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8357 Navy St
C Composite 56.77
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.1/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$130,000

8357 Navy St · Detroit, MI 48209
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 999 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1914 3,049 sqft lot Est $135k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity in the highly desirable Southwest Detroit area! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers strong potential for investors, rehabbers, or buyers looking to add value. Property needs repairs and is being sold as-is. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, restaurants, and major freeways. Don't miss your chance to own in one of Detroit's most sought-after neighborhoods. Subject to probate court approval.

Key facts

  • Near schools
  • Near shopping
  • Near restaurants

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYNEAR SCHOOLSNEAR PARKSNEAR SHOPPINGNEAR RESTAURANTSNEAR MAJOR FREEWAYS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (18 x 18) — 1 parking space
  • Utilities: Natural gas heating fuel; Electric water heater; Public water at street
  • Home design: Residential 2-story; Built in 1914; Basement present
  • Construction: Aluminum and brick exterior; Basement foundation
  • Exterior features: Porch; Paved street access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 1 (Second level) — 14 x 10, wood flooring; Bedroom 2 (Entry level) — 10 x 9, wood flooring; Bedroom 3 (Entry level) — approx. 9' wide, wood flooring
  • Flooring: Wood flooring in bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (Entry level) — approximately 10 x 10
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Total of 4 rooms; Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $104 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (5.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (5.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $17k; list at $130k implies a 665% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $123,091 (5.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.26%
Cash-on-cash
3.44%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$134,865
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7821 Navy St 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,000 (+0%) 3mo $135,000 $135 82
2627 Casper St 0.53mi 4/1.0 (+1) 985 (-1%) 0mo $135,000 $137 68
2627 Casper St 0.53mi 4/1.0 (+1) 985 (-1%) 0mo $135,000 $137 68
2844 Woodmere St 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,000 (+0%) 8mo $155,000 $155 64
8850 Lane St 0.29mi 2/1.0 (-1) 880 (-12%) 0mo $60,000 $68 61
2713 Casper St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,100 (+10%) 9mo $125,000 $114 49
9242 Lafayette Blvd 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 982 (-2%) 17mo $71,000 $72 48
1650 Evans St 0.29mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,148 (+15%) 16mo $110,000 $96 43
7063 Chatfield St 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,108 (+11%) 5mo $170,000 $153 41
2321 Casper St 0.35mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,144 (+14%) 20mo $110,000 $96 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.8%
Equity multiple
3.13×
Total profit
$77,453
Equity at exit
$117,114
10-year hold
IRR
23.4%
Equity multiple
7.12×
Total profit
$222,855
Equity at exit
$252,561

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48209

Home prices YoY
21.8%
Active inventory
66
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,231 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$132 /mo · $1,585/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$258
Net cashflow
$104

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,099
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2508 Inglis St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 24d 1 0.35mi
2488 Woodmere St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,453 $1.45 4d 1 0.38mi
7263 Senator St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 909 $1,300 $1.43 43d 1 0.48mi
764 Woodmere St Apt 8 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 990 $1,100 $1.11 43d 1 0.79mi
6720 Regular St Unit 6724 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 43d 1 0.84mi
6628 W Lafayette Blvd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $965 $1.07 43d 1 1.02mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on marketlisting id $130,000 Active 1 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 437-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $130,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,585 · $132/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,793 · $149/mo
Expected delta
+$209/yr (+$17/mo · 13.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,771
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$1,585
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,182
− Management
−$1,182
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable loss
−$891
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$214
After-tax cash flow
$1,467/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
27,184
Household income
$43,161
Rent vs Own
38.8% rent · 61.2% own
Severe rent burden
831.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (76%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 76% White 17% Two or more races 14% Black 6% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 58% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 0%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada
Languages at home
38% English-only · Spanish 62%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 73.77%
Current HPI
412.9753
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+664.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $130,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1991-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,585 · -11.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…