | $1.42 | 4d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1519 Penrose Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,875 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3336 W Caton Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,625 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 104 S Carrollton Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1232 | $2,400 | $1.95 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1259 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1232 | $2,999 | $2.43 | 4d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1243 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,950 | $1.70 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1115 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1468 | $2,100 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1111 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,295 | $1.08 | 4d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 41 N Kossuth St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,800 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1142 Sargeant St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,601 | $1.48 | 2d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1125 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $2,750 | $2.29 | 18d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1625 Edmondson Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $1,895 | $1.26 | 13d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1625 Edmondson Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $2,175 | $1.45 | 4d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2303 Calverton Heights Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $2,250 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 923 McHenry St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,625 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $90,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $105,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $105,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $105,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-05-12$90,000 Active 430-char remark
Show marketing remark (430 chars)
Renting is not an option at this price. .. have a mortgage for less than rent, or great opportunity to invest & make a profit. With a little TLC, this diamond in the rough will sparkle. .. amenities include an open floor plan, wood floors, ceiling fans, a fireplace, central air, deck, privacy fence, skylight. Only minutes from downtown, interstate, airport & stadiums. Become a part of this urban renaissance NOW!!!!
-
2025-09-04$105,000 Active 430-char remark
Show marketing remark (430 chars)
Renting is not an option at this price. .. have a mortgage for less than rent, or great opportunity to invest & make a profit. With a little TLC, this diamond in the rough will sparkle. .. amenities include an open floor plan, wood floors, ceiling fans, a fireplace, central air, deck, privacy fence, skylight. Only minutes from downtown, interstate, airport & stadiums. Become a part of this urban renaissance NOW!!!!
-
2016-09-08soldstatus $25,000
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2016-09-08soldstatus $25,000 Sold
-
2016-08-24status Contract
-
2016-08-21price $25,000
-
2016-08-05price $30,000
-
2016-06-28price $35,000
-
2016-03-26$40,000 Active
-
2007-03-05soldstatus $81,500
-
2007-01-05soldstatus $81,000
-
2006-10-18historical
-
2006-09-15$79,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,145 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,145 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,670
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,145
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,814
- − Management
- −$1,814
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $9,789
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,349
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,302/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,572
- Household income
- $45,840
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1755.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 72% White 16% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.99%
- Current HPI
- 140.5836
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.51%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+12.6% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $90,000 FSBO.com
- 2025-09-04 Listed $105,000 Fizber.com
- 2016-09-08 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MRIS
- 2016-09-08 Sold (MLS) $25,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-08-24 Pending — MRIS
- 2016-08-21 Price Changed $25,000 MRIS
- 2016-08-05 Price Changed $30,000 MRIS
- 2016-06-28 Price Changed $35,000 MRIS
- 2016-03-26 Listed $40,000 MRIS
- 2007-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $81,500 Public Records
- 2007-01-05 Sold (MLS) $81,000 MRIS
- 2006-10-18 Delisted — MRIS
- 2006-09-15 Listed $79,900 MRIS
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,145 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…