54565 Adams Ave · Silver Creek, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HIGHEST & BEST 04/14/2026 at 2 pm EST. Cheaper than rent. Check out this 3-bedroom, 2-full-bathroom manufactured home, close to Indiana Lake and Indiana Lake Golf Course. All offers must be entered at www. vrmproperties. com; the agent must register as an agent and then submit the offer for ID #200753.
Key facts
- 4,988 sq ft lot
- Built 1995
- Listed 14 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Well water; Electricity available
- Home design: Ranch-style residence; Single-story entry
- Construction: Built in 1995; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Located on Indian Lake; Lot size approximately 0.12 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (11 x 11); Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (13 x 13); Bedroom 2 (10 x 10); Bedroom 3 (10 x 9)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Primary bathroom (9 x 7)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Total of 8 rooms; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room (7 x 5)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $455 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Dowagiac Union School District (town): math 19% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #430 of 540 in MI (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 128 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cass County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 16 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.26%
- DSCR
- 2.26
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $17,783
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- 30.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.73×
- Total profit
- $52,734
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49111
- Home prices YoY
- -22.5%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,111 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $382/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $455
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 39 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
HIGHEST & BEST 04/14/2026 at 2 pm EST. Cheaper than rent. Check out this 3-bedroom, 2-full-bathroom manufactured home, close to Indiana Lake and Indiana Lake Golf Course. All offers must be entered at www. vrmproperties. com; the agent must register as an agent and then submit the offer for ID #200753.
-
2026-04-24status Pending 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
HIGHEST & BEST 04/14/2026 at 2 pm EST. Cheaper than rent. Check out this 3-bedroom, 2-full-bathroom manufactured home, close to Indiana Lake and Indiana Lake Golf Course. All offers must be entered at www. vrmproperties. com; the agent must register as an agent and then submit the offer for ID #200753.
-
2026-04-24status Pending
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
HIGHEST & BEST 04/14/2026 at 2 pm EST. Cheaper than rent. Check out this 3-bedroom, 2-full-bathroom manufactured home, close to Indiana Lake and Indiana Lake Golf Course. All offers must be entered at www. vrmproperties. com; the agent must register as an agent and then submit the offer for ID #200753.
-
2026-04-10$69,000 Active 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
HIGHEST & BEST 04/14/2026 at 2 pm EST. Cheaper than rent. Check out this 3-bedroom, 2-full-bathroom manufactured home, close to Indiana Lake and Indiana Lake Golf Course. All offers must be entered at www. vrmproperties. com; the agent must register as an agent and then submit the offer for ID #200753.
-
2026-04-09$69,000 Active 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
HIGHEST & BEST 04/14/2026 at 2 pm EST. Cheaper than rent. Check out this 3-bedroom, 2-full-bathroom manufactured home, close to Indiana Lake and Indiana Lake Golf Course. All offers must be entered at www. vrmproperties. com; the agent must register as an agent and then submit the offer for ID #200753.
-
2026-04-09$69,000 Active
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
HIGHEST & BEST 04/14/2026 at 2 pm EST. Cheaper than rent. Check out this 3-bedroom, 2-full-bathroom manufactured home, close to Indiana Lake and Indiana Lake Golf Course. All offers must be entered at www. vrmproperties. com; the agent must register as an agent and then submit the offer for ID #200753.
-
2022-02-16soldstatus $119,250
-
2022-02-03soldstatus $119,250 Sold
-
2022-02-03soldstatus $119,250 Sold
-
2021-11-30historical Contingent - Continue To Show
-
2021-11-30historical Active Backup
-
2021-11-16price $115,000
-
2021-11-16price $115,000
-
2021-11-09price $119,000
-
2021-11-09price $119,000
-
2021-10-12$125,000 Active
-
2021-10-12$125,000 Active
-
2021-10-12$115,000
-
2015-01-24historical
-
2015-01-24historical
-
2015-01-24historical
-
2010-08-13soldstatus $8,000
-
2010-08-13soldstatus $8,000
-
2010-08-13soldstatus $8,500
-
2010-04-19$17,500
-
2010-04-19$17,500
-
2009-12-05historical
-
2009-06-16$24,900
-
2009-06-16$24,900
-
2008-09-13historical
-
2008-03-17$29,900
-
2008-03-17$29,900
-
2007-09-15historical
-
2006-05-20$39,900
-
2006-05-20$39,900
-
2006-05-13historical
-
2006-05-13historical
-
2005-06-03$44,900
-
2005-06-03$44,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $382 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $722 · $60/mo
- Expected delta
- +$341/yr (+$28/mo · 89.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,328
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$382
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,066
- − Management
- −$1,066
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $4,596
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,103
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,357/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dowagiac Union School District
- NCES district ID
- 2612150
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,741
- Composite
- 21.03/100
- National rank
- #8452
- State rank
- #430 of 540 in MI
Livability — Silver Creek
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,121
Population outlook (Cass County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 49,919 people
- By 2030
- 48,320 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 44,230 · -11.4%
- By 2050
- 39,852 · -20.2%
- By 2075
- 31,440 · -37.0%
- By 2100
- 23,914 · -52.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Romanian 5% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Korean 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Cass
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.5% · R 66.4% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.0pp toward R · 2008: 4.1pp · 2024: -33.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.9 2020: R+28.9 2016: R+29.9 2012: R+13.7 2008: D+4.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.65%
- Current HPI
- 226.6242
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+53.7% since first listed39 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-24 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-24 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $69,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-09 Listed $69,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $69,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $119,250 Public Records
- 2022-02-03 Sold (MLS) $119,250 SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-02-03 Sold (MLS) $119,250 REALCOMP
- 2021-11-30 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2021-11-30 Contingent — SW Michigan MLS
- 2021-11-16 Price Changed $115,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-11-16 Price Changed $115,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2021-11-09 Price Changed $119,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-11-09 Price Changed $119,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2021-10-12 Listed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-10-12 Listed $125,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2021-10-12 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
- 2015-01-24 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2015-01-24 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2015-01-24 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2010-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $8,500 Public Records
- 2010-08-13 Sold (MLS) $8,000 REALCOMP
- 2010-08-13 Sold (MLS) $8,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2010-04-19 Listed $17,500 REALCOMP
- 2010-04-19 Listed $17,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 2009-12-05 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2009-06-16 Listed $24,900 REALCOMP
- 2009-06-16 Listed $24,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2008-09-13 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2008-03-17 Listed $29,900 REALCOMP
- 2008-03-17 Listed $29,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2007-09-15 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2006-05-20 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
- 2006-05-20 Listed $39,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2006-05-13 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2006-05-13 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2005-06-03 Listed $44,900 REALCOMP
- 2005-06-03 Listed $44,900 SW Michigan MLS
Property tax history
-3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $382 · -72.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…